45677 W Windmill Dr · Maricopa, AZ 85139

$275,000

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,191 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 127 Days on market

Built 2006 5,176 sqft lot $126/sqft · 23% below area Est $356k · 23% under $70/mo HOA · 3% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +9.2/30.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• DSCR +2.6/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.3/10.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Rent growth +2.0/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

SHORT SALE, PENDING APPROVAL. Opportunity awaits at 45677 W Windmill Dr, located in a desirable Maricopa community called Maricopa Meadows. This home offers a functional, open layout with vaulted ceilings and a kitchen that flows seamlessly into the main living area, featuring brand new flooring, quartz countertops, and appliances to convey. A bedroom on the first level with a full bath provides flexibility for guests or multigenerational living. Additional bedrooms are generously sized, and the backyard offers space to relax, entertain, or personalize. The home needs repairs and is being sold as-is, making it a strong opportunity for buyers or investors seeking value. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes.

Key facts

• 5,176 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 2006

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-204 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (13.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (26.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $201k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.7% in Maricopa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Maricopa Unified School District (4441) (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #128 of 249 in AZ (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $68k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $201,468 (26.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.73% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.40%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.18%
• DSCR: 0.86
• GRM: 11.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $356,221
• List price: $275,000
• Delta: -22.80%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
45768 W Sheridan Rd	0.10mi	4/3.0	2,192 (0%)	2mo	$315,000	$144	93
45722 W Windmill Dr	0.04mi	4/3.0	2,211 (+1%)	5mo	$295,000	$133	93
45529 W Barbara Ln	0.38mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,278 (+4%)	0mo	$307,000	$135	68
45308 W Jack Rabbit Trl	0.45mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,273 (+4%)	3mo	$395,000	$174	61
45369 W Miramar Rd	0.67mi	4/2.0	2,111 (-4%)	0mo	$370,000	$175	59
45290 W Buckhorn Trl	0.50mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,273 (+4%)	4mo	$350,000	$154	58
45481 W Dirk St	0.54mi	4/2.5	2,357 (+8%)	3mo	$325,000	$138	58
44853 W Jack Rabbit Trl	0.67mi	4/2.0	2,270 (+4%)	8mo	$385,000	$170	52
46058 W Tulip Ln	0.51mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,026 (-8%)	4mo	$271,000	$134	51
45210 W Miramar Rd	0.73mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,075 (-5%)	2mo	$348,000	$168	46
45695 W Tucker Rd	0.64mi	4/2.5	2,509 (+14%)	1mo	$315,000	$126	43
46135 W Dirk St	0.62mi	5/2.0 (+1)	2,385 (+9%)	8mo	$350,000	$147	41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -24.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.18×
• Total profit: $-63,490
• Equity at exit: $41,003

10-year hold

• IRR: -32.0%
• Equity multiple: -0.23×
• Total profit: $-94,968
• Equity at exit: $23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85139

• Home prices YoY: -17.4%
• Rents YoY: -2.1%
• Active inventory: 426
• Price-to-rent: 11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,015 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,442
• Tax from tax record: −$169 /mo · $2,026/yr
• Insurance: −$115
• HOA: −$70
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$423
• Net cashflow: $-204

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,273

Max offer price $238,971

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-48	-5% $-126	+0% $-204	+5% $-282	+10% $-360
Rent	-10% $-363	-5% $-284	+0% $-204	+5% $-124	+10% $-45
Rate	-1.0pp $-65	-0.5pp $-134	base $-204	+0.5pp $-275	+1.0pp $-348

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $68,750
• Closing costs: $8,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 39 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
45579 W Dutchman Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	2777	$1,995	$0.72	0d	1	0.12mi
46110 W Sheridan Rd Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1500	$1,595	$1.06	45d	1	0.27mi
45811 W Amsterdam Rd Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1993	$1,700	$0.85	45d	1	0.41mi
46176 W Amsterdam Rd Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2200	$1,895	$0.86	45d	1	0.47mi
45556 W Tucker Rd Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2152	$1,795	$0.83	45d	1	0.60mi
45779 W Tucker Rd Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1925	$2,199	$1.14	25d	1	0.62mi
46149 W Guilder Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1432	$1,600	$1.12	6d	1	0.63mi
45967 W Starlight Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1671	$1,675	$1.00	23d	1	0.69mi
45129 W Desert Cedars Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1753	$1,875	$1.07	6d	1	0.70mi
45138 W Miramar Rd Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	2012	$1,725	$0.86	45d	1	0.82mi
45023 W Miramar Rd Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1653	$3,000	$1.81	45d	1	0.83mi
45539 W Sky Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1831	$1,909	$1.04	4d	1	0.84mi
19676 N Locke Ct Maricopa, AZ	4.0	3.0	2466	$1,995	$0.81	45d	1	0.86mi
44425 W Oster Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	2500	$2,200	$0.88	6d	1	0.87mi
44415 W Knauss Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	2454	$1,895	$0.77	45d	1	0.92mi
44290 W Neely Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1604	$1,795	$1.12	0d	1	0.93mi
45295 W Gavilan Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	2412	$2,400	$1.00	16d	1	0.96mi
45296 W Gavilan Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	2309	$1,825	$0.79	0d	1	0.98mi
44216 W Palmen Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	2604	$1,895	$0.73	45d	1	0.99mi
44456 W Eddie Way Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1679	$1,695	$1.01	45d	1	1.00mi
44928 W Zion Rd Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	1875	$1,950	$1.04	45d	1	1.01mi
44151 W Palmen Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	2604	$2,350	$0.90	19d	1	1.02mi
19680 N Ortman Cir Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1975	$1,700	$0.86	4d	1	1.03mi
45959 W Ranch Rd Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1605	$1,709	$1.06	4d	1	1.09mi
45192 W Alamendras St Maricopa, AZ	3.0	1.5	1461	$1,600	$1.10	25d	1	1.10mi
20544 N Alma Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	2301	$2,200	$0.96	6d	1	1.15mi
43811 W Elizabeth Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1509	$1,550	$1.03	0d	1	1.20mi
44812 W Paraiso Ln Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1413	$1,595	$1.13	5d	1	1.24mi
44212 W Cydnee Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1441	$1,700	$1.18	45d	1	1.33mi
43849 W Kramer Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1870	$1,895	$1.01	18d	1	1.34mi
20793 N Marquez Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1441	$1,550	$1.08	45d	1	1.36mi
21047 N Alma Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1628	$1,995	$1.23	45d	1	1.39mi
43531 W Oster Dr Maricopa, AZ	5.0	3.0	2494	$1,900	$0.76	25d	1	1.43mi
43410 W Wild Horse Trl Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2349	$1,845	$0.79	12d	1	1.43mi
43814 W Cypress Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2170	$2,095	$0.97	45d	1	1.44mi
43386 W Arizona Ave Maricopa, AZ	4.0	3.0	2274	$1,839	$0.81	14d	1	1.45mi
43386 W Arizona Ave Maricopa, AZ	4.0	3.0	2274	$1,839	$0.81	23d	1	1.45mi
43760 W Cypress Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2142	$2,000	$0.93	45d	1	1.47mi
43368 W Palmen Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	2200	$1,889	$0.86	45d	1	1.50mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $70 · $840/yr

Listing history 35 events

1. 2026-06-07
   statusdays on market $275,000 Pending 127 DOM
2. 2026-06-04
   days on market $275,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 126 DOM
3. 2026-06-03
   days on market $275,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 125 DOM
4. 2026-06-02
   days on market $275,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 124 DOM
5. 2026-06-01
   days on market $275,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 123 DOM
6. 2026-05-31
   days on market $275,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 122 DOM
7. 2026-05-03
   historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 764-char remark

   Show marketing remark (764 chars)

   SHORT SALE, PENDING APPROVAL. Opportunity awaits at 45677 W Windmill Dr, located in a desirable Maricopa community called Maricopa Meadows. This home offers a functional, open layout with vaulted ceilings and a kitchen that flows seamlessly into the main living area, featuring brand new flooring, quartz countertops, and appliances to convey. A bedroom on the first level with a full bath provides flexibility for guests or multigenerational living. Additional bedrooms are generously sized, and the backyard offers space to relax, entertain, or personalize. The home needs repairs and is being sold as-is, making it a strong opportunity for buyers or investors seeking value. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes.

8. 2026-04-10
   price $275,000 764-char remark

   Show marketing remark (764 chars)

   SHORT SALE, PENDING APPROVAL. Opportunity awaits at 45677 W Windmill Dr, located in a desirable Maricopa community called Maricopa Meadows. This home offers a functional, open layout with vaulted ceilings and a kitchen that flows seamlessly into the main living area, featuring brand new flooring, quartz countertops, and appliances to convey. A bedroom on the first level with a full bath provides flexibility for guests or multigenerational living. Additional bedrooms are generously sized, and the backyard offers space to relax, entertain, or personalize. The home needs repairs and is being sold as-is, making it a strong opportunity for buyers or investors seeking value. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes.

9. 2026-03-20
   price $290,000 764-char remark

   Show marketing remark (764 chars)

   SHORT SALE, PENDING APPROVAL. Opportunity awaits at 45677 W Windmill Dr, located in a desirable Maricopa community called Maricopa Meadows. This home offers a functional, open layout with vaulted ceilings and a kitchen that flows seamlessly into the main living area, featuring brand new flooring, quartz countertops, and appliances to convey. A bedroom on the first level with a full bath provides flexibility for guests or multigenerational living. Additional bedrooms are generously sized, and the backyard offers space to relax, entertain, or personalize. The home needs repairs and is being sold as-is, making it a strong opportunity for buyers or investors seeking value. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes.

10. 2026-02-20
    price $320,000 764-char remark

    Show marketing remark (764 chars)

    SHORT SALE, PENDING APPROVAL. Opportunity awaits at 45677 W Windmill Dr, located in a desirable Maricopa community called Maricopa Meadows. This home offers a functional, open layout with vaulted ceilings and a kitchen that flows seamlessly into the main living area, featuring brand new flooring, quartz countertops, and appliances to convey. A bedroom on the first level with a full bath provides flexibility for guests or multigenerational living. Additional bedrooms are generously sized, and the backyard offers space to relax, entertain, or personalize. The home needs repairs and is being sold as-is, making it a strong opportunity for buyers or investors seeking value. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes.

11. 2026-02-05
    price $333,000 764-char remark

    Show marketing remark (764 chars)

    SHORT SALE, PENDING APPROVAL. Opportunity awaits at 45677 W Windmill Dr, located in a desirable Maricopa community called Maricopa Meadows. This home offers a functional, open layout with vaulted ceilings and a kitchen that flows seamlessly into the main living area, featuring brand new flooring, quartz countertops, and appliances to convey. A bedroom on the first level with a full bath provides flexibility for guests or multigenerational living. Additional bedrooms are generously sized, and the backyard offers space to relax, entertain, or personalize. The home needs repairs and is being sold as-is, making it a strong opportunity for buyers or investors seeking value. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes.

12. 2026-01-29
    listed $343,000 Active 764-char remark

    Show marketing remark (764 chars)

    SHORT SALE, PENDING APPROVAL. Opportunity awaits at 45677 W Windmill Dr, located in a desirable Maricopa community called Maricopa Meadows. This home offers a functional, open layout with vaulted ceilings and a kitchen that flows seamlessly into the main living area, featuring brand new flooring, quartz countertops, and appliances to convey. A bedroom on the first level with a full bath provides flexibility for guests or multigenerational living. Additional bedrooms are generously sized, and the backyard offers space to relax, entertain, or personalize. The home needs repairs and is being sold as-is, making it a strong opportunity for buyers or investors seeking value. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes.

13. 2022-05-20
    soldstatus $395,000 Closed 808-char remark

    Show marketing remark (808 chars)

    This fabulous and freshly updated home awaits just for you! Low-maintenance front yard, a 2 car garage, and a charming curb appeal will greet you upon arriving. Enter home to see a comfortable and airy living spaces, thanks to vaulted ceilings, soothing color scheme, & large windows bringing in so much natural light. Other features are wood-like tile flooring t/out the main areas, & carpet in bedrooms. Cook delicious dishes in the spacious kitchen which showcases a pantry, popular white cabinets, solid surface counters, & a roomy island w/breakfast bar. Upstairs main bedroom gives you a walk-in closet and en suite w/dual sinks, separate tub, & shower. Finally, the expansive backyard with its covered patio, is a blank canvas w/tons of potential to get creative! Book a showing today.

14. 2022-05-20
    soldstatus $395,000

    Show marketing remark (808 chars)

    This fabulous and freshly updated home awaits just for you! Low-maintenance front yard, a 2 car garage, and a charming curb appeal will greet you upon arriving. Enter home to see a comfortable and airy living spaces, thanks to vaulted ceilings, soothing color scheme, & large windows bringing in so much natural light. Other features are wood-like tile flooring t/out the main areas, & carpet in bedrooms. Cook delicious dishes in the spacious kitchen which showcases a pantry, popular white cabinets, solid surface counters, & a roomy island w/breakfast bar. Upstairs main bedroom gives you a walk-in closet and en suite w/dual sinks, separate tub, & shower. Finally, the expansive backyard with its covered patio, is a blank canvas w/tons of potential to get creative! Book a showing today.

15. 2022-04-20
    status Pending 808-char remark

    Show marketing remark (808 chars)

    This fabulous and freshly updated home awaits just for you! Low-maintenance front yard, a 2 car garage, and a charming curb appeal will greet you upon arriving. Enter home to see a comfortable and airy living spaces, thanks to vaulted ceilings, soothing color scheme, & large windows bringing in so much natural light. Other features are wood-like tile flooring t/out the main areas, & carpet in bedrooms. Cook delicious dishes in the spacious kitchen which showcases a pantry, popular white cabinets, solid surface counters, & a roomy island w/breakfast bar. Upstairs main bedroom gives you a walk-in closet and en suite w/dual sinks, separate tub, & shower. Finally, the expansive backyard with its covered patio, is a blank canvas w/tons of potential to get creative! Book a showing today.

16. 2022-04-14
    price $399,900 808-char remark

    Show marketing remark (808 chars)

    This fabulous and freshly updated home awaits just for you! Low-maintenance front yard, a 2 car garage, and a charming curb appeal will greet you upon arriving. Enter home to see a comfortable and airy living spaces, thanks to vaulted ceilings, soothing color scheme, & large windows bringing in so much natural light. Other features are wood-like tile flooring t/out the main areas, & carpet in bedrooms. Cook delicious dishes in the spacious kitchen which showcases a pantry, popular white cabinets, solid surface counters, & a roomy island w/breakfast bar. Upstairs main bedroom gives you a walk-in closet and en suite w/dual sinks, separate tub, & shower. Finally, the expansive backyard with its covered patio, is a blank canvas w/tons of potential to get creative! Book a showing today.

17. 2022-04-08
    price $2,420
18. 2022-03-28
    status Active 808-char remark

    Show marketing remark (808 chars)

    This fabulous and freshly updated home awaits just for you! Low-maintenance front yard, a 2 car garage, and a charming curb appeal will greet you upon arriving. Enter home to see a comfortable and airy living spaces, thanks to vaulted ceilings, soothing color scheme, & large windows bringing in so much natural light. Other features are wood-like tile flooring t/out the main areas, & carpet in bedrooms. Cook delicious dishes in the spacious kitchen which showcases a pantry, popular white cabinets, solid surface counters, & a roomy island w/breakfast bar. Upstairs main bedroom gives you a walk-in closet and en suite w/dual sinks, separate tub, & shower. Finally, the expansive backyard with its covered patio, is a blank canvas w/tons of potential to get creative! Book a showing today.

19. 2022-03-26
    status Pending 808-char remark

    Show marketing remark (808 chars)

    This fabulous and freshly updated home awaits just for you! Low-maintenance front yard, a 2 car garage, and a charming curb appeal will greet you upon arriving. Enter home to see a comfortable and airy living spaces, thanks to vaulted ceilings, soothing color scheme, & large windows bringing in so much natural light. Other features are wood-like tile flooring t/out the main areas, & carpet in bedrooms. Cook delicious dishes in the spacious kitchen which showcases a pantry, popular white cabinets, solid surface counters, & a roomy island w/breakfast bar. Upstairs main bedroom gives you a walk-in closet and en suite w/dual sinks, separate tub, & shower. Finally, the expansive backyard with its covered patio, is a blank canvas w/tons of potential to get creative! Book a showing today.

20. 2022-03-18
    listed $425,000 Active 808-char remark

    Show marketing remark (808 chars)

    This fabulous and freshly updated home awaits just for you! Low-maintenance front yard, a 2 car garage, and a charming curb appeal will greet you upon arriving. Enter home to see a comfortable and airy living spaces, thanks to vaulted ceilings, soothing color scheme, & large windows bringing in so much natural light. Other features are wood-like tile flooring t/out the main areas, & carpet in bedrooms. Cook delicious dishes in the spacious kitchen which showcases a pantry, popular white cabinets, solid surface counters, & a roomy island w/breakfast bar. Upstairs main bedroom gives you a walk-in closet and en suite w/dual sinks, separate tub, & shower. Finally, the expansive backyard with its covered patio, is a blank canvas w/tons of potential to get creative! Book a showing today.

21. 2011-02-02
    historical
22. 2011-02-01
    soldstatus $60,000 Closed
23. 2010-12-10
    status Pending
24. 2010-12-01
    price $60,000
25. 2010-10-28
    price $67,900
26. 2010-09-10
    listed $71,900 Active
27. 2010-09-03
    historical
28. 2010-08-05
    price $74,900
29. 2010-06-29
    price $79,900
30. 2010-05-28
    price $81,900
31. 2010-05-01
    status Active
32. 2010-04-29
    status Pending
33. 2010-04-23
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
34. 2010-04-08
    listed $86,900 Active
35. 2004-12-08
    soldstatus $3,519,960

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,026 · $169/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,026 · $169/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,176
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,404
• − Property taxes: −$2,026
• − Insurance: −$1,375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,934
• − Management: −$1,934
• − HOA: −$840
• − Depreciation: −$8,000
• Taxable loss: −$7,337
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,761
• After-tax cash flow: $-686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Maricopa Unified School District (4441)
• NCES district ID: 0404720
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $63,725
• Composite: 22.92/100
• National rank: #7993
• State rank: #128 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Maricopa

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #28
• US rank: #5943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Maricopa, AZ
• County: Pinal County · 399,947 people
• City population: 76,044
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 20,784
• Household income: $86,894
• Rent vs Own: 17.2% rent · 82.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 272.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 437,574 people
• By 2030: 446,903 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 452,589 · +3.4%
• By 2050: 444,126 · +1.5%
• By 2075: 430,300 · -1.7%
• By 2100: 393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
• Race & ethnicity: White 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 13% Black 9% Native American 8% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 25%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 80% English-only · Spanish 17% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -66.22%
• Current HPI: 313.8539
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.10%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

-92.2% since first listed

29 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-03 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2026-04-10 Price Changed $275,000 ARMLS
• 2026-03-20 Price Changed $290,000 ARMLS
• 2026-02-20 Price Changed $320,000 ARMLS
• 2026-02-05 Price Changed $333,000 ARMLS
• 2026-01-29 Listed $343,000 ARMLS
• 2022-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $395,000 Public Records
• 2022-05-20 Sold (MLS) $395,000 ARMLS
• 2022-04-20 Pending — ARMLS
• 2022-04-14 Price Changed $399,900 ARMLS
• 2022-04-08 Price Changed $2,420 RENT.
• 2022-03-28 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2022-03-26 Pending — ARMLS
• 2022-03-18 Listed $425,000 ARMLS
• 2011-02-02 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2011-02-01 Sold (MLS) $60,000 ARMLS
• 2010-12-10 Pending — ARMLS
• 2010-12-01 Price Changed $60,000 ARMLS
• 2010-10-28 Price Changed $67,900 ARMLS
• 2010-09-10 Listed $71,900 ARMLS
• 2010-09-03 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2010-08-05 Price Changed $74,900 ARMLS
• 2010-06-29 Price Changed $79,900 ARMLS
• 2010-05-28 Price Changed $81,900 ARMLS
• 2010-05-01 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2010-04-29 Pending — ARMLS
• 2010-04-23 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2010-04-08 Listed $86,900 ARMLS
• 2004-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $3,519,960 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,026 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.