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606 Ashley Dr
D Composite 40.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,000

606 Ashley Dr · Indiana, PA 15701
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · Manufactured · 4 Days on market
Built 2019 8,712 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

For Sale – Charming 3-Bedroom Ranch Home in Las Casitas. Discover comfortable one-floor living in this well-maintained, cozy ranch home located in the desirable Las Casitas Development. Built in 2019, this move-in-ready property features 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, offering modern convenience and functional living space. Ideally situated just minutes from shopping centers, the YMCA, parks, a local hospital, Indiana University of Pennsylvania, and major highway access, this home combines a peaceful neighborhood setting with easy access to everyday amenities. Best of all, there are no HOA fees or association dues. Don't miss the opportunity to make this beautiful home yours. Call t

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Move-in-ready
  • One-floor living

Tags

ONE-FLOOR LIVINGWELL-MAINTAINEDMOVE-IN-READYPEACEFUL NEIGHBORHOODEASY ACCESS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (standard)
  • Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Resale condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: 0.2-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (27 x 13)
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (each about 13 x 10); Additional main-level room (16 x 13) that can serve as a bedroom or flexible living space
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (13 x 6)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-291/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (2.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (17.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.5% in Indiana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#429 in PA, #3,920 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Indiana Area SD (town): math 49% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #96 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Ben Franklin El Sch (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #504 of 1,518 statewide, top 37%, 393 students, 56% FRL); Indiana Area Jhs (math 39% / reading 65%, grade C+, #103 of 512 statewide, top 21%, 667 students, 48% FRL); Indiana Area Shs (math 72% / reading 24%, grade D, #153 of 437 statewide, top 37%, 905 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 32% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 44 units permitted in Indiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Indiana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $122,420 (17.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.70%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$57,200
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
114 Elmington Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,328 (+2%) 14mo $30,000 $23 74
454 Hammersmith Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+8%) 8mo $62,000 $44 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-25,691
Equity at exit
$22,216
10-year hold
IRR
-9.5%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-24,378
Equity at exit
$12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15701

Home prices YoY
-26.2%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,224 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,774/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$-24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,255
Max offer price $144,723
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $60 -5% $18 +0% $-24 +5% $-66 +10% $-109
Rent -10% $-121 -5% $-73 +0% $-24 +5% $24 +10% $73
Rate -1.0pp $51 -0.5pp $14 base $-24 +0.5pp $-63 +1.0pp $-102

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1895 Warren Rd Indiana, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 790 $995 $1.26 45d 6 1.47mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    status $149,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $149,000 Pending 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    remarks 693-char remark
  4. 2026-06-09
    listed $149,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,774 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,064 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$290/yr (+$24/mo · 16.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,690
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$1,774
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,175
− Management
−$1,175
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable loss
−$2,860
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$686
After-tax cash flow
$396/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indiana Area SD
NCES district ID
4212150
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$40,558
Composite
48.44/100
National rank
#2133
State rank
#96 of 539 in PA

Livability — Indiana

Score
75/100
State rank
#429
US rank
#3920

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Indiana County · 31,269 people
City population
31,269
Metro
Indiana, PA
Population (ZIP)
31,269
Household income
$56,311
Rent vs Own
41.7% rent · 58.3% own
Severe rent burden
1590.0

Population outlook (Indiana County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,294 people
By 2030
81,773 · -3.0%
By 2040
75,213 · -10.8%
By 2050
69,348 · -17.7%
By 2075
57,951 · -31.3%
By 2100
47,313 · -43.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Indiana

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.1) · D 30.1% · R 69.2%
2008→2024 swing
-32.0pp toward R · 2008: -7.1pp · 2024: -39.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.1 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+35.6 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.33%
Current HPI
167.0982
Rent YoY
Metro
Indiana, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $149,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,774 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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