980 W Prior Ave · Coolidge, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to own this charming single-level home in McClellan Meadows! Offering 3 beds, 2 baths, a mature landscape, and a sided 2-car garage w/ extended driveway. Come inside to find a desirable great room paired with abundant natural light & sliding doors to the back. The kitchen features built-in appliances, a pantry, recessed lighting, and ample wood cabinetry. The large primary bedroom boasts a private bathroom for added comfort. Check out the spacious backyard, providing a covered patio to relax or enjoy BBQ! Conveniently close to schools, parks, shopping, dining options, and more. If you are looking for a place to make your own, this is the one you're looking for! Perfe
Key facts
- 5,521 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2019
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.5% in Coolidge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#235 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Coolidge Unified District (4442) (town): math 8% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #229 of 249 in AZ (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Heartland Ranch Elementary School (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #871 of 1,109 statewide, top 80%, 525 students, 84% FRL); Coolidge High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #343 of 381 statewide, top 93%, 640 students, 68% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 271 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.91%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $241,152
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1063 W Verde Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,217 (-3%) | 2mo | $248,675 | $204 | 75 |
| 1182 S 11th St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+6%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $177 | 71 |
| 535 W Lincoln Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,282 (+2%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $62 | 70 |
| 985 W Palo Verde Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+6%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $196 | 67 |
| 1064 W Starview Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+6%) | 7mo | $235,762 | $178 | 66 |
| 1407 S Navajo Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,261 (+0%) | 13mo | $240,000 | $190 | 60 |
| 541 W Roosevelt Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+6%) | 6mo | $255,000 | $192 | 58 |
| 721 W Pima Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,214 (-3%) | 12mo | $167,500 | $138 | 58 |
| 667 W Pinkley Ave W | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,221 (-3%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $164 | 55 |
| 694 W Coolidge Pl | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,115 (-11%) | 13mo | $279,500 | $251 | 52 |
| 554 W Lincoln Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,393 (+11%) | 3mo | $292,000 | $210 | 49 |
| 227 S 16th St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,103 (-12%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $209 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-5,648
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $10,030
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85128
- Home prices YoY
- -7.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 271
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,714 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,237/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$55
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $347
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $432 | -5% $389 | +0% $347 | +5% $304 | +10% $262 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $211 | -5% $279 | +0% $347 | +5% $414 | +10% $482 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $422 | -0.5pp $385 | base $347 | +0.5pp $308 | +1.0pp $268 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1211 W Wilson Ave Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $1,625 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1204 W Prior Ave Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,595 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1209 W Seagoe Ave Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,695 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1081 W Palo Verde Ave Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1517 | $1,750 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1286 W Roosevelt Ave Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $1,649 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 611 W Verde Ln Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1681 | $1,395 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1451 W Pinkley Ave Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 19d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1505 S Navajo Ln Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1743 | $1,700 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 203 S 16th St Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1389 | $1,550 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1304 W Byrd Ave Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1775 | $1,725 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1304 W Byrd Ave Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1775 | $1,725 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 393 W Seagoe Ave Unit B Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 651 N 13th Pl Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1858 | $2,300 | $1.24 | 6d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1759 W Wilson Ave Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 816 W Mid Way St Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 232 W Elm Ave Unit B Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1452 | $1,350 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1019 W Hess Ave Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,700 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 440 W Taylor Ave Coolidge, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,250 | $1.26 | 16d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 144 W Lincoln Ave Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,299 | $1.15 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 248 N 20th St Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,645 | $1.14 | 6d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1105 N Cota Ln Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1321 | $2,500 | $1.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1330 W Hess Ave Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $1,795 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 342 W Taylor Ave Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 961 W Toltec Dr Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,495 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 311 W Bealey Ave Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1436 W Toltec Dr Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,575 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1653 W Hopi Dr Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $1,620 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1707 W Hopi Dr Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $2,095 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1474 W Inca Dr Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,595 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1234 N 13th St Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $1,595 | $1.27 | 12d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 313 E Central Ave Coolidge, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 227 W Douglas Ave Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 144 W Douglas Ave Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1801 | $1,639 | $0.91 | 4d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 228 W Hess Ave Coolidge, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,450 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 392 E Dirkley Ave Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1660 S Wooten St Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1385 | $1,500 | $1.08 | 6d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1224 N Palm Ln Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1824 S Wooten St Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1621 | $1,575 | $0.97 | 6d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 940 N Sonora St Coolidge, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 131 E Patton Ave Coolidge, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1221 | $2,200 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $55 · $660/yr
Listing history 22 events
-
2025-09-05status Pending
-
2025-09-05$150,000 Active
-
2025-06-04historical
-
2025-05-26$199,999 Active
-
2025-04-11status Pending
-
2025-04-11historical
-
2025-04-02price $206,900
-
2025-03-20$209,900 Active
-
2024-12-30historical
-
2024-12-06$200,000 Active
-
2024-08-26historical
-
2024-05-26$209,000 Active
-
2020-01-11historical
-
2020-01-06$174,260 Active
-
2019-07-08historical
-
2019-05-25price $179,990
-
2019-02-09historical
-
2019-02-08$177,990 Active
-
2018-12-10$177,990 Active
-
2018-08-16soldstatus $526,500
-
2009-09-10soldstatus $760,000
-
2005-10-25soldstatus $8,748,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,237 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,237 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,565
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,237
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,645
- − Management
- −$1,645
- − HOA
- −$660
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,862
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$447
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,713/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coolidge Unified District (4442)
- NCES district ID
- 0402320
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,182
- Composite
- 10.35/100
- National rank
- #9787
- State rank
- #229 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Coolidge
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #235
- US rank
- #22344
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coolidge, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 19,487
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,487
- Household income
- $65,477
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 264.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 29% Two or more races 22% Native American 17% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.95%
- Current HPI
- 280.3422
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.97%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
-98.3% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-05 Pending — ARMLS
- 2025-09-05 Listed $150,000 ARMLS
- 2025-06-04 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-05-26 Listed $199,999 ARMLS
- 2025-04-11 Pending — ARMLS
- 2025-04-11 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-04-02 Price Changed $206,900 ARMLS
- 2025-03-20 Listed $209,900 ARMLS
- 2024-12-30 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2024-12-06 Listed $200,000 ARMLS
- 2024-08-26 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2024-05-26 Listed $209,000 ARMLS
- 2020-01-11 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2020-01-06 Listed $174,260 ARMLS
- 2019-07-08 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2019-05-25 Price Changed $179,990 ARMLS
- 2019-02-09 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2019-02-08 Listed $177,990 ARMLS
- 2018-12-10 Listed $177,990 ARMLS
- 2018-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $526,500 Public Records
- 2009-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $760,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $8,748,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,237 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…