2519 Rose Dr · Gardendale, AL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity for homeowners or investors!! This cute 3-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled on a nice-sized lot. This home features a cozy fireplace, attached garage, and plenty of space to relax and enjoy. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and schools, this property offers a great opportunity to add your persoal touch and make it feel like home.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Nice-sized lot
- 0.37 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 0.37 acres lot size; Subdivision: Woodhaven Estates
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with front entry; Driveway and off-street parking; One garage space (main level)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Gas water heater; Internet availability unknown
- Home design: Vinyl siding construction; Crawl space foundation; Existing (not new) year built status; No pool; Not waterfront
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; Open deck
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Open deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric stove
- Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms on main level, including a master bedroom (all bedrooms on level 1)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood laminate; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Bathrooms with tub/shower combos
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; One gas fireplace with blower fan in the living room; Laminate countertops in the kitchen; Breakfast bar, eating area and pantry in the kitchen; No additional interior built-in features listed
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (10.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.5% in Gardendale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#113 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Bryant Park Elementary (math 13% / reading 38%, grade F, #411 of 627 statewide, top 66%, 708 students, 62% FRL); North Jefferson Middle School (math 13% / reading 45%, grade F, #134 of 257 statewide, top 53%, 666 students, 52% FRL); Mortimer Jordan High School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #114 of 305 statewide, top 38%, 861 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $135k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.89%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-16,105
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-6,657
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35116
- Home prices YoY
- -19.0%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,211 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,220/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $91
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $167 | -5% $129 | +0% $91 | +5% $53 | +10% $15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-5 | -5% $43 | +0% $91 | +5% $139 | +10% $187 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $159 | -0.5pp $125 | base $91 | +0.5pp $56 | +1.0pp $20 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $135,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$135,000 Active
-
2021-12-22soldstatus $62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,220 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,220 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,220
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,163
- − Management
- −$1,163
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,176
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$282
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,374/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Gardendale
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #12225
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 17,288
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,912
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.19%
- Current HPI
- 214.0163
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+117.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $135,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+30.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,220 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…