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4923 W Wonder Lake Dr
B- Composite 66.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

4923 W Wonder Lake Dr · Wonder Lake, IL 60097
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,414 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1942 0.40 ac lot Est $270k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Endless Potential! Bring your vision to life with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home that's primed and ready for your finishing touches! Much of the heavy lifting has already begun, offering a fantastic head start. Even better? Brand-new, still-in-the-box refrigerator, new stove, flooring, and countertops, are all included with the sale, saving you money in material costs. The real showstopper is the massive 2-car garage. Featuring a framed-out upper level, this space is a blank canvas perfect for a lucrative rental unit, a private home office, or a creative studio. Don't miss this incredible opportunity to build instant equity and design your dream space! The view across the street of the bay i

Key facts

  • New stove
  • New siding
  • New flooring

Tags

BRAND-NEW REFRIGERATORNEW STOVENEW FLOORINGNEW COUNTERTOPSNEW SIDINGMASSIVE 2-CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Special service area: Yes
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (4 garage spaces, 4 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Property is fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Aluminum siding, vinyl siding and brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.25–0.49 acre; Lot dimensions about 100 x 119

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 17 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level (approx. 14 x 12); Two additional main-level bedrooms (each approx. 12 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.6% in Wonder Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#403 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Woodstock CUSD 200 (town): math 24% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #220 of 620 in IL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Greenwood Elem School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #850 of 2,056 statewide, top 45%, 293 students, 0% FRL); Northwood Middle School (math 18% / reading 41%, grade F, #256 of 665 statewide, top 41%, 626 students, 0% FRL); Woodstock High School (math 28% / reading 40%, grade F, #147 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 1,021 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 36% district-wide (36 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,595 units permitted in McHenry County in 2024 (485 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McHenry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $200k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $197,000 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.94%
Cash-on-cash
9.46%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$270,074
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5116 Willow Dr 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,325 (-6%) 1mo $155,000 $117 77
5111 Wonder Woods Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+3%) 7mo $258,000 $177 76
4523 W Lake Shore Dr 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,422 (+1%) 18mo $210,000 $148 66
4725 Winnebago Dr 0.50mi 3/3.5 1,412 (-0%) 10mo $351,000 $249 58
7509 Marblehead Rd 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,580 (+12%) 1mo $275,000 $174 51
4717 Winnebago Dr 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,224 (-13%) 2mo $252,500 $206 50
5016 W Wonder Lake Dr 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,272 (-10%) 22mo $249,000 $196 49
4507 E Wonder Lake Rd 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-8%) 6mo $245,111 $189 48
7526 Salem Rd 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,212 (-14%) 5mo $255,000 $210 45
7506 Salem Rd 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,222 (-14%) 8mo $233,500 $191 40
5535 Wonder Woods Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,238 (-12%) 9mo $262,000 $212 40
4810 Hilltop Dr 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,228 (-13%) 20mo $225,000 $183 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-4,271
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$32,586
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60097

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,292 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$237 /mo · $2,845/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$481
Net cashflow
$441

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,733
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $555 -5% $498 +0% $441 +5% $385 +10% $328
Rent -10% $260 -5% $351 +0% $441 +5% $532 +10% $622
Rate -1.0pp $542 -0.5pp $492 base $441 +0.5pp $390 +1.0pp $337

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8420 Stillwater Rd Wonder Lake, IL 2.0 2.5 1558 $2,300 $1.48 0d 1 0.49mi
8533 Stillwater Rd Wonder Lake, IL 3.0 2.5 1760 $2,400 $1.36 0d 1 0.58mi
5412 E Wonder Lake Rd Wonder Lake, IL 4.0 2.0 1868 $2,100 $1.12 21d 1 0.89mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $200,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $200,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-28
    listed $200,000 Active
  16. 2016-05-03
    soldstatus $50,000
  17. 2014-04-14
    historical
  18. 2013-07-09
    listed New
  19. 2013-05-15
    historical
  20. 2013-03-12
    listed New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,845 · $237/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,693 · $308/mo
Expected delta
+$847/yr (+$71/mo · 29.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,503
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$2,845
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,200
− Management
−$2,200
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable income
$2,236
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$537
After-tax cash flow
$4,760/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Woodstock CUSD 200
NCES district ID
1743330
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$64,309
Composite
28.35/100
National rank
#6773
State rank
#220 of 620 in IL

Livability — Wonder Lake

Score
69/100
State rank
#403
US rank
#8372

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wonder Lake, IL
City population
11,481
Population (ZIP)
11,481

Population outlook (McHenry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
305,342 people
By 2030
301,491 · -1.3%
By 2040
288,211 · -5.6%
By 2050
268,430 · -12.1%
By 2075
226,209 · -25.9%
By 2100
181,247 · -40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 13%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McHenry

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.3) · D 46.6% · R 51.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: 5.3pp · 2024: -5.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.3 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+8.1 2012: R+8.8 2008: D+5.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -117.25%
Current HPI
226.1109
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+300.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $200,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2014-04-14 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-07-09 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-15 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-12 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-2.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,845 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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