CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
97 Salt Grass Cir
D- Composite 38.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$394,000

97 Salt Grass Cir · Richmond Hill, GA 31324
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,351 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 92 Days on market
Built 2012 5,663 sqft lot $168/sqft · 9% below area Est $431k · 9% under $100/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE ADJUSTMENT! Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, this beautifully updated home blends comfort, style, and functionality in every detail. Step inside to discover brand-new LVP flooring flowing seamlessly throughout the downstairs, staircase, and upstairs loft, creating a modern and cohesive feel. The open-concept layout offers effortless living, featuring a welcoming living room with a cozy gas fireplace and a flexible formal dining space at the entrance—perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen is designed with both style and convenience in mind with all appliances included, boasting abundant cabinetry, a spacious pantry, and a breakfast bar ideal for casual dining. A main-level bedroom and full bath provide the perfect setup for guests or multi-generational living. Upstairs, you’ll find a thoughtfully designed split floor plan centered around a versatile loft with a built-in desk—perfect for work or study. Three additional bedrooms are complemented by an additional full bath and a conveniently located upstairs laundry room. The spacious primary suite serves as a private retreat, complete with an en suite bath and walk-in closet. Enjoy peace and privacy outdoors on the back deck overlooking serene wooded views. Additional upgrades include a new HVAC system, new water heater, spray foam insulation for energy efficiency, and a two-car garage with a brand-new door. Located in a vibrant community offering resort-style amenities—including a beach-entry pool, fitness center, playground, and open green spaces—this home truly has it all.

Key facts

  • Spacious pantry
  • Gas fireplace
  • Abundant cabinetry

Tags

LVP FLOORINGOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTGAS FIREPLACEFLEXIBLE FORMAL DINING SPACEABUNDANT CABINETRYSPACIOUS PANTRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $394k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-313 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $339k (14.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (24.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $296k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.1% in Richmond Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#122 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bryan County (rural): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #14 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 482 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 510 units permitted in Bryan County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bryan County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $253k; list at $394k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $295,733 (24.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.34%
Cash-on-cash
-3.41%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$430,683
List price
$394,000
Delta
-8.52%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 Jacobs Cir 0.19mi 5/2.5 2,548 (+8%) 2mo $434,999 $171 74
235 James Dunham Pkwy 0.37mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,457 (+4%) 2mo $415,000 $169 67
95 Shearwater Ln 0.34mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,497 (+6%) 1mo $447,000 $179 66
70 Bowridge Dr 0.51mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,350 (-0%) 5mo $400,000 $170 65
367 Brennan Dr 0.50mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,275 (-3%) 0mo $405,000 $178 64
145 Jacobs Cir 0.17mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,686 (+14%) 0mo $430,000 $160 63
235 Coby Ln 0.47mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,196 (-7%) 1mo $415,000 $189 59
60 Knotty Ct 0.57mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,275 (-3%) 3mo $410,000 $180 58
230 James Dr 0.59mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,426 (+3%) 4mo $400,050 $165 57
260 Misty Dr 0.50mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,143 (-9%) 1mo $425,000 $198 54
311 Coby Ln 0.45mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,074 (-12%) 6mo $392,000 $189 47
74 Knotty Ct 0.58mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,059 (-12%) 4mo $409,500 $199 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.9%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-86,243
Equity at exit
$58,747
10-year hold
IRR
-19.6%
Equity multiple
-0.00×
Total profit
$-110,673
Equity at exit
$34,066

Cash invested: $110,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31324

Home prices YoY
-30.8%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
482
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,957 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,066
Tax from tax record
$319 /mo · $3,830/yr
Insurance
$164
HOA
$100
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$621
Net cashflow
$-313

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,354
Max offer price $338,670
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$98,500
Closing costs
$11,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
125 Jacobs Cir Richmond Hill, GA 4.0 3.0 1853 $2,600 $1.40 21d 1 0.15mi
146 Coby Ln Richmond Hill, GA 5.0 3.5 2621 $2,800 $1.07 23d 1 0.55mi
143 Nettleton Ln Richmond Hill, GA 4.0 3.0 2065 $3,100 $1.50 13d 1 1.03mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$100 · $1,200/yr
Likely covers
watergaspoolgym

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $394,000 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $394,000 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $394,000 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $394,000 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $394,000 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $394,000 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    statusdays on market $394,000 Active Under Contract 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $394,000 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $394,000 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $394,000 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $394,000 Active 78 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $394,000 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $394,000 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $394,000 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $394,000 Active 74 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $394,000 Active 73 DOM
  17. 2026-05-07
    price $394,000 1602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1602 chars)

    PRICE ADJUSTMENT! Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, this beautifully updated home blends comfort, style, and functionality in every detail. Step inside to discover brand-new LVP flooring flowing seamlessly throughout the downstairs, staircase, and upstairs loft, creating a modern and cohesive feel. The open-concept layout offers effortless living, featuring a welcoming living room with a cozy gas fireplace and a flexible formal dining space at the entrance—perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen is designed with both style and convenience in mind with all appliances included, boasting abundant cabinetry, a spacious pantry, and a breakfast bar ideal for casual dining. A main-level bedroom and full bath provide the perfect setup for guests or multi-generational living. Upstairs, you’ll find a thoughtfully designed split floor plan centered around a versatile loft with a built-in desk—perfect for work or study. Three additional bedrooms are complemented by an additional full bath and a conveniently located upstairs laundry room. The spacious primary suite serves as a private retreat, complete with an en suite bath and walk-in closet. Enjoy peace and privacy outdoors on the back deck overlooking serene wooded views. Additional upgrades include a new HVAC system, new water heater, spray foam insulation for energy efficiency, and a two-car garage with a brand-new door. Located in a vibrant community offering resort-style amenities—including a beach-entry pool, fitness center, playground, and open green spaces—this home truly has it all.

  18. 2026-03-18
    listed $399,000 Active 1602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1602 chars)

    PRICE ADJUSTMENT! Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, this beautifully updated home blends comfort, style, and functionality in every detail. Step inside to discover brand-new LVP flooring flowing seamlessly throughout the downstairs, staircase, and upstairs loft, creating a modern and cohesive feel. The open-concept layout offers effortless living, featuring a welcoming living room with a cozy gas fireplace and a flexible formal dining space at the entrance—perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen is designed with both style and convenience in mind with all appliances included, boasting abundant cabinetry, a spacious pantry, and a breakfast bar ideal for casual dining. A main-level bedroom and full bath provide the perfect setup for guests or multi-generational living. Upstairs, you’ll find a thoughtfully designed split floor plan centered around a versatile loft with a built-in desk—perfect for work or study. Three additional bedrooms are complemented by an additional full bath and a conveniently located upstairs laundry room. The spacious primary suite serves as a private retreat, complete with an en suite bath and walk-in closet. Enjoy peace and privacy outdoors on the back deck overlooking serene wooded views. Additional upgrades include a new HVAC system, new water heater, spray foam insulation for energy efficiency, and a two-car garage with a brand-new door. Located in a vibrant community offering resort-style amenities—including a beach-entry pool, fitness center, playground, and open green spaces—this home truly has it all.

  19. 2024-10-30
    historical $2,500
  20. 2024-10-24
    listed $2,500
  21. 2024-10-24
    historical $2,500
  22. 2024-10-02
    price $2,500
  23. 2024-09-10
    price $2,550
  24. 2024-08-03
    listed $2,795
  25. 2024-08-03
    historical $2,795
  26. 2024-08-02
    historical $2,795
  27. 2024-07-24
    listed $2,795
  28. 2024-07-13
    price $2,795
  29. 2024-07-04
    price $2,925
  30. 2024-07-01
    historical $2,975
  31. 2024-06-30
    listed $2,975
  32. 2024-06-06
    listed $2,975
  33. 2019-09-23
    soldstatus $253,000
  34. 2019-09-20
    soldstatus $253,000 617-char remark
    Show marketing remark (617 chars)

    Priced $20,000 less than other home in the area, This five bedroom/three bath home sits on a quiet cul-de-sac in one of Richmond Hill's great family friendly neighborhoods Dunham Marsh. The home has an open floor plan with a bedroom and a full bathroom on the main floor. Upstairs has 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and a loft area with a great built-in desk area. Finally this energy efficient home has double pane windows, programmable thermostat and spray-foam insulation helping keep those summer cooling bills low. Finely all of the resort style amenities make for a great place to host get togethers. Bring all offers.

  35. 2019-02-04
    listed $265,000 617-char remark
    Show marketing remark (617 chars)

    Priced $20,000 less than other home in the area, This five bedroom/three bath home sits on a quiet cul-de-sac in one of Richmond Hill's great family friendly neighborhoods Dunham Marsh. The home has an open floor plan with a bedroom and a full bathroom on the main floor. Upstairs has 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and a loft area with a great built-in desk area. Finally this energy efficient home has double pane windows, programmable thermostat and spray-foam insulation helping keep those summer cooling bills low. Finely all of the resort style amenities make for a great place to host get togethers. Bring all offers.

  36. 2016-03-01
    soldstatus $247,000
  37. 2015-11-10
    listed $254,500
  38. 2013-10-17
    price $254,500
  39. 2012-08-09
    listed $150,000
  40. 2012-03-01
    soldstatus $223,926
  41. 2011-11-10
    listed $228,926

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,830 · $319/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,830 · $319/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,488
− Mortgage interest
−$22,070
− Property taxes
−$3,830
− Insurance
−$1,970
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,839
− Management
−$2,839
− HOA
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$11,462
Taxable loss
−$10,722
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,573
After-tax cash flow
$-1,185/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bryan County
NCES district ID
1300570
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$64,465
Composite
44.99/100
National rank
#2701
State rank
#14 of 174 in GA

Livability — Richmond Hill

Score
69/100
State rank
#122
US rank
#8778

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bryan County · 37,406 people
City population
37,406
Metro
Savannah, GA
Population (ZIP)
37,406
Household income
$122,378
Rent vs Own
22.2% rent · 77.8% own
Severe rent burden
562.0

Population outlook (Bryan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,980 people
By 2030
51,583 · +12.2%
By 2040
63,184 · +37.4%
By 2050
75,400 · +64.0%
By 2075
105,363 · +129.1%
By 2100
124,959 · +171.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bryan

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.3) · D 31.6% · R 67.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.3pp toward D · 2008: -42.6pp · 2024: -36.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.3 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+43.2 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+42.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.54%
Current HPI
215.1789
Rent YoY
▲ 2.17%
Metro
Savannah, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+72.1% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $394,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $399,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-10-30 Rental Removed $2,500 RENTALBEAST
  • 2024-10-24 Listed for Rent $2,500 RENTALBEAST
  • 2024-10-24 Rental Removed $2,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-02 Price Changed $2,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-09-10 Price Changed $2,550 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-08-03 Listed for Rent $2,795 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-08-03 Rental Removed $2,795 RENTALBEAST
  • 2024-08-02 Rental Removed $2,795 RENT.
  • 2024-07-24 Listed for Rent $2,795 RENTALBEAST
  • 2024-07-13 Price Changed $2,795 RENT.
  • 2024-07-04 Price Changed $2,925 RENT.
  • 2024-07-01 Rental Removed $2,975 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-30 Listed for Rent $2,975 RENT.
  • 2024-06-06 Listed for Rent $2,975 APPFOLIO
  • 2019-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $253,000 Public Records
  • 2019-09-20 Sold (MLS) $253,000 Hive MLS
  • 2019-02-04 Listed $265,000 Hive MLS
  • 2016-03-01 Sold (MLS) $247,000 Hive MLS
  • 2015-11-10 Listed $254,500 Hive MLS
  • 2013-10-17 Price Changed $254,500 Hive MLS
  • 2012-08-09 Listed $150,000 Hive MLS
  • 2012-03-01 Sold (MLS) $223,926 Hive MLS
  • 2011-11-10 Listed $228,926 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,830 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…