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305 Sycamore St
D+ Composite 48.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,500

305 Sycamore St · Elizabethtown, KY 42701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,020 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 154 Days on market
Built 1951 8,712 sqft lot Est $187k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Location, Location Location!!! Close to shopping, schools and groceries. This 3 bedroom ranch home in Elizabethtown. Nice size living room. Eat in kitchen with lovely cabinets. There is an office, deck and nice level fenced back yard with shade trees to enjoy this spring and summer. Great for a first home or retirement home.

Key facts

  • Office
  • Beautiful cabinets
  • Eat in kitchen

Tags

EAT IN KITCHENBEAUTIFUL CABINETSOFFICEDECKLEVEL FENCED BACK YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Subdivision: ROSEMONT HIGHLAND; Directions: Dixie 31 W to Sycamore

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Accessible full bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $156k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($168/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (19.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.4% in Elizabethtown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#131 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Elizabethtown Independent (urban): math 26% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #66 of 165 in KY (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Elizabethtown High School (math 35% / reading 45%, grade F, #39 of 254 statewide, top 15%, 824 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 539 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 946 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (464 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hardin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,310 (19.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.38%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$186,660
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
403 Village Dr 0.19mi 2/1.0 1,100 (+8%) 8mo $178,000 $162 72
404 Diecks Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,002 (-2%) 7mo $165,000 $165 72
517 Henry St 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-2%) 2mo $189,000 $189 68
508 Sunrise Ln 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+2%) 9mo $218,500 $210 66
101 Mt Vernon Ct 0.36mi 2/1.5 1,073 (+5%) 9mo $217,000 $202 65
626 N Miles St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-2%) 8mo $182,600 $183 64
512 N Mantle Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 1,100 (+8%) 6mo $172,000 $156 63
417 Moninda Ln 0.20mi 2/1.0 885 (-13%) 8mo $101,064 $114 61
505 Henry St 0.47mi 2/1.0 1,144 (+12%) 2mo $160,000 $140 56
521 Monin Rd 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (-9%) 0mo $91,300 $99 54
206 Beech St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,107 (+8%) 1mo $225,000 $203 53
212 Chandler St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,120 (+10%) 3mo $207,500 $185 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-23,945
Equity at exit
$23,186
10-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-18,204
Equity at exit
$13,445

Cash invested: $43,540 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42701

Home prices YoY
-29.8%
Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
539
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$815
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,149/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,235
Max offer price $155,500
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,875
Closing costs
$4,665
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
900 David Ct Elizabethtown, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 780 $985 $1.26 43d 15 1.09mi
206 Cole Gray Blvd Elizabethtown, KY 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1730 $1,399 $0.81 3d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $155,500 Active 154 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $155,500 Active 153 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 149 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 147 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 146 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 145 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 144 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $159,900 Active 141 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 139 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 138 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 137 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 136 DOM
  16. 2026-01-14
    listed $159,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,149 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,337 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$188/yr (+$16/mo · 16.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,037
− Mortgage interest
−$8,710
− Property taxes
−$1,149
− Insurance
−$778
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,203
− Management
−$1,203
− Depreciation
−$4,524
Taxable loss
−$2,529
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$607
After-tax cash flow
$775/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elizabethtown Independent
NCES district ID
2101650
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$36,400
Composite
29.39/100
National rank
#6526
State rank
#66 of 165 in KY

Livability — Elizabethtown

Score
72/100
State rank
#131
US rank
#6198

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elizabethtown, KY
County
Hardin County · 77,611 people
City population
53,987
Metro
Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY
Population (ZIP)
53,987
Household income
$69,619
Rent vs Own
38.4% rent · 61.6% own
Severe rent burden
1663.0

Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,573 people
By 2030
103,563 · -1.9%
By 2040
97,077 · -8.0%
By 2050
88,367 · -16.3%
By 2075
65,405 · -38.0%
By 2100
42,245 · -60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hardin

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.7pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -29.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+30.2 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+20.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.94%
Current HPI
228.7091
Rent YoY
▲ 3.32%
Metro
Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $159,900 HKARMLS

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,149 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…