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5200-5200 Irvine Blvd #285
D+ Composite 46.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.5/30.0
  • Schools +6.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0

$519,000

5200-5200 Irvine Blvd #285 · Irvine, CA 92620
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured · 19 Days on market
Built 1978 1,248 sqft lot Est $570k · 9% under $289/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover unparalleled comfort and convenience in this well-maintained home, ideally situated on one of The Groves' most desirable lots. Tucked away on a quiet corner with a serene park behind, yet offering access to nearby restaurants and supermarkets just steps away. This location truly offers the best of both worlds. Enjoy complete peace of mind with many recent capital improvements ensuring modern comfort and lasting value. The home was termite tented in 2021, upgraded with a new HVAC system and water heater in 2022, outfitted with a brand-new roof in 2023, and refreshed with new exterior paint and wood repair in 2024. Step inside to a thoughtfully designed interior. To your right, a we

Key facts

  • 1,248 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community features include street lighting, park, and dog park
  • HOA & community: Part of The Groves Homeowners, Inc association; Monthly association fee; Association fee collected monthly; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, spa, gym/exercise room, tennis and pickleball, outdoor cooking and barbecue areas, picnic area, multipurpose/recreational room, meeting/banquet/card rooms, concierge, controlled access, guard, dog park, common RV parking, maintenance of grounds, and insurance; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached front-entry garage; 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Security: Controlled access; Guarded community
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured property; Single-story; No shared/common walls; Offers a view; Planned development community
  • Construction: Year built reported by seller
  • Exterior features: Manufactured house; Association-maintained in-ground heated pool and spa; Association pool; Sprinkler system; Landscaped yard with front yard and greenbelt; Close to clubhouse; Yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast counter/bar; Formal dining room
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main floor; All bedrooms on main floor; Includes an office and a primary suite
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One 3/4 bathroom; Two bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling
  • Interior features: One-level home with ground-level entry; Main floor entry; Main level bedrooms and bathrooms
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $519k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-457 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $438k (15.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $365k (29.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $365k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 1.2% in Irvine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#100 in CA, #3,537 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Irvine Unified (urban): math 74% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #31 of 517 in CA (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Northwood Elementary (516 students, 31% FRL); Sierra Vista Middle (1,126 students, 17% FRL); Northwood High (math 75% / reading 83%, grade A-, #51 of 1,170 statewide, top 4%, 2,251 students, 19% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 151 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($511k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $365,264 (29.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.24%
Cash-on-cash
-3.77%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$570,336
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5200 Irvine Blvd #286 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (0%) 1mo $565,000 $453 100
5200 Irvine Blvd #94 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (0%) 16mo $570,000 $457 86
5200 Irvine Blvd #217 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (0%) 20mo $575,000 $461 84

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.48% appreciation · 0.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$8,990
Equity at exit
$218,370
10-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$78,469
Equity at exit
$325,310

Cash invested: $145,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92620

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,653 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,722
Tax from tax record
$115 /mo · $1,384/yr
Insurance
$216
HOA
$289
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$767
Net cashflow
$-457

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,231
Max offer price $438,324
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-163 -5% $-310 +0% $-457 +5% $-604 +10% $-750
Rent -10% $-745 -5% $-601 +0% $-457 +5% $-312 +10% $-168
Rate -1.0pp $-195 -0.5pp $-325 base $-457 +0.5pp $-591 +1.0pp $-728

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$129,750
Closing costs
$15,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
230 Springview Irvine, CA 2.0 1.0 809 $2,600 $3.21 45d 1 0.26mi
247 Streamwood Irvine, CA 2.0 1.0 887 $3,250 $3.66 19d 1 0.33mi
40 Lakepines Irvine, CA 2.0 1.5 1204 $3,300 $2.74 20d 1 0.35mi
20 Lakepines Irvine, CA 2.0 1.5 1204 $3,300 $2.74 19d 1 0.36mi
163 Pineview Irvine, CA 1.0 1.0 934 $3,200 $3.43 12d 1 0.39mi
33 Richmond Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1370 $4,100 $2.99 3d 1 0.44mi
2 Tonada Dr Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1432 $3,900 $2.72 20d 1 0.65mi
49 Canal Irvine, CA 2.0 2.5 1021 $5,800 $5.68 45d 1 0.67mi
19 Fulton Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1475 $4,300 $2.92 0d 1 0.68mi
162 Overbrook Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1129 $4,200 $3.72 45d 1 0.75mi
122 Overbrook Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1129 $3,600 $3.19 45d 1 0.76mi
100 Simplicity Irvine, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 954 $3,575 $3.75 5d 22 0.77mi
261 Mayfair Irvine, CA 3.0 2.0 1378 $4,500 $3.27 0d 1 0.84mi
70 Kempton Irvine, CA 2.0 1.5 1129 $3,600 $3.19 45d 1 0.87mi
37 Spanish Lace Irvine, CA 1.0 2.0 1100 $3,000 $2.73 45d 1 0.91mi
76 Great Lawn Irvine, CA 2.0 2.5 1154 $3,800 $3.29 7d 1 0.92mi
8 Iceberg Rose Irvine, CA 2.0 2.5 1170 $4,050 $3.46 45d 1 0.94mi
39 Costa Brava Irvine, CA 2.0 2.5 1170 $4,000 $3.42 26d 1 0.96mi
100 Piedmont Irvine, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 769 $3,200 $4.16 0d 1 0.98mi
33 Iceberg Rose Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1106 $3,500 $3.16 45d 1 0.99mi
8 New Hvn Irvine, CA 3.0 3.0 1273 $3,997 $3.14 0d 1 0.99mi
4 New Hvn Unit 1 Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1424 $4,100 $2.88 45d 1 1.00mi
100 Mirasol Irvine, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 987 $3,710 $3.76 0d 1 1.04mi
18 Filare Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1385 $4,300 $3.10 4d 1 1.04mi
52 Bridgeport Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 948 $3,600 $3.80 4d 1 1.08mi
317 Huntington Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $3,100 $3.10 15d 1 1.11mi
42 Talisman Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1165 $3,700 $3.18 4d 1 1.12mi
365 Huntington #189 Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1224 $3,750 $3.06 45d 1 1.13mi
145 Huntington Irvine, CA 3.0 2.5 1224 $3,900 $3.19 45d 1 1.14mi
4 Van Buren #313 Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 903 $3,300 $3.65 14d 1 1.17mi
441 Ridgeway Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1291 $3,700 $2.87 45d 1 1.24mi
3 Salton Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1462 $3,700 $2.53 22d 1 1.24mi
100 Virtuoso Irvine, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 926 $3,795 $4.10 0d 1 1.24mi
210 Timberwood Irvine, CA 2.0 2.5 1224 $3,650 $2.98 45d 1 1.25mi
1300 Hayes St Irvine, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 882 $3,015 $3.42 0d 1 1.25mi
449 Ridgeway Irvine, CA 3.0 3.0 1500 $4,500 $3.00 45d 1 1.26mi
100 Grand Canal Irvine, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 901 $4,440 $4.93 0d 108 1.27mi
74 Rosenblum Unit 108 Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1462 $3,800 $2.60 24d 1 1.27mi
117 Islington Irvine, CA 2.0 2.0 1291 $3,650 $2.83 45d 1 1.29mi
1412 Timberwood Irvine, CA 2.0 2.5 1300 $3,600 $2.77 15d 1 1.29mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$289 · $3,468/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $519,000 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $519,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $519,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $519,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $519,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $519,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $519,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $519,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $519,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $519,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $519,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $519,000 Active 1 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $519,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $519,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,384 · $115/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,944 · $329/mo
Expected delta
+$2,560/yr (+$213/mo · 185.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,832
− Mortgage interest
−$29,072
− Property taxes
−$1,384
− Insurance
−$2,595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,507
− Management
−$3,507
− HOA
−$3,468
− Depreciation
−$15,098
Taxable loss
−$14,799
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,552
After-tax cash flow
$-1,929/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Irvine Unified
NCES district ID
0684500
Math proficiency
74% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
80% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$92,078
Composite
69.17/100
National rank
#319
State rank
#31 of 517 in CA

Livability — Irvine

Score
76/100
State rank
#100
US rank
#3537

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety C- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Irvine, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
287,839
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
61,631
Household income
$146,942
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
2240.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 59% White 26% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
43% · China, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
45% English-only · Chinese 21% Other Indo-European 10% Korean 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.48%
Current HPI
499.7012
Rent YoY
▲ 0.13%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Coming Soon $519,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,384 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…