7707 Bar K Ranch Rd · Lago Vista, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wow! This is one beautifully updated property, inside and out! Perfectly situated within walking distance from Lake Travis and a block from Lago Vista Middle School. This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home boasts recent Espresso Bamboo flooring throughout, Carrara Marble kitchen countertops, recent appliances, recent master bath with double vanity, garden tub and walk-in shower that will not disappoint!
Key facts
- Rare rv hookup
- Private yard
- Shared boat dock
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has homeowners association (LAGO VISTA PROPERTY); Annual association fee: $120
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 total parking spaces (2 covered)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Above-ground utilities; Electricity available; Phone connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces northwest; Has a view; Resale property
- Construction: Built with brick veneer, frame, HardiPlank-type siding, and masonry; Composition roof; Combination foundation (pillars/posts/piers and slab)
- Exterior features: Private yard; Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Electric oven; Free-standing range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Adobe; Bamboo; Brick; Marble; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Recessed lighting; Walk-in closet(s); Screens on windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-905/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $282k (4.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $272k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.3% in Lago Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#275 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Lago Vista ISD (rural): math 33% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #269 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 1092 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 19 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.10%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $401,940
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7605 Sleepy Hollow Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,770 (+2%) | 4mo | $379,900 | $215 | 85 |
| 21510 Sierra Trl | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,760 (+1%) | 10mo | $499,900 | $284 | 81 |
| 21204 Diamond Cv | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,586 (-9%) | 2mo | $309,000 | $195 | 75 |
| 21502 Stampede Trl | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (-11%) | 6mo | $299,900 | $193 | 72 |
| 7900 Bar K Ranch Rd | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,599 (-8%) | 12mo | $324,000 | $203 | 69 |
| 20904 Northland Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,889 (+9%) | 2mo | $575,000 | $304 | 64 |
| 21801 Surrey Ln | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,818 (+4%) | 8mo | $419,906 | $231 | 62 |
| 20803 Northland Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,605 (-8%) | 9mo | $399,000 | $249 | 52 |
| 20909 Ridgeview Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,841 (+6%) | 14mo | $479,900 | $261 | 49 |
| 21013 Ridgeview Loop | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,971 (+13%) | 3mo | $440,000 | $223 | 47 |
| 7416 Spanish Oak Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (-11%) | 6mo | $329,000 | $212 | 46 |
| 6906 Buckboard Cv | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,604 (-8%) | 15mo | $439,000 | $274 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-52,505
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-51,499
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78645
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 1092
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,720 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$544 /mo · $6,530/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$10
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$571
- Net cashflow
- $-75
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20806 Northland Cir Lago Vista, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1962 | $3,500 | $1.78 | 1d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 20703 Ridgeview Rd Lago Vista, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1813 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 22813 Agave Grove Dr Lago Vista, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1638 | $1,925 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 22419 Red Sage Cv Meadowlakes, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2068 | $2,800 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $10 · $120/yr
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending
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2026-04-29historical Active Under Contract
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2026-04-16status Active
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2026-04-08historical Active Under Contract
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2026-03-26$295,000 Active
-
2026-02-25soldstatus
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2026-02-24soldstatus
-
2018-09-28soldstatus
-
2018-09-27soldstatus Sold 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Wow! This is one beautifully updated property, inside and out! Perfectly situated within walking distance from Lake Travis and a block from Lago Vista Middle School. This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home boasts recent Espresso Bamboo flooring throughout, Carrara Marble kitchen countertops, recent appliances, recent master bath with double vanity, garden tub and walk-in shower that will not disappoint!
-
2018-08-17status Pending - Taking Backups 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Wow! This is one beautifully updated property, inside and out! Perfectly situated within walking distance from Lake Travis and a block from Lago Vista Middle School. This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home boasts recent Espresso Bamboo flooring throughout, Carrara Marble kitchen countertops, recent appliances, recent master bath with double vanity, garden tub and walk-in shower that will not disappoint!
-
2018-08-15price $239,000 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Wow! This is one beautifully updated property, inside and out! Perfectly situated within walking distance from Lake Travis and a block from Lago Vista Middle School. This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home boasts recent Espresso Bamboo flooring throughout, Carrara Marble kitchen countertops, recent appliances, recent master bath with double vanity, garden tub and walk-in shower that will not disappoint!
-
2018-08-13status Active 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Wow! This is one beautifully updated property, inside and out! Perfectly situated within walking distance from Lake Travis and a block from Lago Vista Middle School. This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home boasts recent Espresso Bamboo flooring throughout, Carrara Marble kitchen countertops, recent appliances, recent master bath with double vanity, garden tub and walk-in shower that will not disappoint!
-
2018-07-31status Pending 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Wow! This is one beautifully updated property, inside and out! Perfectly situated within walking distance from Lake Travis and a block from Lago Vista Middle School. This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home boasts recent Espresso Bamboo flooring throughout, Carrara Marble kitchen countertops, recent appliances, recent master bath with double vanity, garden tub and walk-in shower that will not disappoint!
-
2018-07-25price $269,000 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Wow! This is one beautifully updated property, inside and out! Perfectly situated within walking distance from Lake Travis and a block from Lago Vista Middle School. This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home boasts recent Espresso Bamboo flooring throughout, Carrara Marble kitchen countertops, recent appliances, recent master bath with double vanity, garden tub and walk-in shower that will not disappoint!
-
2018-07-01price $279,000 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Wow! This is one beautifully updated property, inside and out! Perfectly situated within walking distance from Lake Travis and a block from Lago Vista Middle School. This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home boasts recent Espresso Bamboo flooring throughout, Carrara Marble kitchen countertops, recent appliances, recent master bath with double vanity, garden tub and walk-in shower that will not disappoint!
-
2018-06-24status Active 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Wow! This is one beautifully updated property, inside and out! Perfectly situated within walking distance from Lake Travis and a block from Lago Vista Middle School. This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home boasts recent Espresso Bamboo flooring throughout, Carrara Marble kitchen countertops, recent appliances, recent master bath with double vanity, garden tub and walk-in shower that will not disappoint!
-
2018-06-18status Pending - Taking Backups 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Wow! This is one beautifully updated property, inside and out! Perfectly situated within walking distance from Lake Travis and a block from Lago Vista Middle School. This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home boasts recent Espresso Bamboo flooring throughout, Carrara Marble kitchen countertops, recent appliances, recent master bath with double vanity, garden tub and walk-in shower that will not disappoint!
-
2018-05-11$289,000 Active 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Wow! This is one beautifully updated property, inside and out! Perfectly situated within walking distance from Lake Travis and a block from Lago Vista Middle School. This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home boasts recent Espresso Bamboo flooring throughout, Carrara Marble kitchen countertops, recent appliances, recent master bath with double vanity, garden tub and walk-in shower that will not disappoint!
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2018-03-02soldstatus
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2018-02-27soldstatus Sold 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Peaceful Home on a Private Corner Lot ~ Large Covered Front Porch ~ Tile Upgrades on Kitchen Backsplash, Master Tub Surround & Shower ~ Custom Cabinets in Kitchen ~ Crown Molding, Rounded Corners and Arches ~ Close to Lake Travis with 10 Lakeside Parks, Community Pool, Tennis Camping, Fishing, Boat Ramps & Marina ~ HUD Case #514-093164 ~ HUD homes are Sold As IsFEMA - Unknown
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2018-02-01status Pending 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Peaceful Home on a Private Corner Lot ~ Large Covered Front Porch ~ Tile Upgrades on Kitchen Backsplash, Master Tub Surround & Shower ~ Custom Cabinets in Kitchen ~ Crown Molding, Rounded Corners and Arches ~ Close to Lake Travis with 10 Lakeside Parks, Community Pool, Tennis Camping, Fishing, Boat Ramps & Marina ~ HUD Case #514-093164 ~ HUD homes are Sold As IsFEMA - Unknown
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2018-01-30status Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Peaceful Home on a Private Corner Lot ~ Large Covered Front Porch ~ Tile Upgrades on Kitchen Backsplash, Master Tub Surround & Shower ~ Custom Cabinets in Kitchen ~ Crown Molding, Rounded Corners and Arches ~ Close to Lake Travis with 10 Lakeside Parks, Community Pool, Tennis Camping, Fishing, Boat Ramps & Marina ~ HUD Case #514-093164 ~ HUD homes are Sold As IsFEMA - Unknown
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2018-01-27status Pending 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Peaceful Home on a Private Corner Lot ~ Large Covered Front Porch ~ Tile Upgrades on Kitchen Backsplash, Master Tub Surround & Shower ~ Custom Cabinets in Kitchen ~ Crown Molding, Rounded Corners and Arches ~ Close to Lake Travis with 10 Lakeside Parks, Community Pool, Tennis Camping, Fishing, Boat Ramps & Marina ~ HUD Case #514-093164 ~ HUD homes are Sold As IsFEMA - Unknown
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2018-01-25status Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Peaceful Home on a Private Corner Lot ~ Large Covered Front Porch ~ Tile Upgrades on Kitchen Backsplash, Master Tub Surround & Shower ~ Custom Cabinets in Kitchen ~ Crown Molding, Rounded Corners and Arches ~ Close to Lake Travis with 10 Lakeside Parks, Community Pool, Tennis Camping, Fishing, Boat Ramps & Marina ~ HUD Case #514-093164 ~ HUD homes are Sold As IsFEMA - Unknown
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2018-01-19status Pending 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Peaceful Home on a Private Corner Lot ~ Large Covered Front Porch ~ Tile Upgrades on Kitchen Backsplash, Master Tub Surround & Shower ~ Custom Cabinets in Kitchen ~ Crown Molding, Rounded Corners and Arches ~ Close to Lake Travis with 10 Lakeside Parks, Community Pool, Tennis Camping, Fishing, Boat Ramps & Marina ~ HUD Case #514-093164 ~ HUD homes are Sold As IsFEMA - Unknown
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2018-01-14status Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Peaceful Home on a Private Corner Lot ~ Large Covered Front Porch ~ Tile Upgrades on Kitchen Backsplash, Master Tub Surround & Shower ~ Custom Cabinets in Kitchen ~ Crown Molding, Rounded Corners and Arches ~ Close to Lake Travis with 10 Lakeside Parks, Community Pool, Tennis Camping, Fishing, Boat Ramps & Marina ~ HUD Case #514-093164 ~ HUD homes are Sold As IsFEMA - Unknown
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2018-01-03status Pending 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Peaceful Home on a Private Corner Lot ~ Large Covered Front Porch ~ Tile Upgrades on Kitchen Backsplash, Master Tub Surround & Shower ~ Custom Cabinets in Kitchen ~ Crown Molding, Rounded Corners and Arches ~ Close to Lake Travis with 10 Lakeside Parks, Community Pool, Tennis Camping, Fishing, Boat Ramps & Marina ~ HUD Case #514-093164 ~ HUD homes are Sold As IsFEMA - Unknown
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2017-12-12status Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Peaceful Home on a Private Corner Lot ~ Large Covered Front Porch ~ Tile Upgrades on Kitchen Backsplash, Master Tub Surround & Shower ~ Custom Cabinets in Kitchen ~ Crown Molding, Rounded Corners and Arches ~ Close to Lake Travis with 10 Lakeside Parks, Community Pool, Tennis Camping, Fishing, Boat Ramps & Marina ~ HUD Case #514-093164 ~ HUD homes are Sold As IsFEMA - Unknown
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2017-12-10historical 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Peaceful Home on a Private Corner Lot ~ Large Covered Front Porch ~ Tile Upgrades on Kitchen Backsplash, Master Tub Surround & Shower ~ Custom Cabinets in Kitchen ~ Crown Molding, Rounded Corners and Arches ~ Close to Lake Travis with 10 Lakeside Parks, Community Pool, Tennis Camping, Fishing, Boat Ramps & Marina ~ HUD Case #514-093164 ~ HUD homes are Sold As IsFEMA - Unknown
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2017-12-10$190,000 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Peaceful Home on a Private Corner Lot ~ Large Covered Front Porch ~ Tile Upgrades on Kitchen Backsplash, Master Tub Surround & Shower ~ Custom Cabinets in Kitchen ~ Crown Molding, Rounded Corners and Arches ~ Close to Lake Travis with 10 Lakeside Parks, Community Pool, Tennis Camping, Fishing, Boat Ramps & Marina ~ HUD Case #514-093164 ~ HUD homes are Sold As IsFEMA - Unknown
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2017-05-11historical
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2017-05-11historical Temporarily Off Market
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2017-05-02price
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2017-04-20price
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2017-03-25price
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2017-02-12price
-
2017-02-11status Active
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2017-01-22historical Temporarily Off Market
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2017-01-03Active
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2016-12-31historical Expired
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2016-11-11price
-
2016-09-16Active
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2016-08-05historical Withdrawn
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2016-07-29Active
-
2016-03-31soldstatus
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2015-11-30historical Expired
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2015-11-02price
-
2015-08-25status Active
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2015-08-10historical Temporarily Off Market
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2015-05-22Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,530 · $544/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,530 · $544/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,638
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$6,530
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,611
- − Management
- −$2,611
- − HOA
- −$120
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$5,815
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,396
- After-tax cash flow
- $491/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lago Vista ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826400
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,671
- Composite
- 38.35/100
- National rank
- #4216
- State rank
- #269 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lago Vista
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #275
- US rank
- #6393
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lago Vista, TX
- County
- Travis County · 1,299,254 people
- City population
- 15,256
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,256
- Household income
- $113,008
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20.0
Population outlook (Travis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,545,133 people
- By 2030
- 1,729,269 · +11.9%
- By 2040
- 2,097,596 · +35.8%
- By 2050
- 2,463,890 · +59.5%
- By 2075
- 3,249,374 · +110.3%
- By 2100
- 3,801,868 · +146.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Travis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.3) · D 68.8% · R 29.4% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 39.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.3 2020: D+45.0 2016: D+38.9 2012: D+23.9 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.02%
- Current HPI
- 211.9678
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.98%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+55.3% since first listed59 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2026-04-29 Contingent — Unlock MLS
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2026-04-08 Contingent — Unlock MLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $295,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-02-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-02-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-09-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-09-27 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2018-08-17 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2018-08-15 Price Changed $239,000 Unlock MLS
- 2018-08-13 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2018-07-31 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2018-07-25 Price Changed $269,000 Unlock MLS
- 2018-07-01 Price Changed $279,000 Unlock MLS
- 2018-06-24 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2018-06-18 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2018-05-11 Listed $289,000 Unlock MLS
- 2018-03-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-02-27 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2018-02-01 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2018-01-30 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2018-01-27 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2018-01-25 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2018-01-19 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2018-01-14 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2018-01-03 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2017-12-12 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2017-12-10 Listed $190,000 Unlock MLS
- 2017-12-10 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2017-05-11 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2017-05-11 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2017-05-02 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2017-04-20 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2017-03-25 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2017-02-12 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2017-02-11 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2017-01-22 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2017-01-03 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2016-12-31 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2016-11-11 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2016-09-16 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2016-08-05 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2016-07-29 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2016-03-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-11-30 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2015-11-02 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2015-08-25 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2015-08-10 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2015-05-22 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2011-08-07 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2011-05-27 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2006-09-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-07-15 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2006-06-20 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2006-05-15 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2005-11-10 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2000-08-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1982-06-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2026): $6,530 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…