47630 Van Dyke Ave Denwood Ave · Utica, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a beautiful 2-bedroom updated Condo is MOVE-IN-READY. Coin operated laundry room, reserved storage space for your belongings. The Complex offers a large in-ground community pool and courtyard for entertaining and gatherings. WATER AND GAS , structure and grounds maintenance included with monthly HOA. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all the info and sizes. buyer and buyers agent to verify all the info.
Key facts
- Pool
- Built 1965
- Listed 16 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $260
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Brick exterior; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: In-ground pool; Paved road access; Irregular-shaped lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Ground-level entry; 4 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.4% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#106 in MI, #2,586 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, employment D.
- Utica Community Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #126 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.05%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $214,830
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7515 Saint John St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 986 (+6%) | 1mo | $247,900 | $251 | 68 |
| 7101 Reber Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+8%) | 6mo | $171,000 | $171 | 58 |
| 7000 Ryburn St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (+2%) | 14mo | $245,000 | $258 | 56 |
| 11152 Rhode Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 997 (+7%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $211 | 52 |
| 47270 Burton Dr | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-14%) | 20mo | $185,000 | $231 | 49 |
| 48037 Remer Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+13%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $190 | 46 |
| 8490 Millis Rd | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (+14%) | 22mo | $190,000 | $179 | 40 |
| 6651 Mayfair Rd | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 1,060 (+14%) | 8mo | $265,000 | $250 | 39 |
| 46261 Harry St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 812 (-13%) | 10mo | $188,500 | $232 | 38 |
| 11044 Doren Ct | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,046 (+12%) | 19mo | $220,000 | $210 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-3,415
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $10,840
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48312
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,274 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$260
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $160
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $218 | -5% $189 | +0% $160 | +5% $130 | +10% $101 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $59 | -5% $109 | +0% $160 | +5% $210 | +10% $260 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $202 | -0.5pp $181 | base $160 | +0.5pp $138 | +1.0pp $115 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8254 Mary Ann Ave Unit 1032360P Shelby Township, MI | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1517 | $6,357 | $4.19 | 0d | 2 | 0.50mi |
| 45631 Harry St Utica, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $1,295 | $1.70 | 0d | 6 | 0.88mi |
| 45850 Cass Ave Apt 3 Utica, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 45850 Cass Ave Apt 3 Utica, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 45835 Brownell St Utica, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 45631 Brownell St Unit 17 Utica, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,235 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 48770 Shelby Rd Shelby Twp, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,195 | $1.64 | 19d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 48770 Shelby Rd Shelby Twp, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,395 | $1.71 | 0d | 3 | 1.03mi |
| 48596 Roma Valley Dr Shelby Township, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 45d | 2 | 1.11mi |
| 8310 Hall Rd Utica, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $945 | $1.45 | 25d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 8310 Hall Rd Utica, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $945 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 7650 Greeley St Utica, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,250 | $1.89 | 23d | 2 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $260 · $3,120/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaslandscapingpool
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $84,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-15price $84,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 414-char remark
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2026-06-07$89,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,285
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,223
- − Management
- −$1,223
- − HOA
- −$3,120
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $796
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$191
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,724/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This 2-bedroom condo is in good condition with minor repairs needed in landscaping and interior painting. It is MOVE-IN-READY and offers a good return on investment with potential for increased value through cosmetic updates.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown areas and some bare patches in the landscaping.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Improving the curb appeal and exterior appearance can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Interior painting — Refreshing the interior paint can make the space more inviting and increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Landscaping · Overgrown areas and some bare patches in the landscaping. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 1 items | $500–3,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Improving the curb appeal and exterior appearance can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Interior painting — Refreshing the interior paint can make the space more inviting and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634470
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,953
- Composite
- 40.52/100
- National rank
- #3709
- State rank
- #126 of 540 in MI
Livability — Utica
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #2586
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,401
- Household income
- $68,061
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 910.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 9% Asian 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Arab 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Arabic 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -279.41%
- Current HPI
- 203.3039
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…