8108 Burnt Orchid Dr · Houston, TX 77016

$170,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,052 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 232 Days on market

Built 2023 Fair condition 4,944 sqft lot $162/sqft · 30% below area Est $243k · 30% under $38/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 24% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Appreciation +9.3/10.0
• Cash flow +8.1/30.0
• 1% rule +5.1/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• DSCR +2.1/10.0
• Condition / age +2.0/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

This inviting home at Wayside Village offers an upgraded kitchen with wood cabinetry, granite countertops, LED lighting, vinyl plank flooring, and Whirlpool appliances. The spacious family room is perfect for entertaining, while the large back patio provides additional outdoor space. The master suite features a luxurious bathroom and walk-in closet for added comfort.

Key facts

• Led lighting
• Whirlpool appliances
• Upgraded kitchen

Tags

• UPGRADED KITCHEN
• WOOD CABINETRY
• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• LED LIGHTING
• VINYL PLANK FLOORING
• WHIRLPOOL APPLIANCES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (17.2% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
• Recommended offer: $141k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Marshall El (math 11% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,127 of 4,322 statewide, top 96%, 610 students, 98% FRL); Forest Brook Middle (math 12% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 613 students, 98% FRL); North Forest H S (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,505 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 974 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 376 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 7627% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.

Recommended offer $140,676 (17.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.01% ✓
• Cap rate: 5.12%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.18%
• DSCR: 0.81
• GRM: 8.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $243,306
• List price: $170,000
• Delta: -30.13%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8203 Burnt Orchid Dr	0.04mi	3/2.0	1,076 (+2%)	1mo	$249,900	$232	94
8033 Alpine Bearberry Dr	0.16mi	3/2.0	1,076 (+2%)	8mo	$250,900	$233	82
8112 Sunberry Shadow Dr	0.15mi	3/2.0	1,076 (+2%)	12mo	$251,900	$234	80
10410 Sunny Petal Circle Dr	0.12mi	3/2.0	1,076 (+2%)	14mo	$248,900	$231	79
10404 Sunny Petal Circle Dr	0.12mi	3/2.0	1,076 (+2%)	14mo	$253,900	$236	79
8116 Sunberry Shadow Dr	0.13mi	3/2.0	1,076 (+2%)	14mo	$258,900	$241	79
10713 Red Orchid	0.41mi	3/2.0	1,012 (-4%)	12mo	$221,070	$218	64
10707 Red Orchid	0.40mi	3/2.0	1,012 (-4%)	14mo	$199,000	$197	64
8044 Parker Rd	0.35mi	3/2.0	1,140 (+8%)	13mo	$175,000	$154	59
7706 Lakewood Dr	0.67mi	4/1.5 (+1)	1,084 (+3%)	1mo	$209,000	$193	56
7738 Parker Rd	0.62mi	3/1.5	1,174 (+12%)	12mo	$160,000	$136	39
8328 Caddo Rd	0.69mi	2/1.0 (-1)	934 (-11%)	12mo	$85,000	$91	30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.65% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 17.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.31×
• Total profit: $62,494
• Equity at exit: $136,727

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.83×
• Total profit: $182,170
• Equity at exit: $278,961

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77016

• Home prices YoY: 2.8%
• Rents YoY: 0.4%
• Active inventory: 376
• Price-to-rent: 8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,722 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$891
• Tax from tax record: −$526 /mo · $6,308/yr
• Insurance: −$71
• HOA: −$38
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$362
• Net cashflow: $-166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,932

Max offer price $140,676

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-70	-5% $-118	+0% $-166	+5% $-214	+10% $-262
Rent	-10% $-302	-5% $-234	+0% $-166	+5% $-98	+10% $-30
Rate	-1.0pp $-80	-0.5pp $-123	base $-166	+0.5pp $-210	+1.0pp $-255

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $42,500
• Closing costs: $5,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 23 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
10708 Lavender Cotton Ln Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1406	$2,150	$1.53	45d	1	0.26mi
8003 Alpine Bearberry Dr Houston, TX	3.0–4.0	2.0–2.5	1696	$2,000	$1.18	9d	1	0.26mi
10314 Woodwick St Unit 1283919P Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1496	$3,865	$2.58	0d	1	0.54mi
7726 Spinet St Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1456	$2,375	$1.63	9d	1	0.55mi
8213 Bigwood St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1150	$1,595	$1.39	45d	1	0.62mi
8302 Caddo Rd Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	896	$1,450	$1.62	45d	1	0.63mi
8122 Sterlingshire St Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1160	$1,450	$1.25	16d	1	0.70mi
8122 Sterlingshire St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1160	$1,525	$1.31	16d	1	0.70mi
8126 Sterlingshire St Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1150	$1,350	$1.17	26d	1	0.70mi
10750 Nyla Spring St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1500	$1,975	$1.32	20d	1	0.84mi
6822 Leedale St Houston, TX	3.0	1.0	978	$1,500	$1.53	45d	1	0.89mi
6823 Hanley Ln Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1303	$1,610	$1.24	7d	1	0.96mi
9550 N Wayside Dr Houston, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	896	$1,399	$1.56	3d	5	1.06mi
7314 Saunders Rd Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1339	$1,723	$1.29	15d	1	1.10mi
8600 Sterlingshire St Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0	732	$1,050	$1.43	26d	2	1.12mi
8346 Tidwell Rd Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	980	$1,000	$1.02	45d	1	1.14mi
8350 Tidwell Rd Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	980	$975	$0.99	45d	1	1.14mi
7252 Parker Rd Houston, TX	3.0	1.0	916	$1,650	$1.80	45d	1	1.17mi
9700 Mesa Dr Houston, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	784	$989	$1.26	1d	9	1.27mi
7176 Parker Rd Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1152	$1,200	$1.04	45d	1	1.32mi
8006 Lynette St Houston, TX	3.0	1.0	1400	$1,475	$1.05	26d	1	1.41mi
9222 Hillis St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1498	$1,850	$1.23	45d	1	1.42mi
11235 Lemond Dr Houston, TX	3.0	1.0	1368	$1,450	$1.06	23d	1	1.46mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $38 · $456/yr
• Likely covers: pool

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-05-20
   status Pending 369-char remark

   Show marketing remark (369 chars)

   This inviting home at Wayside Village offers an upgraded kitchen with wood cabinetry, granite countertops, LED lighting, vinyl plank flooring, and Whirlpool appliances. The spacious family room is perfect for entertaining, while the large back patio provides additional outdoor space. The master suite features a luxurious bathroom and walk-in closet for added comfort.

2. 2026-05-11
   price $170,000 369-char remark

   Show marketing remark (369 chars)

   This inviting home at Wayside Village offers an upgraded kitchen with wood cabinetry, granite countertops, LED lighting, vinyl plank flooring, and Whirlpool appliances. The spacious family room is perfect for entertaining, while the large back patio provides additional outdoor space. The master suite features a luxurious bathroom and walk-in closet for added comfort.

3. 2026-03-21
   historical $2,200
4. 2026-01-06
   listed $2,200
5. 2025-11-05
   status Active 369-char remark

   Show marketing remark (369 chars)

   This inviting home at Wayside Village offers an upgraded kitchen with wood cabinetry, granite countertops, LED lighting, vinyl plank flooring, and Whirlpool appliances. The spacious family room is perfect for entertaining, while the large back patio provides additional outdoor space. The master suite features a luxurious bathroom and walk-in closet for added comfort.

6. 2025-11-05
   price $235,000 369-char remark

   Show marketing remark (369 chars)

   This inviting home at Wayside Village offers an upgraded kitchen with wood cabinetry, granite countertops, LED lighting, vinyl plank flooring, and Whirlpool appliances. The spacious family room is perfect for entertaining, while the large back patio provides additional outdoor space. The master suite features a luxurious bathroom and walk-in closet for added comfort.

7. 2025-11-03
   historical 369-char remark

   Show marketing remark (369 chars)

   This inviting home at Wayside Village offers an upgraded kitchen with wood cabinetry, granite countertops, LED lighting, vinyl plank flooring, and Whirlpool appliances. The spacious family room is perfect for entertaining, while the large back patio provides additional outdoor space. The master suite features a luxurious bathroom and walk-in closet for added comfort.

8. 2025-10-07
   price $240,000 369-char remark

   Show marketing remark (369 chars)

   This inviting home at Wayside Village offers an upgraded kitchen with wood cabinetry, granite countertops, LED lighting, vinyl plank flooring, and Whirlpool appliances. The spacious family room is perfect for entertaining, while the large back patio provides additional outdoor space. The master suite features a luxurious bathroom and walk-in closet for added comfort.

9. 2025-10-06
   listed $238,000 Active 369-char remark

   Show marketing remark (369 chars)

   This inviting home at Wayside Village offers an upgraded kitchen with wood cabinetry, granite countertops, LED lighting, vinyl plank flooring, and Whirlpool appliances. The spacious family room is perfect for entertaining, while the large back patio provides additional outdoor space. The master suite features a luxurious bathroom and walk-in closet for added comfort.

10. 2023-12-28
    soldstatus Sold 522-char remark

    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    This spacious home at Wayside Village is move-in ready and includes an upgraded kitchen with stunning wood cabinetry, granite countertops, recessed LED lighting, luxury vinyl plank flooring and a full suite of appliances by Whirlpool, including a refrigerator and built-in microwave. The family room will comfortably fit your sectional sofa, coffee tables and big-screen TV, while the oversized back patio extends the entertainment space outdoors. The master suite showcases a generously sized bathroom and walk-in closet.

11. 2023-12-04
    status Pending, Continue to Show 522-char remark

    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    This spacious home at Wayside Village is move-in ready and includes an upgraded kitchen with stunning wood cabinetry, granite countertops, recessed LED lighting, luxury vinyl plank flooring and a full suite of appliances by Whirlpool, including a refrigerator and built-in microwave. The family room will comfortably fit your sectional sofa, coffee tables and big-screen TV, while the oversized back patio extends the entertainment space outdoors. The master suite showcases a generously sized bathroom and walk-in closet.

12. 2023-11-16
    price $227,900 522-char remark

    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    This spacious home at Wayside Village is move-in ready and includes an upgraded kitchen with stunning wood cabinetry, granite countertops, recessed LED lighting, luxury vinyl plank flooring and a full suite of appliances by Whirlpool, including a refrigerator and built-in microwave. The family room will comfortably fit your sectional sofa, coffee tables and big-screen TV, while the oversized back patio extends the entertainment space outdoors. The master suite showcases a generously sized bathroom and walk-in closet.

13. 2023-11-04
    listed $224,900 Active 522-char remark

    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    This spacious home at Wayside Village is move-in ready and includes an upgraded kitchen with stunning wood cabinetry, granite countertops, recessed LED lighting, luxury vinyl plank flooring and a full suite of appliances by Whirlpool, including a refrigerator and built-in microwave. The family room will comfortably fit your sectional sofa, coffee tables and big-screen TV, while the oversized back patio extends the entertainment space outdoors. The master suite showcases a generously sized bathroom and walk-in closet.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $6,308 · $526/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $6,308 · $526/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,659
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,523
• − Property taxes: −$6,308
• − Insurance: −$850
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,653
• − Management: −$1,653
• − HOA: −$456
• − Depreciation: −$4,945
• Taxable loss: −$4,729
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,135
• After-tax cash flow: $-857/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 40/100 Moderate rehab

This single-family home at Wayside Village is in fair condition with good upgrades in the kitchen and master suite. It requires some minor repairs and maintenance, particularly in landscaping and driveway sealing, to improve its value and appeal to buyers/tenants.

Repairs flagged

• Minor Landscaping — Some areas of the lawn appear slightly overgrown.
• Minor Driveway — Some cracks in the concrete surface.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Landscaping and lawn maintenance — A well-maintained yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
• Both Sealing and repairing driveway cracks — A repaired driveway can prevent further damage and improve the home's appearance.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
Landscaping · Some areas of the lawn appear slightly overgrown.	Minor	$500–3,000
Driveway · Some cracks in the concrete surface.	Minor	$500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items		$1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping and lawn maintenance — A well-maintained yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
• Both Sealing and repairing driveway cracks — A repaired driveway can prevent further damage and improve the home's appearance. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Houston ISD
• NCES district ID: 4823640
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $46,054
• Composite: 26.63/100
• National rank: #7173
• State rank: #593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #184
• US rank: #4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Houston, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 29,841
• Household income: $47,677
• Rent vs Own: 38.8% rent · 61.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1297.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (56%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 28%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 34%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada
• Languages at home: 61% English-only · Spanish 37%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 8.65%
• Current HPI: 315.6765
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.44%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-24.4% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-05-11 Price Changed $170,000 HARMLS
• 2026-03-21 Rental Removed $2,200 HARMLS
• 2026-01-06 Listed for Rent $2,200 HARMLS
• 2025-11-05 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2025-11-05 Price Changed $235,000 HARMLS
• 2025-11-03 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-10-07 Price Changed $240,000 HARMLS
• 2025-10-06 Listed $238,000 HARMLS
• 2023-12-28 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2023-12-04 Pending — HARMLS
• 2023-11-16 Price Changed $227,900 HARMLS
• 2023-11-04 Listed $224,900 HARMLS

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,308 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.