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47630 Van Dyke Ave Denwood Ave
C+ Composite 62.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

47630 Van Dyke Ave Denwood Ave · Utica, MI 48312
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 930 sqft · SingleFamily · 17 Days on market
Built 1965 Good condition $260/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is a beautiful 2-bedroom updated Condo is MOVE-IN-READY. Coin operated laundry room, reserved storage space for your belongings. The Complex offers a large in-ground community pool and courtyard for entertaining and gatherings. WATER AND GAS , structure and grounds maintenance included with monthly HOA. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all the info and sizes. buyer and buyers agent to verify all the info.

Key facts

  • Pool
  • Built 1965
  • Listed 16 days

Tags

IN GROUND COMMUNITY POOLRESERVED STORAGE SPACECOURTYARD FOR ENTERTAINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $260

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Brick exterior; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: In-ground pool; Paved road access; Irregular-shaped lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Ground-level entry; 4 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.4% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#106 in MI, #2,586 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, employment D.
  • Utica Community Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #126 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
Recommended offer $83,626 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
8.55%
Cash-on-cash
8.05%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$214,830
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7515 Saint John St 0.47mi 2/1.0 986 (+6%) 1mo $247,900 $251 68
7101 Reber Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+8%) 6mo $171,000 $171 58
7000 Ryburn St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 950 (+2%) 14mo $245,000 $258 56
11152 Rhode Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 997 (+7%) 1mo $210,000 $211 52
47270 Burton Dr 0.24mi 2/1.0 800 (-14%) 20mo $185,000 $231 49
48037 Remer Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (+13%) 6mo $199,000 $190 46
8490 Millis Rd 0.40mi 2/1.0 1,064 (+14%) 22mo $190,000 $179 40
6651 Mayfair Rd 0.66mi 2/1.0 1,060 (+14%) 8mo $265,000 $250 39
46261 Harry St 0.69mi 2/1.0 812 (-13%) 10mo $188,500 $232 38
11044 Doren Ct 0.59mi 2/1.0 1,046 (+12%) 19mo $220,000 $210 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-3,415
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$10,840
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48312

Active inventory
163
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,274 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$260
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,072
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $218 -5% $189 +0% $160 +5% $130 +10% $101
Rent -10% $59 -5% $109 +0% $160 +5% $210 +10% $260
Rate -1.0pp $202 -0.5pp $181 base $160 +0.5pp $138 +1.0pp $115

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8254 Mary Ann Ave Unit 1032360P Shelby Township, MI 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1517 $6,357 $4.19 0d 2 0.50mi
45631 Harry St Utica, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 762 $1,295 $1.70 0d 6 0.88mi
45850 Cass Ave Apt 3 Utica, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 45d 1 0.88mi
45850 Cass Ave Apt 3 Utica, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 14d 1 0.88mi
45835 Brownell St Utica, MI 1.0 1.0 800 $1,150 $1.44 45d 1 0.94mi
45631 Brownell St Unit 17 Utica, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,235 $1.45 45d 1 1.01mi
48770 Shelby Rd Shelby Twp, MI 1.0 1.0 730 $1,195 $1.64 19d 1 1.03mi
48770 Shelby Rd Shelby Twp, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 817 $1,395 $1.71 0d 3 1.03mi
48596 Roma Valley Dr Shelby Township, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,100 $1.33 45d 2 1.11mi
8310 Hall Rd Utica, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $945 $1.45 25d 2 1.39mi
8310 Hall Rd Utica, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $945 $1.45 21d 1 1.39mi
7650 Greeley St Utica, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 662 $1,250 $1.89 23d 2 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$260 · $3,120/yr
Likely covers
watergaslandscapingpool

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $84,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    price $84,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 414-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $89,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,285
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,274
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,223
− Management
−$1,223
− HOA
−$3,120
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$796
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$191
After-tax cash flow
$1,724/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2-bedroom condo is in good condition with minor repairs needed in landscaping and interior painting. It is MOVE-IN-READY and offers a good return on investment with potential for increased value through cosmetic updates.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Landscaping — Overgrown areas and some bare patches in the landscaping.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Improving the curb appeal and exterior appearance can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Interior painting — Refreshing the interior paint can make the space more inviting and increase both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Landscaping · Overgrown areas and some bare patches in the landscaping. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 1 items $500–3,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Improving the curb appeal and exterior appearance can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Interior painting — Refreshing the interior paint can make the space more inviting and increase both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Utica Community Schools
NCES district ID
2634470
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$65,953
Composite
40.52/100
National rank
#3709
State rank
#126 of 540 in MI

Livability — Utica

Score
78/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#2586

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,401
Household income
$68,061
Rent vs Own
25.4% rent · 74.6% own
Severe rent burden
910.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 9% Asian 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Arab 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
66% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Arabic 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -279.41%
Current HPI
203.3039
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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