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14156 Jim Run Rd
D+ Composite 45.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0

$190,000

14156 Jim Run Rd · Blooming Grove, IN 47024
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Manufactured public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1900 1.20 ac lot $147/sqft · 52% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FIXER UPPER! 3 bedroom 2 bath with a full basement doublewide on 1.2 acres. House needs paint, carpet, new stairway and deck and pool needs rebuilt. (PLEASE DO NOT WALK ON DECK OR USE BASEMENT STAIRS). House must sell conventional loan or cash, NO USDA OR HUD. Sale is subject to court approval.

Key facts

  • 1.2 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-80 ($-957/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (7.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (31.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Market conditions: 58 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
  • Franklin County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 31% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $130,583 (31.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.80%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$396,770
List price
$190,000
Delta
-52.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

7.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$72,389
Equity at exit
$143,609
10-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
5.01×
Total profit
$213,565
Equity at exit
$284,361

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47024

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,306 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $430/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$-80

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,407
Max offer price $175,905
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    status $190,000 Pending 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-03-23
    status Active 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    FIXER UPPER! 3 bedroom 2 bath with a full basement doublewide on 1.2 acres. House needs paint, carpet, new stairway and deck and pool needs rebuilt. (PLEASE DO NOT WALK ON DECK OR USE BASEMENT STAIRS). House must sell conventional loan or cash, NO USDA OR HUD. Sale is subject to court approval.

  7. 2026-03-23
    price $190,000 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    FIXER UPPER! 3 bedroom 2 bath with a full basement doublewide on 1.2 acres. House needs paint, carpet, new stairway and deck and pool needs rebuilt. (PLEASE DO NOT WALK ON DECK OR USE BASEMENT STAIRS). House must sell conventional loan or cash, NO USDA OR HUD. Sale is subject to court approval.

  8. 2025-11-20
    status Pending 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    FIXER UPPER! 3 bedroom 2 bath with a full basement doublewide on 1.2 acres. House needs paint, carpet, new stairway and deck and pool needs rebuilt. (PLEASE DO NOT WALK ON DECK OR USE BASEMENT STAIRS). House must sell conventional loan or cash, NO USDA OR HUD. Sale is subject to court approval.

  9. 2025-11-19
    listed $145,000 Active 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    FIXER UPPER! 3 bedroom 2 bath with a full basement doublewide on 1.2 acres. House needs paint, carpet, new stairway and deck and pool needs rebuilt. (PLEASE DO NOT WALK ON DECK OR USE BASEMENT STAIRS). House must sell conventional loan or cash, NO USDA OR HUD. Sale is subject to court approval.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$430 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,023 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$592/yr (+$49/mo · 137.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,670
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$430
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,254
− Management
−$1,254
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$4,388
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,053
After-tax cash flow
$96/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Blooming Grove

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,909

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,796 people
By 2030
22,556 · -1.1%
By 2040
21,762 · -4.5%
By 2050
20,575 · -9.7%
By 2075
17,810 · -21.9%
By 2100
13,698 · -39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.4) · D 17.1% · R 81.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-30.3pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -64.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.4 2020: R+63.0 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+42.8 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.94%
Current HPI
255.8207
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Relisted SEIBR
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $190,000 SEIBR
  • 2025-11-20 Pending SEIBR
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $145,000 SEIBR

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $430 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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