566 S Deerfield Dr · Canton, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Here is your chance to buy a home ON THE GOLF COURSE! This home has soaring ceilings in the living room, with lots of natural light. Fireplace, rear patio, storage area, 2 car attached garage and just needs someone to put their special touch on the home.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1982
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $784 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 5.1% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#229 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Madison Crossing Elementary (math 52% / reading 55%, grade C, #49 of 375 statewide, top 13%, 775 students, 100% FRL); Germantown Middle School (math 55% / reading 58%, grade B, #14 of 179 statewide, top 7%, 1,008 students, 100% FRL); Germantown High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #59 of 197 statewide, top 30%, 1,396 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 417 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,285/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.43%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $303,679
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -50.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 Spike Rdg | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,207 (+1%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $125 | 72 |
| 413 Spike Rdg | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,106 (-3%) | 12mo | $219,900 | $104 | 67 |
| 310 Fox Holw | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,064 (-5%) | 2mo | $259,900 | $126 | 64 |
| 415 Spike Rdg | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,996 (-8%) | 10mo | $289,000 | $145 | 60 |
| 414 Spike Rdg | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,890 (-13%) | 3mo | $249,500 | $132 | 58 |
| 819 W Deerfield Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,050 (-6%) | 5mo | $315,000 | $154 | 52 |
| 712 Oak Trl | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,089 (-4%) | 14mo | $294,900 | $141 | 50 |
| 908 Hackberry Ln | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 2,031 (-7%) | 12mo | $310,000 | $153 | 47 |
| 316 Fox Holw | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,930 (-11%) | 12mo | $249,000 | $129 | 45 |
| 887 N Deerfield Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,279 (+5%) | 9mo | $299,900 | $132 | 45 |
| 136 Middlefield Dr #136 | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,980 (-9%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $141 | 35 |
| 104 Addison Way | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,450 (+13%) | 12mo | $317,000 | $129 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $25,695
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $86,808
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 12 under contract
- Months of supply
- 0.6 mo (167%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $258,500 ($137/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 166 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +1.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 39046
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Active inventory
- 417
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,285 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,069/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$480
- Net cashflow
- $784
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $869 | -5% $827 | +0% $784 | +5% $742 | +10% $700 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $604 | -5% $694 | +0% $784 | +5% $875 | +10% $965 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $860 | -0.5pp $823 | base $784 | +0.5pp $746 | +1.0pp $706 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 Moss Crk Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,156 | $1.51 | 93d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 102 Moss Crk Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $2,253 | $1.50 | 72d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 161 Harvey Crossing Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1687 | $2,350 | $1.39 | 93d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 125 Trailbridge Crossing Canton, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,500 | $1.43 | 63d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property listed as fixerZoned for single-family residentialCity lot
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garageConcrete driveway/parking
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity availableNatural gas available
- Home design
- Single-family residenceHouseOne level
- Construction
- Brick and wood siding exteriorSlab foundationAsphalt three-tab shingle roofBuilt in public records (year built)
- Exterior features
- Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen
- Built-in range
- Flooring
- Concrete flooringLaminate flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral airCeiling fans
- Interior features
- Beamed ceilingsCathedral ceilingsDouble pane windowsMasonry fireplace
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry located in hall
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $149,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $149,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $149,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $149,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $149,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $149,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $149,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $149,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $149,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $149,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $149,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $149,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $149,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $149,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $149,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $149,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $149,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $149,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-14pricedays on market $149,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $164,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $164,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $164,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $164,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $164,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $164,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $164,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $164,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $164,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $164,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $164,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $164,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $164,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $164,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $164,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $164,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $164,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $164,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $164,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $164,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $164,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $164,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Active 8 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,069 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,069 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,423
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,069
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,194
- − Management
- −$2,194
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $7,460
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,790
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,623/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof and exterior paint, to improve its condition and value.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $2,500–$10,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Exterior (exterior) — No visible signs of damage or wear
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of significant wear
- Major exterior siding — Weathered and peeling
- Major flooring — Concrete floors in unfinished areas
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Seal roof — Prevents water damage and extends life ↑
- Both Paint interior walls — Improves aesthetics and value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,579
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2188
- State rank
- #3 of 130 in MS
Livability — Canton
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #19396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison · 122,509 people
- City population
- 29,160
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,160
- Household income
- $48,288
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,509 people
- By 2030
- 131,737 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 148,930 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 164,300 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 197,495 · +61.2%
- By 2100
- 211,429 · +72.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.50%
- Current HPI
- 154.0441
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-06-17 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-25 Listed $164,900 MLSU
- 2002-03-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1985-05-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,069 · +275.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…