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8821 Royal Grand
D- Composite 38.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.3/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

8821 Royal Grand · Dearborn Heights, MI 48239
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,159 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1957 6,970 sqft lot $190/sqft · 79% above area Est $244k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover a lifestyle of comfort and ease at 8821 Royal Grand, a welcoming single-family residence built in 1957, located in Redford Charter Township, MI. This inviting home is ready for you to move in and begin your next chapter. The kitchen is appointed with matching black appliances, offering a cohesive and functional space for culinary endeavors. The bedrooms feature warm hardwood flooring, adding a touch of classic elegance and comfort underfoot. Beyond the main living areas, a private yard provides a personal outdoor sanctuary. A billiard room, presenting an additional space for recreation and enjoyment. To truly appreciate the thoughtful design and comfortable living offered by this property, schedule your private viewing today. Hardwood floors are freshly finished. Brand new carpet in bedrooms. Master bedroom has an addition that is mutli purpose sitting room/office/nursey.

Key facts

  • New carpet
  • Private yard
  • Billiard room

Tags

PRIVATE YARDBILLIARD ROOMHARDWOOD FLOORSNEW CARPETMULTI PURPOSE SITTING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.16 acres (dimensions 55 x 127.96)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding, brick and stone exterior; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built with above-grade and below-grade finished living areas
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing electric oven; Microwave
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Full, partially finished basement; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-160 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $192k (12.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (21.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, health & safety D+.
  • South Redford School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #455 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Vandenberg Elementary School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 279 students, 82% FRL); John D Pierce Middle School (math 8% / reading 29%, grade F, #432 of 493 statewide, top 88%, 602 students, 68% FRL); Lee M Thurston High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #582 of 713 statewide, top 83%, 883 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 10% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $96k; list at $220k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $173,677 (21.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.12%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$244,257
List price
$220,000
Delta
-9.93%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9130 Kinloch 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,144 (-1%) 3mo $123,000 $108 78
26388 Ann Arbor Trl 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,194 (+3%) 1mo $270,000 $226 72
8356 Glengary St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-5%) 7mo $253,000 $230 68
9335 Louis St 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,267 (+9%) 1mo $255,000 $201 67
9010 Leverne 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-12%) 2mo $220,000 $216 52
9938 Royal Grand 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,219 (+5%) 6mo $197,000 $162 52
9636 Centralia 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,043 (-10%) 4mo $135,000 $129 50
8476 Robindale Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,304 (+12%) 9mo $180,000 $138 49
8074 Nightingale St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-12%) 6mo $200,000 $196 44
9964 Norborne 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,033 (-11%) 5mo $125,900 $122 42
9022 Winston 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-12%) 8mo $215,000 $211 41
9922 Garfield 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-12%) 8mo $175,000 $172 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.2%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-45,368
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-50,684
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48239

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
193
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,737 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$287 /mo · $3,440/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$-160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,939
Max offer price $191,738
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-35 -5% $-98 +0% $-160 +5% $-222 +10% $-285
Rent -10% $-297 -5% $-229 +0% $-160 +5% $-91 +10% $-23
Rate -1.0pp $-49 -0.5pp $-104 base $-160 +0.5pp $-217 +1.0pp $-275

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8455 Robindale Ave Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 6d 1 0.44mi
8402 Robindale Ave Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,600 $1.34 16d 1 0.49mi
8187 Lenore St Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 768 $1,550 $2.02 45d 1 0.87mi
27201 Canfield St W Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 852 $1,499 $1.76 0d 21 1.01mi
7462 N Vernon St Dearborn Heights, MI 4.0 1.0 1113 $1,900 $1.71 0d 1 1.21mi
7080 Highview St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 2.5 1105 $2,000 $1.81 20d 1 1.23mi
7014 Kinmore St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,900 $1.98 23d 1 1.23mi
12107 Centralia Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,800 $1.97 45d 1 1.24mi
79 3rd St Unit 79 Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 840 $1,339 $1.59 26d 1 1.25mi
7420 Drexel St Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,700 $1.57 45d 1 1.28mi
7420 Drexel St Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,600 $1.48 6d 1 1.28mi
7420 Drexel St Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,700 $1.57 19d 1 1.28mi
181 Terri Dr Unit 181 Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 2.0 840 $1,119 $1.33 7d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $220,000 Pending 37 DOM
    Show marketing remark (893 chars)

    Discover a lifestyle of comfort and ease at 8821 Royal Grand, a welcoming single-family residence built in 1957, located in Redford Charter Township, MI. This inviting home is ready for you to move in and begin your next chapter. The kitchen is appointed with matching black appliances, offering a cohesive and functional space for culinary endeavors. The bedrooms feature warm hardwood flooring, adding a touch of classic elegance and comfort underfoot. Beyond the main living areas, a private yard provides a personal outdoor sanctuary. A billiard room, presenting an additional space for recreation and enjoyment. To truly appreciate the thoughtful design and comfortable living offered by this property, schedule your private viewing today. Hardwood floors are freshly finished. Brand new carpet in bedrooms. Master bedroom has an addition that is mutli purpose sitting room/office/nursey.

  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $220,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $230,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-05-01
    price $230,000 893-char remark
    Show marketing remark (893 chars)

    Discover a lifestyle of comfort and ease at 8821 Royal Grand, a welcoming single-family residence built in 1957, located in Redford Charter Township, MI. This inviting home is ready for you to move in and begin your next chapter. The kitchen is appointed with matching black appliances, offering a cohesive and functional space for culinary endeavors. The bedrooms feature warm hardwood flooring, adding a touch of classic elegance and comfort underfoot. Beyond the main living areas, a private yard provides a personal outdoor sanctuary. A billiard room, presenting an additional space for recreation and enjoyment. To truly appreciate the thoughtful design and comfortable living offered by this property, schedule your private viewing today. Hardwood floors are freshly finished. Brand new carpet in bedrooms. Master bedroom has an addition that is mutli purpose sitting room/office/nursey.

  9. 2026-05-01
    listed $199,900 Active 893-char remark
    Show marketing remark (893 chars)

    Discover a lifestyle of comfort and ease at 8821 Royal Grand, a welcoming single-family residence built in 1957, located in Redford Charter Township, MI. This inviting home is ready for you to move in and begin your next chapter. The kitchen is appointed with matching black appliances, offering a cohesive and functional space for culinary endeavors. The bedrooms feature warm hardwood flooring, adding a touch of classic elegance and comfort underfoot. Beyond the main living areas, a private yard provides a personal outdoor sanctuary. A billiard room, presenting an additional space for recreation and enjoyment. To truly appreciate the thoughtful design and comfortable living offered by this property, schedule your private viewing today. Hardwood floors are freshly finished. Brand new carpet in bedrooms. Master bedroom has an addition that is mutli purpose sitting room/office/nursey.

  10. 2026-05-01
    listed $230,000 Active 893-char remark
    Show marketing remark (893 chars)

    Discover a lifestyle of comfort and ease at 8821 Royal Grand, a welcoming single-family residence built in 1957, located in Redford Charter Township, MI. This inviting home is ready for you to move in and begin your next chapter. The kitchen is appointed with matching black appliances, offering a cohesive and functional space for culinary endeavors. The bedrooms feature warm hardwood flooring, adding a touch of classic elegance and comfort underfoot. Beyond the main living areas, a private yard provides a personal outdoor sanctuary. A billiard room, presenting an additional space for recreation and enjoyment. To truly appreciate the thoughtful design and comfortable living offered by this property, schedule your private viewing today. Hardwood floors are freshly finished. Brand new carpet in bedrooms. Master bedroom has an addition that is mutli purpose sitting room/office/nursey.

  11. 1997-10-21
    soldstatus $96,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,440 · $287/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,440 · $287/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,841
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$3,440
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,667
− Management
−$1,667
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$5,757
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,382
After-tax cash flow
$-538/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Redford School District
NCES district ID
2632280
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,775
Composite
18.1/100
National rank
#8972
State rank
#455 of 540 in MI

Livability — Dearborn Heights

Score
79/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#1885

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
61,771
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,976
Household income
$71,151
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
1052.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (58%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -202.97%
Current HPI
236.1136
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+128.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-16 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $220,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $220,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-03 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $230,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $199,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $230,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $96,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,440 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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