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8019 Vega Horizon
D Composite 40.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0

$219,900

8019 Vega Horizon · San Antonio, TX 78252
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,581 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 2012 7,013 sqft lot $139/sqft · 17% below area Est $265k · 17% under $43/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take comfort in this well maintained home full of included features, such as kitchen appliances, blinds, covered patio, 9' ceilings, tub w/separate shower, granite, upgraded cabinets and much more! This all adds value to this charming home. Whether you are a first-time home-buyer or looking for your next home, this beautiful home is a must see.

Key facts

  • Ample cabinetry
  • Walk-in closet
  • Backyard

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTAMPLE CABINETRYGENEROUS COUNTER SPACEPRIVATE RETREATWALK-IN CLOSETBACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing/funding; For sale by Marti Realty Group
  • Financial info: Down payment assistance resources available
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; HOA fee $130 quarterly; Association transfer fee $250

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: City water and sewer
  • Home design: Pre-owned home; Built by DR Horton; Approximately 14 years old
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Brick and siding exterior; Located in the Solana Ridge subdivision; Community amenities: pool, park/playground, jogging trails, BBQ/grill, basketball court

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (8 x 13)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level (15 x 13); Bedroom 2 (11 x 11); Bedroom 3 (11 x 14)
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with tub/shower combination (8 x 7)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Some window coverings remain; One living area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-398 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (31.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (19.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Southwest ISD (rural): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #701 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sun Valley El (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #3,013 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 650 students, 80% FRL); Francis R Scobee Middle (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,200 of 1,662 statewide, top 73%, 856 students, 73% FRL); Southwest H S (math 17% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,152 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools at 75% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 555 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-4 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,678 (31.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
4.12%
Cash-on-cash
-7.75%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$264,578
List price
$219,900
Delta
-16.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7202 Aldebaran Sun 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,579 (-0%) 1mo $235,000 $149 82
7339 Galileo Line 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,428 (-10%) 4mo $215,000 $151 76
8018 Radiant Sunset 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,626 (+3%) 2mo $244,990 $151 74
7027 Dulce Mdw 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,656 (+5%) 4mo $235,000 $142 73
7310 Aphelion 0.50mi 3/2.5 1,515 (-4%) 2mo $134,900 $89 66
7439 Hercules Pt 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,653 (+5%) 2mo $245,000 $148 57
8406 Mescal Pass 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,392 (-12%) 3mo $175,000 $126 55
6915 Beltran Pass 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,399 (-12%) 2mo $220,000 $157 54
7427 Draco Leap 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,380 (-13%) 1mo $160,000 $116 52
6910 Beltran Pass 0.56mi 3/2.5 1,777 (+12%) 2mo $239,999 $135 50
7371 Lyia Br 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,796 (+14%) 4mo $219,900 $122 43
6614 Carmona 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,373 (-13%) 4mo $224,900 $164 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-36,745
Equity at exit
$63,832
10-year hold
IRR
-9.0%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-54,962
Equity at exit
$76,714

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78252

Home prices YoY
-0.0%
Rents YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
555
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,764 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$503 /mo · $6,039/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$43
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$-398

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,267
Max offer price $149,678
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-273 -5% $-335 +0% $-398 +5% $-460 +10% $-522
Rent -10% $-537 -5% $-467 +0% $-398 +5% $-328 +10% $-258
Rate -1.0pp $-287 -0.5pp $-342 base $-398 +0.5pp $-454 +1.0pp $-512

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8126 Radiant Star San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1635 $1,700 $1.04 13d 1 0.16mi
7123 Pandora Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1651 $1,561 $0.95 14d 1 0.17mi
7323 Perseus Brk San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1832 $1,895 $1.03 45d 1 0.20mi
7307 Apastron Haze San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1274 $1,395 $1.09 26d 1 0.21mi
7326 Sirius Mesa San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1691 $1,650 $0.98 26d 1 0.27mi
7414 Perseus Brk San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1186 $1,475 $1.24 45d 1 0.28mi
8418 Fortuna Vly San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1909 $1,700 $0.89 18d 1 0.33mi
8414 Piedras Crk San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1560 $1,671 $1.07 45d 1 0.35mi
8423 Brazos Pt San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1647 $1,750 $1.06 4d 1 0.40mi
7327 Aphelion Cv San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,499 $1.06 45d 1 0.49mi
7327 Aphelion Cv San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,499 $1.06 0d 1 0.49mi
7423 Vega Gap San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1572 $2,400 $1.53 46d 1 0.54mi
6830 Beltran Pass San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1772 $1,900 $1.07 19d 1 0.56mi
8671 SW Loop 410 San Antonio, TX 2.0–3.0 2.0 1024 $1,405 $1.37 18d 7 0.57mi
7343 Lyia Br San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1955 $2,095 $1.07 0d 1 0.60mi
6730 Carmona Pass San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1771 $1,700 $0.96 18d 1 0.62mi
7639 Hercules Pt San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1180 $1,550 $1.31 45d 1 0.74mi
7319 Walnut Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,900 $1.65 14d 1 0.76mi
7451 Hercules Pt San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1653 $1,795 $1.09 26d 1 0.76mi
210 Hallie Pass San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 2167 $1,795 $0.83 5d 1 0.77mi
6811 Freedom Hls San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 2054 $1,875 $0.91 4d 1 0.77mi
6010 Ray Ellison Blvd San Antonio, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 974 $1,418 $1.46 45d 1 0.78mi
6619 Freedom Hls San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1410 $1,900 $1.35 4d 1 0.86mi
9107 Selene Pl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1606 $1,750 $1.09 46d 1 0.88mi
9119 Selene Pl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,800 $1.12 0d 1 0.89mi
6627 Freedom Rnch San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,750 $1.25 26d 1 0.90mi
6230 Hazel Valley St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,650 $1.23 23d 1 0.90mi
9126 Selene Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1420 $1,500 $1.06 45d 1 0.92mi
7411 Hazel Cv San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1287 $1,450 $1.13 18d 1 0.92mi
7038 Hallie Spirit San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2056 $1,700 $0.83 26d 1 0.95mi
7038 Hallie Spirit San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2056 $1,700 $0.83 5d 1 0.95mi
154 Morning Valley St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 5d 1 0.95mi
9226 Selene Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,575 $1.21 6d 1 0.96mi
7050 Hallie Rdg San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1620 $1,535 $0.95 14d 1 0.97mi
6127 Bright Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1528 $1,336 $0.87 6d 1 0.98mi
6127 Bright Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1528 $1,365 $0.89 26d 1 0.98mi
9311 Selene Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,595 $1.08 26d 1 0.99mi
9406 Coronal Rings San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,850 $1.26 45d 1 1.03mi
9130 Excellence Dr San Antonio, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 990 $1,374 $1.39 18d 1 1.03mi
8615 Astral Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,699 $1.17 45d 1 1.03mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$43 · $516/yr

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $219,900 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,900 Back on Market 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,900 Back on Market 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,900 Back on Market 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,900 Back on Market 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,900 Back on Market 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Back on Market 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $219,900 Back on Market 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,900 Active Option 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $219,900 Active Option 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,900 Active Option 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,900 Active Option 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    status $219,900 Active Option 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,900 Price Change 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,900 Price Change 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    price $229,900 1005-char remark
  17. 2026-05-13
    listed $299,900 New 1005-char remark
  18. 2019-05-07
    soldstatus
  19. 2019-05-06
    soldstatus Sold 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Take comfort in this well maintained home full of included features, such as kitchen appliances, blinds, covered patio, 9' ceilings, tub w/separate shower, granite, upgraded cabinets and much more! This all adds value to this charming home. Whether you are a first-time home-buyer or looking for your next home, this beautiful home is a must see.

  20. 2019-04-22
    status Pending 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Take comfort in this well maintained home full of included features, such as kitchen appliances, blinds, covered patio, 9' ceilings, tub w/separate shower, granite, upgraded cabinets and much more! This all adds value to this charming home. Whether you are a first-time home-buyer or looking for your next home, this beautiful home is a must see.

  21. 2019-04-05
    historical Active Option 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Take comfort in this well maintained home full of included features, such as kitchen appliances, blinds, covered patio, 9' ceilings, tub w/separate shower, granite, upgraded cabinets and much more! This all adds value to this charming home. Whether you are a first-time home-buyer or looking for your next home, this beautiful home is a must see.

  22. 2019-04-03
    listed $179,000 New 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Take comfort in this well maintained home full of included features, such as kitchen appliances, blinds, covered patio, 9' ceilings, tub w/separate shower, granite, upgraded cabinets and much more! This all adds value to this charming home. Whether you are a first-time home-buyer or looking for your next home, this beautiful home is a must see.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,039 · $503/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,039 · $503/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,168
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$6,039
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,693
− Management
−$1,693
− HOA
−$516
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$8,588
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,061
After-tax cash flow
$-2,709/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southwest ISD
NCES district ID
4840950
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,362
Composite
22.22/100
National rank
#8153
State rank
#701 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
21,790
Household income
$85,518
Rent vs Own
14.0% rent · 86.0% own
Severe rent burden
152.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 68% Two or more races 29% White 17% Black 8% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 61% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
58% English-only · Spanish 38% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▬ -0.00%
Current HPI
183.6413
Rent YoY
▼ -1.67%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Relisted LERA
  • 2026-06-01 Contingent LERA
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $219,900 LERA
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $229,900 LERA
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $299,900 LERA
  • 2019-05-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-05-06 Sold (MLS) LERA
  • 2019-04-22 Pending LERA
  • 2019-04-05 Contingent LERA
  • 2019-04-03 Listed $179,000 LERA

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,039 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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