19535 Spruce Dr · Anchorage, AK 99567

$132,400

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,068 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market

Built 1981 1.13 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Looking for a great opportunity? This property has tons of potential. It is located close to main roads with easy access to local amenities, such as shopping, banking, schools, and various eateries. Per our BPO/TAX describes the property as a SFR (Split) built in 1981. It has a GLA of approx. 1068 and has 3 bedrooms and 1bath. NO basement.

Key facts

• Close to main roads
• 1.13 acre lot
• Garage

Tags

• EASY ACCESS TO LOCAL AMENITIES
• CLOSE TO MAIN ROADS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $132k).
• Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Chugiak Elementary (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C+, #25 of 156 statewide, top 18%, 448 students, 17% FRL); Chugiak High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #17 of 61 statewide, top 32%, 905 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools average 18% FRL vs 38% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $915 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price.

Recommended offer $132,400

Questions for the listing agent

1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.24% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 38.67%
• DSCR: 2.72
• GRM: 3.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 34.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.48×
• Total profit: $54,823
• Equity at exit: $19,741

10-year hold

• IRR: 41.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.95×
• Total profit: $146,482
• Equity at exit: $11,448

Cash invested: $37,072 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alaska: 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

30-day notice; security deposits capped; courts moderate-paced.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 99567

• Home prices YoY: -4.7%
• Active inventory: 93
• Price-to-rent: 3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,966 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$694
• Tax from tax record: −$399 /mo · $4,791/yr
• Insurance: −$55
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$623
• Net cashflow: $1,195

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,454

Max offer price $132,400

Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,270	-5% $1,232	+0% $1,195	+5% $1,157	+10% $1,120
Rent	-10% $960	-5% $1,077	+0% $1,195	+5% $1,312	+10% $1,429
Rate	-1.0pp $1,261	-0.5pp $1,228	base $1,195	+0.5pp $1,160	+1.0pp $1,125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $33,100
• Closing costs: $3,972
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-02-27
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-17
   listed $132,400 Active
3. 1992-02-12
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $4,791 · $399/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,791 · $399/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $35,597
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,416
• − Property taxes: −$4,791
• − Insurance: −$662
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,848
• − Management: −$2,848
• − Depreciation: −$3,852
• Taxable income: $13,180
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,163
• After-tax cash flow: $11,173/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Anchorage School District
• NCES district ID: 0200180
• Math proficiency: 37% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $76,447
• Composite: 37.0/100
• National rank: #4523
• State rank: #6 of 21 in AK

Livability — Anchorage

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #6
• US rank: #2553

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Anchorage, AK
• City population: 218,117
• Population (ZIP): 6,739

Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 314,993 people
• By 2030: 321,771 · +2.2%
• By 2040: 335,493 · +6.5%
• By 2050: 352,799 · +12.0%
• By 2075: 414,771 · +31.7%
• By 2100: 474,485 · +50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Native American 5% Pacific Islander 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage

• 2024 margin: D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
• 2016→2024 swing: +27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -13.74%
• Current HPI: 279.3784
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-27 Pending — AKMLS
• 2026-02-17 Listed $132,400 AKMLS
• 1992-02-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,791 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.