134 Rosethorne Ln · Grand Isle, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
$253,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is move in ready. With 4 bedrooms and lots of closet space. The home is in excellent condition. Great neighborhood. Furnishings remain.
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1979
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $253k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-368 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (25.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (42.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (42.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 1.6% in Grand Isle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#402 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 227 active listings in the ZIP; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 233 days — a 12% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $253k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 233 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.23%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 14.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $341,861
- List price
- $253,000
- Delta
- -25.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155 Dewberry Ln | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,164 (-8%) | 15mo | $170,000 | $146 | 61 |
| 161 Raspberry Ln | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,288 (+2%) | 20mo | $340,000 | $264 | 54 |
| 2649 Highway 1 | 0.47mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,442 (+14%) | 12mo | $399,000 | $277 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-3,710
- Equity at exit
- $102,449
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $33,195
- Equity at exit
- $149,598
Cash invested: $70,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70358
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 14.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,463 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,327
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,102/yr
- Insurance
- −$105
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $-368
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-225 | -5% $-296 | +0% $-368 | +5% $-440 | +10% $-511 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-484 | -5% $-426 | +0% $-368 | +5% $-310 | +10% $-252 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-241 | -0.5pp $-304 | base $-368 | +0.5pp $-434 | +1.0pp $-500 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,250
- Closing costs
- $7,590
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
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2026-06-21days on market $253,000 Active 233 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $253,000 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $253,000 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $253,000 Active 228 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $253,000 Active 227 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $253,000 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $253,000 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $253,000 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $253,000 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $253,000 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $253,000 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $253,000 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $253,000 Active 213 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $253,000 Active 212 DOM
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2025-10-22$253,000 Active 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
This home is move in ready. With 4 bedrooms and lots of closet space. The home is in excellent condition. Great neighborhood. Furnishings remain.
-
2025-10-22$253,000 Active 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
This home is move in ready. With 4 bedrooms and lots of closet space. The home is in excellent condition. Great neighborhood. Furnishings remain.
-
2011-02-22soldstatus $140,000
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1979-08-01soldstatus $41,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,102 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,392 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$290/yr (+$24/mo · 26.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,559
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,172
- − Property taxes
- −$1,102
- − Insurance
- −$1,265
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,405
- − Management
- −$1,405
- − Depreciation
- −$7,360
- Taxable loss
- −$9,149
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,196
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,220/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200840
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,421
- Composite
- 25.19/100
- National rank
- #7511
- State rank
- #44 of 98 in LA
Livability — Grand Isle
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #402
- US rank
- #24827
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Isle, LA
- City population
- 644
- Population (ZIP)
- 644
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 451,696 people
- By 2030
- 455,451 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 458,308 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 461,031 · +2.1%
- By 2075
- 476,351 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 499,377 · +10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 28% Subsaharan African 2% Slovak 1%
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.19%
- Current HPI
- 85.7935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+509.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-22 Listed $253,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-22 Listed $253,000 GBRMLS
- 2011-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 1979-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,102 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…