4144 Lynx Ln · Jonesboro, AR 72405

$304,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,126 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market

Built 2022 8,712 sqft lot $143/sqft · at area comps Est $312k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +9.7/10.0
• ARV discount +8.5/15.0
• Cash flow +7.1/30.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• DSCR +1.3/10.0
• 1% rule +1.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the desirable Bobcat Meadows subdivision, conveniently located just off Airport Road in Jonesboro, Arkansas. Built in 2022, this one-level home offers approx. 2,126 square feet with a functional split floor plan designed for both comfort and privacy. Step inside to a clean, crisp interior featuring stunning white cabinetry, tall ceilings, and large windows that flood the home with natural light. The open-concept kitchen flows seamlessly into the spacious living area, making it perfect for entertaining and everyday living. The luxurious primary suite offers a private retreat with a well-appointed en-suite bath, while the additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned on the opposite side of the home. Enjoy outdoor living with a screened-in back porch and a wooden grilling deck overlooking a privacy-fenced backyard with attractive landscaping—ideal for relaxing or hosting gatherings. Additional features include a 2-car attached garage and a new roof installed in Nov, 2024 for added peace of mind. Priced to sell, this move-in ready home combines modern style, quality construction, and a prime location.

Key facts

• Open-concept kitchen
• Wooden grilling deck
• 8,712 sq ft lot

Tags

• SCREENED-IN BACK PORCH
• WOODEN GRILLING DECK
• PRIVACY-FENCED BACKYARD
• ATTRACTIVE LANDSCAPING
• OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHEN
• FUNCTIONAL SPLIT FLOOR PLAN

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-431 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (25.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (39.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $184k (39.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
• Nettleton School District (urban): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #199 of 238 in AR (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
• Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $184,093 (39.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.60% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.60%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.06%
• DSCR: 0.73
• GRM: 13.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $312,082
• List price: $304,900
• Delta: -2.30%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4345 Cypress Pointe Ln	0.29mi	3/2.0	2,100 (-1%)	6mo	$328,900	$157	79
4208 Bobcat Meadow Ln	0.08mi	3/2.0	1,911 (-10%)	2mo	$297,500	$156	78
4145 Lynx	0.03mi	3/2.0	1,887 (-11%)	2mo	$303,900	$161	78
4145 Bobcat Meadow Ln	0.10mi	3/2.0	1,928 (-9%)	7mo	$309,900	$161	74
1008 Cypress Pointe Cv	0.16mi	3/2.0	1,933 (-9%)	5mo	$313,150	$162	73
4201 Lynx Ln	0.04mi	3/2.0	1,853 (-13%)	5mo	$294,500	$159	72
4108 Stoke Dr	0.39mi	4/2.5 (+1)	2,069 (-3%)	1mo	$330,000	$159	70
4357 Cypress Pointe Ln	0.31mi	4/3.0 (+1)	2,210 (+4%)	2mo	$325,000	$147	68
4212 Stoke Dr	0.38mi	3/2.5	2,000 (-6%)	2mo	$265,000	$133	68
1005 Paragould	0.36mi	3/2.0	1,836 (-14%)	5mo	$255,000	$139	56
4837 Edgemont Dr	0.70mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,819 (-14%)	2mo	$294,990	$162	36
4837 Edgemont Dr	0.70mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,819 (-14%)	2mo	$294,990	$162	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 18.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.48×
• Total profit: $126,442
• Equity at exit: $261,868

10-year hold

• IRR: 17.4%
• Equity multiple: 5.58×
• Total profit: $390,913
• Equity at exit: $551,631

Cash invested: $85,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 72405

• Home prices YoY: 3.5%
• Active inventory: 152
• Price-to-rent: 13.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,841 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,599
• Tax from tax record: −$160 /mo · $1,915/yr
• Insurance: −$127
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$387
• Net cashflow: $-431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,387

Max offer price $228,722

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-259	-5% $-345	+0% $-431	+5% $-518	+10% $-604
Rent	-10% $-577	-5% $-504	+0% $-431	+5% $-359	+10% $-286
Rate	-1.0pp $-278	-0.5pp $-354	base $-431	+0.5pp $-510	+1.0pp $-591

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $76,225
• Closing costs: $9,147
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
337 Wolf Den Dr Jonesboro, AR	3.0	2.0	1419	$1,600	$1.13	44d	1	0.84mi
259 Wolf Den Dr Jonesboro, AR	3.0	2.0	1419	$1,550	$1.09	44d	1	1.01mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-13
   statusdays on market $304,900 Under Contract 55 DOM
2. 2026-06-10
   days on market $304,900 Active 54 DOM
3. 2026-06-09
   days on market $304,900 Active 53 DOM
4. 2026-06-08
   days on market $304,900 Active 52 DOM
5. 2026-06-07
   days on market $304,900 Active 51 DOM
6. 2026-06-05
   days on market $304,900 Active 48 DOM
7. 2026-06-03
   statusdays on market $304,900 Active 47 DOM
8. 2026-06-02
   days on market $304,900 Price Change 46 DOM
9. 2026-06-01
   days on market $304,900 Price Change 45 DOM
10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $304,900 Price Change 44 DOM
11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $304,900 Price Change 43 DOM
12. 2026-04-15
    listed $309,900 New Listing 1188-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1182 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the desirable Bobcat Meadows subdivision, conveniently located just off Airport Road in Jonesboro, Arkansas. Built in 2022, this one-level home offers approx. 2,126 square feet with a functional split floor plan designed for both comfort and privacy. Step inside to a clean, crisp interior featuring stunning white cabinetry, tall ceilings, and large windows that flood the home with natural light. The open-concept kitchen flows seamlessly into the spacious living area, making it perfect for entertaining and everyday living. The luxurious primary suite offers a private retreat with a well-appointed en-suite bath, while the additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned on the opposite side of the home. Enjoy outdoor living with a screened-in back porch and a wooden grilling deck overlooking a privacy-fenced backyard with attractive landscaping ideal for relaxing or hosting gatherings. Additional features include a 2-car attached garage and a new roof installed in Nov, 2024 for added peace of mind. Priced to sell, this move-in ready home combines modern style, quality construction, and a prime location.

13. 2026-04-15
    listed $309,900 Active 1182-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1182 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the desirable Bobcat Meadows subdivision, conveniently located just off Airport Road in Jonesboro, Arkansas. Built in 2022, this one-level home offers approx. 2,126 square feet with a functional split floor plan designed for both comfort and privacy. Step inside to a clean, crisp interior featuring stunning white cabinetry, tall ceilings, and large windows that flood the home with natural light. The open-concept kitchen flows seamlessly into the spacious living area, making it perfect for entertaining and everyday living. The luxurious primary suite offers a private retreat with a well-appointed en-suite bath, while the additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned on the opposite side of the home. Enjoy outdoor living with a screened-in back porch and a wooden grilling deck overlooking a privacy-fenced backyard with attractive landscaping ideal for relaxing or hosting gatherings. Additional features include a 2-car attached garage and a new roof installed in Nov, 2024 for added peace of mind. Priced to sell, this move-in ready home combines modern style, quality construction, and a prime location.

14. 2022-06-24
    soldstatus $301,000
15. 2021-10-25
    listed $300,000
16. 2021-04-13
    soldstatus $45,000
17. 2021-01-03
    listed $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,915 · $160/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,951 · $163/mo
• Expected delta: +$36/yr (+$3/mo · 1.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,091
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,079
• − Property taxes: −$1,915
• − Insurance: −$1,524
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,767
• − Management: −$1,767
• − Depreciation: −$8,870
• Taxable loss: −$10,832
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,600
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,575/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Nettleton School District
• NCES district ID: 0510440
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▼ -12.00%
• Median HH income: $39,754
• Composite: 19.0/100
• National rank: #8846
• State rank: #199 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jonesboro

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #145
• US rank: #12692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jonesboro, AR
• County: Craighead County · 97,185 people
• City population: 91,245
• Metro: Jonesboro, AR
• Population (ZIP): 18,675
• Household income: $92,440
• Rent vs Own: 27.1% rent · 72.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 443.0

Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 122,235 people
• By 2030: 131,338 · +7.4%
• By 2040: 149,862 · +22.6%
• By 2050: 168,034 · +37.5%
• By 2075: 208,094 · +70.2%
• By 2100: 233,251 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 78% Two or more races 10% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Craighead

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 9.42%
• Current HPI: 277.37
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Jonesboro, AR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

+588.7% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-15 Listed $309,900 NEABOR MLS
• 2026-04-15 Listed $309,900 CARMLS
• 2022-06-24 Sold (MLS) $301,000 NEABOR MLS
• 2021-10-25 Listed $300,000 NEABOR MLS
• 2021-04-13 Sold (MLS) $45,000 NEABOR MLS
• 2021-01-03 Listed $45,000 NEABOR MLS

Property tax history

+49.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,915 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.