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3034 Pete Worthington Rd
D Composite 41.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.5/10.0

$269,900

3034 Pete Worthington Rd · Dayton, TN 37332
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,824 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1980 0.57 ac lot $148/sqft · 36% below area Est $421k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This newly renovated three-bedroom, two-bathroom home in Rhea County has plenty to offer! Updates include new flooring, cabinets with granite countertops, appliances, fresh paint throughout, a new front porch, exterior siding, and light fixtures. Step inside to a welcoming living room, followed by an eat-in kitchen with a sliding glass door that opens to the backyard—perfect for grilling or outdoor dining. Down the hall, you'll find a full guest bathroom, two guest bedrooms, and the primary suite. The lower level features an extra living or bonus room, plus another space ideal for an office, craft area, or playroom. Buyer to verify all information.

Key facts

  • New front porch
  • Exterior siding
  • New flooring

Tags

NEW FLOORINGGRANITE COUNTERTOPSNEW FRONT PORCHEXTERIOR SIDINGSLIDING GLASS DOOREXTRA LIVING ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking (no garage)
  • Utilities: Public water available; Septic tank; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Three or more levels; Existing structure
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Other exterior materials; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Shared driveway; Gravel driveway; Lot approximately 0.57 acres (dimensions ~347 x 147 irregular)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air plus other cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-395 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (25.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (44.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (44.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.5% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#143 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Rhea County (rural): math 35% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #38 of 139 in TN (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Frazier Elementary (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #139 of 952 statewide, top 16%, 336 students, 0% FRL); Rhea Middle School (math 39% / reading 26%, grade F, #81 of 333 statewide, top 26%, 556 students, 0% FRL); Rhea County High School (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #86 of 332 statewide, top 27%, 1,500 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 198 units permitted in Rhea County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $96k; list at $270k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,207 (44.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.55%
Cap rate
4.54%
Cash-on-cash
-6.26%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
15.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$420,586
List price
$269,900
Delta
-33.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
148 Tucker Chase Ct 0.64mi 3/2.5 2,035 (+12%) 8mo $370,000 $182 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$25,615
Equity at exit
$140,918
10-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
2.39×
Total profit
$104,737
Equity at exit
$233,795

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37332

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
68
Price-to-rent
15.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,492 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $545/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$-395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,991
Max offer price $200,206
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-242 -5% $-318 +0% $-395 +5% $-780 +10% $-873
Rent -10% $-512 -5% $-453 +0% $-395 +5% $-336 +10% $-277
Rate -1.0pp $-259 -0.5pp $-326 base $-395 +0.5pp $-464 +1.0pp $-536

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $269,900 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $269,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,900 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $269,900 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $269,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,900 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,900 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $269,900 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,900 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,900 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,900 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,900 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-04-24
    price $279,900 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This newly renovated three-bedroom, two-bathroom home in Rhea County has plenty to offer! Updates include new flooring, cabinets with granite countertops, appliances, fresh paint throughout, a new front porch, exterior siding, and light fixtures. Step inside to a welcoming living room, followed by an eat-in kitchen with a sliding glass door that opens to the backyard—perfect for grilling or outdoor dining. Down the hall, you'll find a full guest bathroom, two guest bedrooms, and the primary suite. The lower level features an extra living or bonus room, plus another space ideal for an office, craft area, or playroom. Buyer to verify all information.

  18. 2026-04-24
    price $279,900 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This newly renovated three-bedroom, two-bathroom home in Rhea County has plenty to offer! Updates include new flooring, cabinets with granite countertops, appliances, fresh paint throughout, a new front porch, exterior siding, and light fixtures. Step inside to a welcoming living room, followed by an eat-in kitchen with a sliding glass door that opens to the backyard—perfect for grilling or outdoor dining. Down the hall, you'll find a full guest bathroom, two guest bedrooms, and the primary suite. The lower level features an extra living or bonus room, plus another space ideal for an office, craft area, or playroom. Buyer to verify all information.

  19. 2026-03-19
    price $283,900 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This newly renovated three-bedroom, two-bathroom home in Rhea County has plenty to offer! Updates include new flooring, cabinets with granite countertops, appliances, fresh paint throughout, a new front porch, exterior siding, and light fixtures. Step inside to a welcoming living room, followed by an eat-in kitchen with a sliding glass door that opens to the backyard—perfect for grilling or outdoor dining. Down the hall, you'll find a full guest bathroom, two guest bedrooms, and the primary suite. The lower level features an extra living or bonus room, plus another space ideal for an office, craft area, or playroom. Buyer to verify all information.

  20. 2026-03-19
    price $283,900 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This newly renovated three-bedroom, two-bathroom home in Rhea County has plenty to offer! Updates include new flooring, cabinets with granite countertops, appliances, fresh paint throughout, a new front porch, exterior siding, and light fixtures. Step inside to a welcoming living room, followed by an eat-in kitchen with a sliding glass door that opens to the backyard—perfect for grilling or outdoor dining. Down the hall, you'll find a full guest bathroom, two guest bedrooms, and the primary suite. The lower level features an extra living or bonus room, plus another space ideal for an office, craft area, or playroom. Buyer to verify all information.

  21. 2026-02-23
    price $284,900 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This newly renovated three-bedroom, two-bathroom home in Rhea County has plenty to offer! Updates include new flooring, cabinets with granite countertops, appliances, fresh paint throughout, a new front porch, exterior siding, and light fixtures. Step inside to a welcoming living room, followed by an eat-in kitchen with a sliding glass door that opens to the backyard—perfect for grilling or outdoor dining. Down the hall, you'll find a full guest bathroom, two guest bedrooms, and the primary suite. The lower level features an extra living or bonus room, plus another space ideal for an office, craft area, or playroom. Buyer to verify all information.

  22. 2026-02-23
    price $284,900 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This newly renovated three-bedroom, two-bathroom home in Rhea County has plenty to offer! Updates include new flooring, cabinets with granite countertops, appliances, fresh paint throughout, a new front porch, exterior siding, and light fixtures. Step inside to a welcoming living room, followed by an eat-in kitchen with a sliding glass door that opens to the backyard—perfect for grilling or outdoor dining. Down the hall, you'll find a full guest bathroom, two guest bedrooms, and the primary suite. The lower level features an extra living or bonus room, plus another space ideal for an office, craft area, or playroom. Buyer to verify all information.

  23. 2026-01-17
    listed $289,900 Active 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This newly renovated three-bedroom, two-bathroom home in Rhea County has plenty to offer! Updates include new flooring, cabinets with granite countertops, appliances, fresh paint throughout, a new front porch, exterior siding, and light fixtures. Step inside to a welcoming living room, followed by an eat-in kitchen with a sliding glass door that opens to the backyard—perfect for grilling or outdoor dining. Down the hall, you'll find a full guest bathroom, two guest bedrooms, and the primary suite. The lower level features an extra living or bonus room, plus another space ideal for an office, craft area, or playroom. Buyer to verify all information.

  24. 2026-01-16
    listed $289,900 Active 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This newly renovated three-bedroom, two-bathroom home in Rhea County has plenty to offer! Updates include new flooring, cabinets with granite countertops, appliances, fresh paint throughout, a new front porch, exterior siding, and light fixtures. Step inside to a welcoming living room, followed by an eat-in kitchen with a sliding glass door that opens to the backyard—perfect for grilling or outdoor dining. Down the hall, you'll find a full guest bathroom, two guest bedrooms, and the primary suite. The lower level features an extra living or bonus room, plus another space ideal for an office, craft area, or playroom. Buyer to verify all information.

  25. 2008-03-20
    soldstatus $96,000
  26. 2008-03-20
    soldstatus $96,000
  27. 2008-02-03
    listed $109,500
  28. 2007-04-05
    listed $44,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$545 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,916 · $160/mo
Expected delta
+$1,371/yr (+$114/mo · 251.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,905
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$545
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,432
− Management
−$1,432
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$9,825
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,358
After-tax cash flow
$-2,376/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rhea County
NCES district ID
4703510
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,059
Composite
27.67/100
National rank
#6917
State rank
#38 of 139 in TN

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#12896

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
20,670
Population (ZIP)
2,123

Population outlook (Rhea County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,187 people
By 2030
33,482 · +0.9%
By 2040
33,786 · +1.8%
By 2050
33,730 · +1.6%
By 2075
33,603 · +1.3%
By 2100
33,312 · +0.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 7% Slovak 4% Scottish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rhea

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.9) · D 16.0% · R 82.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.7pp toward R · 2008: -46.2pp · 2024: -66.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.9 2020: R+63.7 2016: R+61.3 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+46.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.26%
Current HPI
398.9351
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+501.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $269,900 RCAOR
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $269,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $269,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $279,900 RCAOR
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $279,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $283,900 RCAOR
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $283,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $284,900 RCAOR
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $284,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-01-17 Listed $279,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-17 Listed $289,900 RCAOR
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $289,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2008-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
  • 2008-03-20 Sold (MLS) $96,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2008-02-03 Listed $109,500 Knoxville MLS
  • 2007-04-05 Listed $44,900 Knoxville MLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $545 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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