🏷️ Likely Rental
1939 Whitehall St · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated 5 bedroom Harrisburg home. Across from Reservoir Park. New carpet, paint, and stove so you can move right in! Great property for owner or investor. Last tenant paid $800 a month. The math works!
Key facts
- Built 1915
- Listed 52 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $964 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.6% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 68 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,927/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1014% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $51k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.87%
- DSCR
- 4.06
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $227,400
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 Taylor Blvd | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,352 (+3%) | 13mo | $273,000 | $116 | 67 |
| 2116 Chestnut St | 0.26mi | 5/1.5 | 2,369 (+4%) | 14mo | $305,000 | $129 | 67 |
| 1923 Whitehall St | 0.03mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,002 (-12%) | 19mo | $200,000 | $100 | 56 |
| 450 S 17th St | 0.65mi | 5/2.0 | 2,595 (+14%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $39 | 40 |
| 1839 Herr St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,041 (-10%) | 16mo | $202,000 | $99 | 36 |
| 336 S 14th St | 0.69mi | 5/2.0 | 2,003 (-12%) | 15mo | $60,850 | $30 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 74.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.69×
- Total profit
- $61,990
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 79.8%
- Equity multiple
- 11.71×
- Total profit
- $179,882
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17103
- Rents YoY
- 9.1%
- Active inventory
- 68
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,927 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$218 /mo · $2,621/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $964
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $998 | -5% $981 | +0% $964 | +5% $947 | +10% $930 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $812 | -5% $888 | +0% $964 | +5% $1,040 | +10% $1,116 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $994 | -0.5pp $979 | base $964 | +0.5pp $949 | +1.0pp $933 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $2,195 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 111 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 14 S 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2136 | $1,695 | $0.79 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1708 State St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2320 | $1,745 | $0.75 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2315 Magnolia Dr Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3300 | $3,000 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1610 Hunter St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1776 | $1,450 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2368 Canby St Harrisburg, PA | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2142 | $2,300 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 227 Hummel St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2696 | $1,600 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1414 Berryhill St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,700 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $3,000 | $2.09 | 15d | 10 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-02-09status Pending
-
2026-01-13status Active
-
2025-11-10price $60,000
-
2025-09-08price $64,900
-
2025-09-07status Pending
-
2025-08-27price $74,900
-
2025-08-20price $84,900
-
2025-08-13$99,900 Active
-
2016-09-17historical
-
2016-08-15soldstatus $50,900
-
2016-08-12soldstatus $50,900 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Updated 5 bedroom Harrisburg home. Across from Reservoir Park. New carpet, paint, and stove so you can move right in! Great property for owner or investor. Last tenant paid $800 a month. The math works!
-
2016-06-28historical 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Updated 5 bedroom Harrisburg home. Across from Reservoir Park. New carpet, paint, and stove so you can move right in! Great property for owner or investor. Last tenant paid $800 a month. The math works!
-
2016-06-02$51,500 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Updated 5 bedroom Harrisburg home. Across from Reservoir Park. New carpet, paint, and stove so you can move right in! Great property for owner or investor. Last tenant paid $800 a month. The math works!
-
2015-09-17$51,500
-
2009-02-18soldstatus $55,000
-
2009-02-18soldstatus $55,000
-
2009-02-03historical
-
2008-12-02$59,900
-
2005-04-29soldstatus $28,000
-
2004-11-19$35,000
-
2004-11-19historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,621 · $218/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,621 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,123
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$2,621
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,850
- − Management
- −$1,850
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $11,396
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,735
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,836/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,115
- Household income
- $39,825
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1014.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 18% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.52%
- Current HPI
- 211.455
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.09%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+71.4% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-13 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $64,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-07 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $74,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $84,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-13 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-09-17 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $50,900 Public Records
- 2016-08-12 Sold (MLS) $50,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-06-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-06-02 Listed $51,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-09-17 Listed $51,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2009-02-18 Sold (MLS) $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-02-03 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-12-02 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-04-29 Sold (MLS) $28,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-11-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-11-19 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,621 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…