4875 Topsy Rd · Lake Charles, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.3
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AFFORDABLE & WELL MAINTAINED. .. this 3 bedroom / 2 bath mobile home was purchased new and moved to its current location, permitting it to qualify for multiple loan types. Sitting on well over an acre in a country setting just minutes from the busy, beaten path of Highway 171, this one is priced to sell and a must see. It's been a one owner home and taken care of through the years. The addition is simply lagniappe and could be used as an office, 4th bedroom, game room, etc. The property lies in flood zone X where flood insurance is typically not required. Whether looking for a reasonably priced weekend retreat in the country, a starter home or downsizing, this one could be the one. Call today to schedule your showing of this well maintained home. Mobile home is immobilized.
Key facts
- Addition
- One owner home
- Flood zone x
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.2% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Gillis Elementary School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #247 of 646 statewide, top 39%, 691 students, 50% FRL); Moss Bluff Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #75 of 218 statewide, top 35%, 883 students, 41% FRL); Sam Houston High School (math 46% / reading 54%, grade D+, #36 of 265 statewide, top 13%, 1,216 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: 402 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 13% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 368 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $80k implies a 700% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 368 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.96%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,000
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -46.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Peck | 1.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-0%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $117 | 62 |
| 109 Welcome Rd | 1.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (-1%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $161 | 60 |
| 3264 Topsy Rd | 1.96mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-0%) | 42mo | $80,000 | $63 | 44 |
| 106 Holstein Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,385 (+8%) | 57mo | $194,500 | $140 | 40 |
| 259 Welcome Rd | 1.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (+5%) | 33mo | $195,000 | $144 | 36 |
| 4346 Topsy Rd | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+21%) | 16mo | $195,000 | $125 | 35 |
| 119 Bob Long Rd | 1.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,447 (+12%) | 12mo | $213,500 | $148 | 34 |
| 151 Welcome Rd | 1.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+8%) | 51mo | $200,000 | $144 | 31 |
| 3038 Vines Rd | 1.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,473 (+14%) | 6mo | $188,000 | $128 | 31 |
| 194 Ieyoub Rd | 0.84mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (+14%) | 20mo | $179,900 | $122 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $10,727
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $39,750
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70611
- Active inventory
- 402
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,067 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $207/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $373
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $418 | -5% $395 | +0% $373 | +5% $350 | +10% $327 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $288 | -5% $330 | +0% $373 | +5% $415 | +10% $457 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $413 | -0.5pp $393 | base $373 | +0.5pp $352 | +1.0pp $331 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $80,000 Active 368 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $80,000 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $80,000 Active 366 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $80,000 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $80,000 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $80,000 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $80,000 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $80,000 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $80,000 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $80,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $80,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $80,000 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $80,000 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $80,000 Active 347 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $80,000 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $80,000 Active 344 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $80,000 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $80,000 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $80,000 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $80,000 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $80,000 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $80,000 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $80,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $80,000 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $80,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $80,000 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $80,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $80,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $80,000 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $80,000 Active 330 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $80,000 Active 329 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $80,000 Active 328 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $80,000 Active 327 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $80,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $80,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $80,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $80,000 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 320 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 318 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 306 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 303 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $207 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $440 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- +$233/yr (+$19/mo · 112.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$207
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,024
- − Management
- −$1,024
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $3,336
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$801
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,669/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This mobile home requires significant repairs and updates to its kitchen, exterior, and landscaping to improve its condition and value. A comprehensive renovation will significantly enhance its appeal and marketability.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $10,000–$30,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — No visible signs of roof damage, but metal roofs can deteriorate over time without inspection.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Severe wear and tear, likely structural issues.
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Outdated and worn, likely leaking.
- Major Exterior siding — Weathered and damaged, needs replacement.
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt, needs trimming and planting.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Kitchen renovation — Modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers and increase its value. ↑
- Resale Bathroom renovation — Updating the bathroom will improve the home's appeal and functionality. ↑
- Resale Exterior siding replacement — A fresh, modern exterior will significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape will increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lake Charles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #9820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Calcasieu Parish · 212,179 people
- City population
- 133,538
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,124
- Household income
- $101,844
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 11% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.82%
- Current HPI
- 115.0052
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+800.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-24 Relisted — SWLAR
- 2025-08-11 Contingent — SWLAR
- 2023-06-16 Listed $90,000 SWLAR
- 2002-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $207 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…