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2519 Rose Dr
D Composite 43.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

2519 Rose Dr · Gardendale, AL 35116
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · Manufactured public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1971 0.37 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity for homeowners or investors!! This cute 3-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled on a nice-sized lot. This home features a cozy fireplace, attached garage, and plenty of space to relax and enjoy. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and schools, this property offers a great opportunity to add your persoal touch and make it feel like home.

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Nice-sized lot
  • 0.37 acre lot

Tags

ATTACHED GARAGENICE-SIZED LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 0.37 acres lot size; Subdivision: Woodhaven Estates

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with front entry; Driveway and off-street parking; One garage space (main level)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Gas water heater; Internet availability unknown
  • Home design: Vinyl siding construction; Crawl space foundation; Existing (not new) year built status; No pool; Not waterfront
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; Open deck
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Open deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric stove
  • Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms on main level, including a master bedroom (all bedrooms on level 1)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood laminate; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Bathrooms with tub/shower combos
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling (electric)
  • Interior features: Smooth ceilings; One gas fireplace with blower fan in the living room; Laminate countertops in the kitchen; Breakfast bar, eating area and pantry in the kitchen; No additional interior built-in features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (10.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.5% in Gardendale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#113 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bryant Park Elementary (math 13% / reading 38%, grade F, #411 of 627 statewide, top 66%, 708 students, 62% FRL); North Jefferson Middle School (math 13% / reading 45%, grade F, #134 of 257 statewide, top 53%, 666 students, 52% FRL); Mortimer Jordan High School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #114 of 305 statewide, top 38%, 861 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $135k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,123 (10.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.89%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-16,105
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-2.6%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-6,657
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35116

Home prices YoY
-19.0%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,211 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,220/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,096
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $167 -5% $129 +0% $91 +5% $53 +10% $15
Rent -10% $-5 -5% $43 +0% $91 +5% $139 +10% $187
Rate -1.0pp $159 -0.5pp $125 base $91 +0.5pp $56 +1.0pp $20

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $135,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-26
    listed $135,000 Active
  16. 2021-12-22
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,220 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,220 · $102/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,535
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,220
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,163
− Management
−$1,163
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$1,176
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$282
After-tax cash flow
$1,374/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Gardendale

Score
66/100
State rank
#113
US rank
#12225

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
17,288
Population (ZIP)
4,912

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.19%
Current HPI
214.0163
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+117.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $135,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+30.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,220 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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