4875 Topsy Rd · Gillis, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AFFORDABLE & WELL MAINTAINED. .. this 3 bedroom / 2 bath mobile home was purchased new and moved to its current location, permitting it to qualify for multiple loan types. Sitting on well over an acre in a country setting just minutes from the busy, beaten path of Highway 171, this one is priced to sell and a must see. It's been a one owner home and taken care of through the years. The addition is simply lagniappe and could be used as an office, 4th bedroom, game room, etc. The property lies in flood zone X where flood insurance is typically not required. Whether looking for a reasonably priced weekend retreat in the country, a starter home or downsizing, this one could be the one. Call today to schedule your showing of this well maintained home. Mobile home is immobilized.
Key facts
- Addition
- One owner home
- Flood zone x
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $654 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 3.4% in Gillis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 39/100 on livability (#468 in LA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 322 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 320 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $80k implies a 700% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 320 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.03%
- DSCR
- 2.56
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,000
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -46.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $28,651
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 37.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.50×
- Total profit
- $78,452
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70611
- Active inventory
- 322
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,423 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $207/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $654
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $699 | -5% $676 | +0% $654 | +5% $631 | +10% $609 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $541 | -5% $598 | +0% $654 | +5% $710 | +10% $766 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $694 | -0.5pp $674 | base $654 | +0.5pp $633 | +1.0pp $612 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $80,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2025-09-24status Active 790-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
AFFORDABLE & WELL MAINTAINED. .. this 3 bedroom / 2 bath mobile home was purchased new and moved to its current location, permitting it to qualify for multiple loan types. Sitting on well over an acre in a country setting just minutes from the busy, beaten path of Highway 171, this one is priced to sell and a must see. It's been a one owner home and taken care of through the years. The addition is simply lagniappe and could be used as an office, 4th bedroom, game room, etc. The property lies in flood zone X where flood insurance is typically not required. Whether looking for a reasonably priced weekend retreat in the country, a starter home or downsizing, this one could be the one. Call today to schedule your showing of this well maintained home. Mobile home is immobilized.
-
2025-08-11historical Active Under Contract 790-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
AFFORDABLE & WELL MAINTAINED. .. this 3 bedroom / 2 bath mobile home was purchased new and moved to its current location, permitting it to qualify for multiple loan types. Sitting on well over an acre in a country setting just minutes from the busy, beaten path of Highway 171, this one is priced to sell and a must see. It's been a one owner home and taken care of through the years. The addition is simply lagniappe and could be used as an office, 4th bedroom, game room, etc. The property lies in flood zone X where flood insurance is typically not required. Whether looking for a reasonably priced weekend retreat in the country, a starter home or downsizing, this one could be the one. Call today to schedule your showing of this well maintained home. Mobile home is immobilized.
-
2023-06-16$90,000 Active 790-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
AFFORDABLE & WELL MAINTAINED. .. this 3 bedroom / 2 bath mobile home was purchased new and moved to its current location, permitting it to qualify for multiple loan types. Sitting on well over an acre in a country setting just minutes from the busy, beaten path of Highway 171, this one is priced to sell and a must see. It's been a one owner home and taken care of through the years. The addition is simply lagniappe and could be used as an office, 4th bedroom, game room, etc. The property lies in flood zone X where flood insurance is typically not required. Whether looking for a reasonably priced weekend retreat in the country, a starter home or downsizing, this one could be the one. Call today to schedule your showing of this well maintained home. Mobile home is immobilized.
-
2002-02-19soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $207 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $440 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- +$233/yr (+$19/mo · 112.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,073
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$207
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,366
- − Management
- −$1,366
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $6,926
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,662
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,184/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Gillis
- Score
- 39/100
- State rank
- #468
- US rank
- #27399
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,124
- Household income
- $101,844
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 183.0
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 11% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.82%
- Current HPI
- 115.0052
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+800.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-24 Relisted — SWLAR
- 2025-08-11 Contingent — SWLAR
- 2023-06-16 Listed $90,000 SWLAR
- 2002-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $207 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…