40 Leonard St · Fort Edward, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss out on this 2636 sq.ft. 4BR/1.5BT home. First floor laundry/bath combo. There is original hardwood under much of the carpeted areas. Conveniently located halfway between Saratoga and Lake George. Situated on a .47 acre corner lot with a beautiful backyard. This home is in need of some TLC, but has great potential. Don't wait! Call to schedule your showing now.
Key facts
- Updated electrical
- New hot water tank
- Gas fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.0% in Fort Edward — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#334 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: commute D+, employment D, amenities F.
- South Glens Falls Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #307 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Ballard Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 309 students, 32% FRL); South Glens Falls Senior High School (math 92% / reading 91%, grade A+, #197 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 908 students, 36% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 54% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Glens Falls Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $186k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.79%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $279,416
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Leonard St | 0.00mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,636 (0%) | 0mo | $279,900 | $106 | 93 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-24,422
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $3,900
- Equity at exit
- $23,336
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12831
- Home prices YoY
- -12.8%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,873 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$441 /mo · $5,287/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$603
- Net cashflow
- $302
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-03-17status Pending
-
2026-03-12$269,900 Active
-
2023-04-10soldstatus $185,500
-
2023-03-14soldstatus $175,000 Closed 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
Don't miss out on this 2636 sq.ft. 4BR/1.5BT home. First floor laundry/bath combo. There is original hardwood under much of the carpeted areas. Conveniently located halfway between Saratoga and Lake George. Situated on a .47 acre corner lot with a beautiful backyard. This home is in need of some TLC, but has great potential. Don't wait! Call to schedule your showing now.
-
2023-02-25status Pending 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
Don't miss out on this 2636 sq.ft. 4BR/1.5BT home. First floor laundry/bath combo. There is original hardwood under much of the carpeted areas. Conveniently located halfway between Saratoga and Lake George. Situated on a .47 acre corner lot with a beautiful backyard. This home is in need of some TLC, but has great potential. Don't wait! Call to schedule your showing now.
-
2023-02-03historical Contingent 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
Don't miss out on this 2636 sq.ft. 4BR/1.5BT home. First floor laundry/bath combo. There is original hardwood under much of the carpeted areas. Conveniently located halfway between Saratoga and Lake George. Situated on a .47 acre corner lot with a beautiful backyard. This home is in need of some TLC, but has great potential. Don't wait! Call to schedule your showing now.
-
2023-01-27price $185,800 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
Don't miss out on this 2636 sq.ft. 4BR/1.5BT home. First floor laundry/bath combo. There is original hardwood under much of the carpeted areas. Conveniently located halfway between Saratoga and Lake George. Situated on a .47 acre corner lot with a beautiful backyard. This home is in need of some TLC, but has great potential. Don't wait! Call to schedule your showing now.
-
2023-01-06$195,800 Active 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
Don't miss out on this 2636 sq.ft. 4BR/1.5BT home. First floor laundry/bath combo. There is original hardwood under much of the carpeted areas. Conveniently located halfway between Saratoga and Lake George. Situated on a .47 acre corner lot with a beautiful backyard. This home is in need of some TLC, but has great potential. Don't wait! Call to schedule your showing now.
-
2022-09-14historical
-
2022-09-14status Active
-
2022-07-26historical
-
2022-07-10historical Contingent
-
2022-06-17$199,800 Active
-
1998-04-30soldstatus $72,500
-
1998-01-30historical
-
1997-07-31$84,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,287 · $441/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,287 · $441/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,481
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$5,287
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,758
- − Management
- −$2,758
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$643
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$154
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Glens Falls Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3627240
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,015
- Composite
- 46.93/100
- National rank
- #2363
- State rank
- #307 of 590 in NY
Livability — Fort Edward
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #334
- US rank
- #5647
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saratoga County · 166,192 people
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,025
- Household income
- $100,024
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 497.0
Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 238,889 people
- By 2030
- 243,681 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 249,118 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 248,638 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 241,675 · +1.2%
- By 2100
- 213,150 · -10.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.79%
- Current HPI
- 351.6972
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+217.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $269,900 Global MLS
- 2023-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $185,500 Public Records
- 2023-03-14 Sold (MLS) $175,000 Global MLS
- 2023-02-25 Pending — Global MLS
- 2023-02-03 Contingent — Global MLS
- 2023-01-27 Price Changed $185,800 Global MLS
- 2023-01-06 Listed $195,800 Global MLS
- 2022-09-14 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2022-09-14 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2022-07-26 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2022-07-10 Contingent — Global MLS
- 2022-06-17 Listed $199,800 Global MLS
- 1998-04-30 Sold (MLS) $72,500 Global MLS
- 1998-01-30 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 1997-07-31 Listed $84,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,287 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…