97 Salt Grass Cir · Richmond Hill, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$394,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE ADJUSTMENT! Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, this beautifully updated home blends comfort, style, and functionality in every detail. Step inside to discover brand-new LVP flooring flowing seamlessly throughout the downstairs, staircase, and upstairs loft, creating a modern and cohesive feel. The open-concept layout offers effortless living, featuring a welcoming living room with a cozy gas fireplace and a flexible formal dining space at the entrance—perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen is designed with both style and convenience in mind with all appliances included, boasting abundant cabinetry, a spacious pantry, and a breakfast bar ideal for casual dining. A main-level bedroom and full bath provide the perfect setup for guests or multi-generational living. Upstairs, you’ll find a thoughtfully designed split floor plan centered around a versatile loft with a built-in desk—perfect for work or study. Three additional bedrooms are complemented by an additional full bath and a conveniently located upstairs laundry room. The spacious primary suite serves as a private retreat, complete with an en suite bath and walk-in closet. Enjoy peace and privacy outdoors on the back deck overlooking serene wooded views. Additional upgrades include a new HVAC system, new water heater, spray foam insulation for energy efficiency, and a two-car garage with a brand-new door. Located in a vibrant community offering resort-style amenities—including a beach-entry pool, fitness center, playground, and open green spaces—this home truly has it all.
Key facts
- Spacious pantry
- Gas fireplace
- Abundant cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $394k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-313 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $339k (14.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (24.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $296k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.1% in Richmond Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#122 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bryan County (rural): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #14 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 482 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 510 units permitted in Bryan County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bryan County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $253k; list at $394k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.41%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $430,683
- List price
- $394,000
- Delta
- -8.52%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Jacobs Cir | 0.19mi | 5/2.5 | 2,548 (+8%) | 2mo | $434,999 | $171 | 74 |
| 235 James Dunham Pkwy | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,457 (+4%) | 2mo | $415,000 | $169 | 67 |
| 95 Shearwater Ln | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,497 (+6%) | 1mo | $447,000 | $179 | 66 |
| 70 Bowridge Dr | 0.51mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,350 (-0%) | 5mo | $400,000 | $170 | 65 |
| 367 Brennan Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,275 (-3%) | 0mo | $405,000 | $178 | 64 |
| 145 Jacobs Cir | 0.17mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,686 (+14%) | 0mo | $430,000 | $160 | 63 |
| 235 Coby Ln | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,196 (-7%) | 1mo | $415,000 | $189 | 59 |
| 60 Knotty Ct | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,275 (-3%) | 3mo | $410,000 | $180 | 58 |
| 230 James Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,426 (+3%) | 4mo | $400,050 | $165 | 57 |
| 260 Misty Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,143 (-9%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $198 | 54 |
| 311 Coby Ln | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,074 (-12%) | 6mo | $392,000 | $189 | 47 |
| 74 Knotty Ct | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,059 (-12%) | 4mo | $409,500 | $199 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-86,243
- Equity at exit
- $58,747
- IRR
- -19.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.00×
- Total profit
- $-110,673
- Equity at exit
- $34,066
Cash invested: $110,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31324
- Home prices YoY
- -30.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 482
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,957 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,066
- Tax from tax record
- −$319 /mo · $3,830/yr
- Insurance
- −$164
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$621
- Net cashflow
- $-313
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $98,500
- Closing costs
- $11,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Jacobs Cir Richmond Hill, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1853 | $2,600 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 146 Coby Ln Richmond Hill, GA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2621 | $2,800 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 143 Nettleton Ln Richmond Hill, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2065 | $3,100 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaspoolgym
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $394,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $394,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $394,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $394,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $394,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $394,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $394,000 Active Under Contract 84 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $394,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $394,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $394,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $394,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $394,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $394,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $394,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $394,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $394,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $394,000 1602-char remark
Show marketing remark (1602 chars)
PRICE ADJUSTMENT! Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, this beautifully updated home blends comfort, style, and functionality in every detail. Step inside to discover brand-new LVP flooring flowing seamlessly throughout the downstairs, staircase, and upstairs loft, creating a modern and cohesive feel. The open-concept layout offers effortless living, featuring a welcoming living room with a cozy gas fireplace and a flexible formal dining space at the entrance—perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen is designed with both style and convenience in mind with all appliances included, boasting abundant cabinetry, a spacious pantry, and a breakfast bar ideal for casual dining. A main-level bedroom and full bath provide the perfect setup for guests or multi-generational living. Upstairs, you’ll find a thoughtfully designed split floor plan centered around a versatile loft with a built-in desk—perfect for work or study. Three additional bedrooms are complemented by an additional full bath and a conveniently located upstairs laundry room. The spacious primary suite serves as a private retreat, complete with an en suite bath and walk-in closet. Enjoy peace and privacy outdoors on the back deck overlooking serene wooded views. Additional upgrades include a new HVAC system, new water heater, spray foam insulation for energy efficiency, and a two-car garage with a brand-new door. Located in a vibrant community offering resort-style amenities—including a beach-entry pool, fitness center, playground, and open green spaces—this home truly has it all.
-
2026-03-18$399,000 Active 1602-char remark
Show marketing remark (1602 chars)
PRICE ADJUSTMENT! Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, this beautifully updated home blends comfort, style, and functionality in every detail. Step inside to discover brand-new LVP flooring flowing seamlessly throughout the downstairs, staircase, and upstairs loft, creating a modern and cohesive feel. The open-concept layout offers effortless living, featuring a welcoming living room with a cozy gas fireplace and a flexible formal dining space at the entrance—perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen is designed with both style and convenience in mind with all appliances included, boasting abundant cabinetry, a spacious pantry, and a breakfast bar ideal for casual dining. A main-level bedroom and full bath provide the perfect setup for guests or multi-generational living. Upstairs, you’ll find a thoughtfully designed split floor plan centered around a versatile loft with a built-in desk—perfect for work or study. Three additional bedrooms are complemented by an additional full bath and a conveniently located upstairs laundry room. The spacious primary suite serves as a private retreat, complete with an en suite bath and walk-in closet. Enjoy peace and privacy outdoors on the back deck overlooking serene wooded views. Additional upgrades include a new HVAC system, new water heater, spray foam insulation for energy efficiency, and a two-car garage with a brand-new door. Located in a vibrant community offering resort-style amenities—including a beach-entry pool, fitness center, playground, and open green spaces—this home truly has it all.
-
2024-10-30historical $2,500
-
2024-10-24$2,500
-
2024-10-24historical $2,500
-
2024-10-02price $2,500
-
2024-09-10price $2,550
-
2024-08-03$2,795
-
2024-08-03historical $2,795
-
2024-08-02historical $2,795
-
2024-07-24$2,795
-
2024-07-13price $2,795
-
2024-07-04price $2,925
-
2024-07-01historical $2,975
-
2024-06-30$2,975
-
2024-06-06$2,975
-
2019-09-23soldstatus $253,000
-
2019-09-20soldstatus $253,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Priced $20,000 less than other home in the area, This five bedroom/three bath home sits on a quiet cul-de-sac in one of Richmond Hill's great family friendly neighborhoods Dunham Marsh. The home has an open floor plan with a bedroom and a full bathroom on the main floor. Upstairs has 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and a loft area with a great built-in desk area. Finally this energy efficient home has double pane windows, programmable thermostat and spray-foam insulation helping keep those summer cooling bills low. Finely all of the resort style amenities make for a great place to host get togethers. Bring all offers.
-
2019-02-04$265,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Priced $20,000 less than other home in the area, This five bedroom/three bath home sits on a quiet cul-de-sac in one of Richmond Hill's great family friendly neighborhoods Dunham Marsh. The home has an open floor plan with a bedroom and a full bathroom on the main floor. Upstairs has 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and a loft area with a great built-in desk area. Finally this energy efficient home has double pane windows, programmable thermostat and spray-foam insulation helping keep those summer cooling bills low. Finely all of the resort style amenities make for a great place to host get togethers. Bring all offers.
-
2016-03-01soldstatus $247,000
-
2015-11-10$254,500
-
2013-10-17price $254,500
-
2012-08-09$150,000
-
2012-03-01soldstatus $223,926
-
2011-11-10$228,926
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,830 · $319/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,830 · $319/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,488
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,070
- − Property taxes
- −$3,830
- − Insurance
- −$1,970
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,839
- − Management
- −$2,839
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$11,462
- Taxable loss
- −$10,722
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,573
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,185/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryan County
- NCES district ID
- 1300570
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,465
- Composite
- 44.99/100
- National rank
- #2701
- State rank
- #14 of 174 in GA
Livability — Richmond Hill
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #8778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bryan County · 37,406 people
- City population
- 37,406
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,406
- Household income
- $122,378
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 562.0
Population outlook (Bryan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,980 people
- By 2030
- 51,583 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 63,184 · +37.4%
- By 2050
- 75,400 · +64.0%
- By 2075
- 105,363 · +129.1%
- By 2100
- 124,959 · +171.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bryan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.3) · D 31.6% · R 67.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.3pp toward D · 2008: -42.6pp · 2024: -36.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.3 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+43.2 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+42.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.54%
- Current HPI
- 215.1789
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.17%
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+72.1% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $394,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $399,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-10-30 Rental Removed $2,500 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-10-24 Listed for Rent $2,500 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-10-24 Rental Removed $2,500 APPFOLIO
- 2024-10-02 Price Changed $2,500 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-10 Price Changed $2,550 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-03 Listed for Rent $2,795 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-03 Rental Removed $2,795 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-08-02 Rental Removed $2,795 RENT.
- 2024-07-24 Listed for Rent $2,795 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-07-13 Price Changed $2,795 RENT.
- 2024-07-04 Price Changed $2,925 RENT.
- 2024-07-01 Rental Removed $2,975 APPFOLIO
- 2024-06-30 Listed for Rent $2,975 RENT.
- 2024-06-06 Listed for Rent $2,975 APPFOLIO
- 2019-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $253,000 Public Records
- 2019-09-20 Sold (MLS) $253,000 Hive MLS
- 2019-02-04 Listed $265,000 Hive MLS
- 2016-03-01 Sold (MLS) $247,000 Hive MLS
- 2015-11-10 Listed $254,500 Hive MLS
- 2013-10-17 Price Changed $254,500 Hive MLS
- 2012-08-09 Listed $150,000 Hive MLS
- 2012-03-01 Sold (MLS) $223,926 Hive MLS
- 2011-11-10 Listed $228,926 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,830 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…