2073 Charles Rd · Sale Creek, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$174,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Country Living at its Best! Escape to peaceful country living with this charming 3-bedroom, 2 bath home situated on 0.63 of an acre of unrestricted land- perfect for enjoying freedom and flexibility. Step inside to find LVP flooring, new appliances. Primary suite has a walk-in closet, walk-in shower plus your relaxing stand-alone soaking tub. Enjoy the outdoors from your huge, covered porch ideal for entertaining. Property also includes raised garden beds, perfect for those who love to grow their own vegetables. Additional feature is two car detached carport.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Soaking tub
- New appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.63 acres (survey)
- Financial info: Details not provided
- HOA & community: Details not provided
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport with 2 spaces
- Security: Details not provided
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Detached property; Single-story (details on stories not provided); Living area recorded as 1,216 (source: tax records)
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Level lot; Country setting view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Details not provided
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Heat pump; Electric heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Eat-in kitchen; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Details not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $174k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-196 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (16.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (26.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.2% in Sale Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#211 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Meigs County (rural): math 16% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #122 of 139 in TN (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Meigs Middle School (math 19% / reading 21%, grade F, #198 of 333 statewide, top 61%, 390 students, 0% FRL); Meigs County High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #225 of 332 statewide, top 69%, 538 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 240 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Meigs County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Meigs County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.81%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $82,575
- Equity at exit
- $157,203
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.18×
- Total profit
- $253,024
- Equity at exit
- $339,015
Cash invested: $48,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37322
- Home prices YoY
- 29.4%
- Active inventory
- 240
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,278 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$915
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$218 /mo · $2,618/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $-196
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,625
- Closing costs
- $5,235
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $174,500 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,500 Pending - Continue to Show 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,500 Pending - Continue to Show 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,500 Pending - Continue to Show 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,500 Pending - Continue to Show 68 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $174,500 Pending - Continue to Show 67 DOM
-
2026-03-29status Pending 565-char remark
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
Country Living at its Best! Escape to peaceful country living with this charming 3-bedroom, 2 bath home situated on 0.63 of an acre of unrestricted land- perfect for enjoying freedom and flexibility. Step inside to find LVP flooring, new appliances. Primary suite has a walk-in closet, walk-in shower plus your relaxing stand-alone soaking tub. Enjoy the outdoors from your huge, covered porch ideal for entertaining. Property also includes raised garden beds, perfect for those who love to grow their own vegetables. Additional feature is two car detached carport.
-
2026-03-28historical Active Under Contract 565-char remark
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
Country Living at its Best! Escape to peaceful country living with this charming 3-bedroom, 2 bath home situated on 0.63 of an acre of unrestricted land- perfect for enjoying freedom and flexibility. Step inside to find LVP flooring, new appliances. Primary suite has a walk-in closet, walk-in shower plus your relaxing stand-alone soaking tub. Enjoy the outdoors from your huge, covered porch ideal for entertaining. Property also includes raised garden beds, perfect for those who love to grow their own vegetables. Additional feature is two car detached carport.
-
2026-03-28historical Pending - Continue to Show
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
Country Living at its Best! Escape to peaceful country living with this charming 3-bedroom, 2 bath home situated on 0.63 of an acre of unrestricted land- perfect for enjoying freedom and flexibility. Step inside to find LVP flooring, new appliances. Primary suite has a walk-in closet, walk-in shower plus your relaxing stand-alone soaking tub. Enjoy the outdoors from your huge, covered porch ideal for entertaining. Property also includes raised garden beds, perfect for those who love to grow their own vegetables. Additional feature is two car detached carport.
-
2026-03-24$174,500 Active 565-char remark
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
Country Living at its Best! Escape to peaceful country living with this charming 3-bedroom, 2 bath home situated on 0.63 of an acre of unrestricted land- perfect for enjoying freedom and flexibility. Step inside to find LVP flooring, new appliances. Primary suite has a walk-in closet, walk-in shower plus your relaxing stand-alone soaking tub. Enjoy the outdoors from your huge, covered porch ideal for entertaining. Property also includes raised garden beds, perfect for those who love to grow their own vegetables. Additional feature is two car detached carport.
-
2026-03-24$174,500 Active
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
Country Living at its Best! Escape to peaceful country living with this charming 3-bedroom, 2 bath home situated on 0.63 of an acre of unrestricted land- perfect for enjoying freedom and flexibility. Step inside to find LVP flooring, new appliances. Primary suite has a walk-in closet, walk-in shower plus your relaxing stand-alone soaking tub. Enjoy the outdoors from your huge, covered porch ideal for entertaining. Property also includes raised garden beds, perfect for those who love to grow their own vegetables. Additional feature is two car detached carport.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,341
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,775
- − Property taxes
- −$2,618
- − Insurance
- −$872
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,227
- − Management
- −$1,227
- − Depreciation
- −$5,076
- Taxable loss
- −$5,455
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,309
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,043/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meigs County
- NCES district ID
- 4702910
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,129
- Composite
- 15.74/100
- National rank
- #9278
- State rank
- #122 of 139 in TN
Livability — Sale Creek
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #211
- US rank
- #16188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,949
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,509
Population outlook (Meigs County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,953 people
- By 2030
- 11,878 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 11,514 · -3.7%
- By 2050
- 10,946 · -8.4%
- By 2075
- 9,639 · -19.4%
- By 2100
- 8,171 · -31.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Meigs
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.5) · D 15.9% · R 83.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -67.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.5 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+33.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 93.26%
- Current HPI
- 410.6623
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Pending — RCAOR
- 2026-03-28 Contingent — RCAOR
- 2026-03-28 Contingent — Knoxville MLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $174,500 RCAOR
- 2026-03-24 Listed $174,500 Knoxville MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…