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65 Hess Ave
D Composite 42.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$309,000

65 Hess Ave · Hellertown, PA 18055
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,414 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1951 7,800 sqft lot Est $335k · 8% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Offered for sale for the first time in nearly 70 years, this expanded Cape Cod blends classic charm with thoughtful updates. The home features four bedrooms, including two conveniently located on the first floor and two additional bedrooms upstairs. A spacious living room welcomes you with a bright bay window and an economical pellet stove, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The generously sized kitchen offers abundant countertop and cabinet space, along with direct access to a side patio—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Additional highlights include central air and a basement already equipped with shower and toilet fixtures, ready to be finished into a second full bath. Seller says HARDWOOD FLOORS are under the carpet on the 2nd floor and 1st floor (except the kitchen). The walk-out basement leads to an attached garage area for added convenience. Outside, you'll find a large driveway with space for four or more vehicles, plus a storage shed. Tucked away on a quiet borough street, this home offers a peaceful setting while still being within walking distance to parks, shopping, and dining—and just a short drive to major routes. Desirable Saucon Valley Schools K-12. Approximately 1 hour from Philadelphia, 90 minutes to NYC and 10 miles to Lehigh Valley International Airport.

Key facts

  • 7,800 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1951

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $309k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-146 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $283k (8.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (16.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $257k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#83 in PA, #609 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Saucon Valley SD (suburban): math 57% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #58 of 539 in PA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Saucon Valley El Sch (math 53% / reading 66%, grade B-, #377 of 1,518 statewide, top 28%, 670 students, 27% FRL); Saucon Valley Ms (math 48% / reading 67%, grade B, #61 of 512 statewide, top 13%, 635 students, 28% FRL); Saucon Valley Shs (math 87% / reading 24%, grade C, #93 of 437 statewide, top 22%, 648 students, 20% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $256,701 (16.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.02%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$335,118
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
29 Hess Ave 0.08mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,416 (+0%) 5mo $290,000 $205 85
1736 Franklin St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+10%) 2mo $291,500 $187 69
133 Roth Ave 0.06mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,239 (-12%) 9mo $291,000 $235 64
1212 New Jersey Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,418 (+0%) 9mo $330,000 $233 62
1459 Easton Rd 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,578 (+12%) 3mo $375,000 $238 54
1027 1st Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,507 (+7%) 3mo $373,000 $248 54
1015 Detweiler Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,512 (+7%) 7mo $370,000 $245 49
1215 Easton Rd 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,619 (+14%) 2mo $384,000 $237 46
1390 New Jersey Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,596 (+13%) 6mo $375,000 $235 45
1314 Detweiler Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,220 (-14%) 14mo $347,000 $284 38
1831 Auburn St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,575 (+11%) 8mo $302,000 $192 38
1065 Easton Rd 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,204 (-15%) 7mo $285,000 $237 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.6%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-59,276
Equity at exit
$46,073
10-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-63,297
Equity at exit
$26,717

Cash invested: $86,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18055

Home prices YoY
-32.4%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,567 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,620
Tax from tax record
$424 /mo · $5,091/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$539
Net cashflow
$-146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,751
Max offer price $283,297
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $29 -5% $-58 +0% $-146 +5% $-233 +10% $-320
Rent -10% $-348 -5% $-247 +0% $-146 +5% $-44 +10% $57
Rate -1.0pp $10 -0.5pp $-67 base $-146 +0.5pp $-226 +1.0pp $-307

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,250
Closing costs
$9,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1610 Ravena St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 2.5 1562 $2,690 $1.72 4d 1 0.15mi
1430 Jadden Ct Bethlehem, PA 3.0 2.5 1690 $2,650 $1.57 25d 1 0.25mi
1641 Riegel St Hellertown, PA 3.0 2.5 1600 $2,680 $1.68 45d 1 0.30mi
1119 Furnace St Hellertown, PA 2.0 1.0 1063 $2,000 $1.88 4d 1 0.46mi
1600 Oakridge Ln Hellertown, PA 3.0 3.5 1782 $3,195 $1.79 45d 1 0.50mi
1088 1st Ave Hellertown, PA 2.0 1.0 911 $1,725 $1.89 45d 1 0.52mi
2515 Bethlehem Fields Way Bethlehem, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1019 $3,000 $2.94 4d 1 0.56mi
1953 Chancellor St Hellertown, PA 2.0 2.5 1680 $2,200 $1.31 25d 1 0.99mi
1236 E 7th St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 2.5 1424 $2,350 $1.65 4d 1 1.39mi
1306 E 4th St #3 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1324 chars)

    Offered for sale for the first time in nearly 70 years, this expanded Cape Cod blends classic charm with thoughtful updates. The home features four bedrooms, including two conveniently located on the first floor and two additional bedrooms upstairs. A spacious living room welcomes you with a bright bay window and an economical pellet stove, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The generously sized kitchen offers abundant countertop and cabinet space, along with direct access to a side patio—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Additional highlights include central air and a basement already equipped with shower and toilet fixtures, ready to be finished into a second full bath. Seller says HARDWOOD FLOORS are under the carpet on the 2nd floor and 1st floor (except the kitchen). The walk-out basement leads to an attached garage area for added convenience. Outside, you'll find a large driveway with space for four or more vehicles, plus a storage shed. Tucked away on a quiet borough street, this home offers a peaceful setting while still being within walking distance to parks, shopping, and dining—and just a short drive to major routes. Desirable Saucon Valley Schools K-12. Approximately 1 hour from Philadelphia, 90 minutes to NYC and 10 miles to Lehigh Valley International Airport.

  2. 2026-04-28
    status Pending 1324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1324 chars)

    Offered for sale for the first time in nearly 70 years, this expanded Cape Cod blends classic charm with thoughtful updates. The home features four bedrooms, including two conveniently located on the first floor and two additional bedrooms upstairs. A spacious living room welcomes you with a bright bay window and an economical pellet stove, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The generously sized kitchen offers abundant countertop and cabinet space, along with direct access to a side patio—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Additional highlights include central air and a basement already equipped with shower and toilet fixtures, ready to be finished into a second full bath. Seller says HARDWOOD FLOORS are under the carpet on the 2nd floor and 1st floor (except the kitchen). The walk-out basement leads to an attached garage area for added convenience. Outside, you'll find a large driveway with space for four or more vehicles, plus a storage shed. Tucked away on a quiet borough street, this home offers a peaceful setting while still being within walking distance to parks, shopping, and dining—and just a short drive to major routes. Desirable Saucon Valley Schools K-12. Approximately 1 hour from Philadelphia, 90 minutes to NYC and 10 miles to Lehigh Valley International Airport.

  3. 2026-04-18
    price $309,000
    Show marketing remark (1324 chars)

    Offered for sale for the first time in nearly 70 years, this expanded Cape Cod blends classic charm with thoughtful updates. The home features four bedrooms, including two conveniently located on the first floor and two additional bedrooms upstairs. A spacious living room welcomes you with a bright bay window and an economical pellet stove, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The generously sized kitchen offers abundant countertop and cabinet space, along with direct access to a side patio—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Additional highlights include central air and a basement already equipped with shower and toilet fixtures, ready to be finished into a second full bath. Seller says HARDWOOD FLOORS are under the carpet on the 2nd floor and 1st floor (except the kitchen). The walk-out basement leads to an attached garage area for added convenience. Outside, you'll find a large driveway with space for four or more vehicles, plus a storage shed. Tucked away on a quiet borough street, this home offers a peaceful setting while still being within walking distance to parks, shopping, and dining—and just a short drive to major routes. Desirable Saucon Valley Schools K-12. Approximately 1 hour from Philadelphia, 90 minutes to NYC and 10 miles to Lehigh Valley International Airport.

  4. 2026-04-18
    price $309,000 1324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1324 chars)

    Offered for sale for the first time in nearly 70 years, this expanded Cape Cod blends classic charm with thoughtful updates. The home features four bedrooms, including two conveniently located on the first floor and two additional bedrooms upstairs. A spacious living room welcomes you with a bright bay window and an economical pellet stove, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The generously sized kitchen offers abundant countertop and cabinet space, along with direct access to a side patio—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Additional highlights include central air and a basement already equipped with shower and toilet fixtures, ready to be finished into a second full bath. Seller says HARDWOOD FLOORS are under the carpet on the 2nd floor and 1st floor (except the kitchen). The walk-out basement leads to an attached garage area for added convenience. Outside, you'll find a large driveway with space for four or more vehicles, plus a storage shed. Tucked away on a quiet borough street, this home offers a peaceful setting while still being within walking distance to parks, shopping, and dining—and just a short drive to major routes. Desirable Saucon Valley Schools K-12. Approximately 1 hour from Philadelphia, 90 minutes to NYC and 10 miles to Lehigh Valley International Airport.

  5. 2026-04-08
    listed $330,000 Active 1324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1324 chars)

    Offered for sale for the first time in nearly 70 years, this expanded Cape Cod blends classic charm with thoughtful updates. The home features four bedrooms, including two conveniently located on the first floor and two additional bedrooms upstairs. A spacious living room welcomes you with a bright bay window and an economical pellet stove, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The generously sized kitchen offers abundant countertop and cabinet space, along with direct access to a side patio—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Additional highlights include central air and a basement already equipped with shower and toilet fixtures, ready to be finished into a second full bath. Seller says HARDWOOD FLOORS are under the carpet on the 2nd floor and 1st floor (except the kitchen). The walk-out basement leads to an attached garage area for added convenience. Outside, you'll find a large driveway with space for four or more vehicles, plus a storage shed. Tucked away on a quiet borough street, this home offers a peaceful setting while still being within walking distance to parks, shopping, and dining—and just a short drive to major routes. Desirable Saucon Valley Schools K-12. Approximately 1 hour from Philadelphia, 90 minutes to NYC and 10 miles to Lehigh Valley International Airport.

  6. 2026-04-08
    listed $330,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1324 chars)

    Offered for sale for the first time in nearly 70 years, this expanded Cape Cod blends classic charm with thoughtful updates. The home features four bedrooms, including two conveniently located on the first floor and two additional bedrooms upstairs. A spacious living room welcomes you with a bright bay window and an economical pellet stove, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The generously sized kitchen offers abundant countertop and cabinet space, along with direct access to a side patio—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Additional highlights include central air and a basement already equipped with shower and toilet fixtures, ready to be finished into a second full bath. Seller says HARDWOOD FLOORS are under the carpet on the 2nd floor and 1st floor (except the kitchen). The walk-out basement leads to an attached garage area for added convenience. Outside, you'll find a large driveway with space for four or more vehicles, plus a storage shed. Tucked away on a quiet borough street, this home offers a peaceful setting while still being within walking distance to parks, shopping, and dining—and just a short drive to major routes. Desirable Saucon Valley Schools K-12. Approximately 1 hour from Philadelphia, 90 minutes to NYC and 10 miles to Lehigh Valley International Airport.

  7. 2026-04-07
    historical $330,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,091 · $424/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,091 · $424/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,804
− Mortgage interest
−$17,309
− Property taxes
−$5,091
− Insurance
−$1,545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,464
− Management
−$2,464
− Depreciation
−$8,989
Taxable loss
−$7,059
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,694
After-tax cash flow
$-52/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saucon Valley SD
NCES district ID
4211730
Math proficiency
57% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$67,374
Composite
53.95/100
National rank
#1401
State rank
#58 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hellertown

Score
85/100
State rank
#83
US rank
#609

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hellertown, PA
Population (ZIP)
11,947

Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
312,227 people
By 2030
314,769 · +0.8%
By 2040
316,914 · +1.5%
By 2050
318,037 · +1.9%
By 2075
334,003 · +7.0%
By 2100
344,696 · +10.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Polish 3% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Northampton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.7 2016: R+3.8 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.15%
Current HPI
236.3688
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $309,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $309,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $330,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $330,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-07 Coming Soon $330,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $5,091 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…