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81473 Golden Poppy Way
D Composite 42.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$619,000

81473 Golden Poppy Way · La Quinta, CA 92253
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,965 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2008 6,534 sqft lot Est $660k · 6% under $622/mo HOA · 11% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

With the added versatility of a stylish detached casita, this exceptional Monterey design at La Quinta's guard-gated resort community of Trilogy is a brilliant choice for those who welcome friends and family. The casita, which helps create a gated entry courtyard, is also perfect for homeowners who would like a flexible space for an office, art studio, gym and more. The 1-story plan spans approx. 1,965 s. f. , and boasts tile in the living spaces, carpet in the bedrooms, high ceilings, media niche area in the open great room, a den, 3 bedrooms and 3 baths. Custom granite enhances the master bath, which offers a walk-in closet, sit-down vanity, and direct access to a master suite with box bay window. Granite countertops with a full backsplash also enrich a kitchen that shines with deluxe stainless steel appliances, an island with breakfast bar, and large pantry. A beautiful and durable Alumawood pergola shades the backyard deck, and invites you to cozy up in the soothing hot tub.

Key facts

  • Welcoming courtyard
  • Above-ground spa
  • Stainless appliances

Tags

DETACHED CASITAABOVE-GROUND SPAWELCOMING COURTYARDCHEF'S KITCHENSTAINLESS APPLIANCESSLAB COUNTERS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Senior community; Development has golf course; Directions: Use GPS
  • Financial info: Rental restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee ($622); HOA includes clubhouse, security, cable TV, concierge; Community amenities: golf course, fitness center, clubhouse, tennis courts, sport court, bocce ball court, pickleball courts, banquet facilities, meeting room, card/billiard rooms, barbecue, elevator(s), management, controlled access

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Side-by-side parking; Garage door opener; Direct entrance
  • Security: 24-hour security; Gated community; Controlled access
  • Utilities: Water: Water District (CVWD); Sewer: In, connected and paid; PUD: Yes
  • Home design: Tuscan style; Single-family detached home; One story; Model: Monterey with Casita; Leisure faces south
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Tile roof; Slab foundation; Built by Shea Homes
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Block and wrought iron fencing; Sprinkler system; Back yard; Front yard; Landscaped; Utilities underground; Close to clubhouse; Has spa/hot tub (private, heated - gas, above ground); Guest house / casita (with sink/beverage center); Mountain view; 24-hour security; Gated community

Interior

  • Kitchen: Island; Granite slab counters; Pantry; Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Microwave; Exhaust fan; Water line to refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Master retreat with walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; Double vanity(s); Tile shower; Shower stall; Shower over tub
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings (9 ft+); Recessed lighting; Open floorplan; French doors; Sliding doors; Unfurnished; Double pane windows; Shutters
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in an individual room; 220V outlet in laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $619k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-446/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $612k (1.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $586k (5.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $586k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.3% in La Quinta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#694 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A-, employment B+, housing B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Coachella Valley Unified (rural): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #481 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 656 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,856/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($99k/yr) (locally 1078% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 11 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $398k; list at $619k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $585,558 (5.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.26%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$660,240
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
81530 Ulrich 0.19mi 3/3.0 1,965 (0%) 4mo $895,000 $455 88
60856 Fire Barrel Dr 0.44mi 3/3.0 1,965 (0%) 1mo $560,000 $285 79
81845 La Paz Ct 0.42mi 3/3.0 1,965 (0%) 3mo $842,000 $428 78
81814 Sun Cactus Ln 0.58mi 3/3.0 1,939 (-1%) 4mo $545,000 $281 68
61318 Sapphire Ln 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,775 (-10%) 3mo $710,000 $400 67
61325 Living Stone Dr 0.20mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,775 (-10%) 4mo $580,000 $327 62
60119 Honeysuckle St 0.69mi 3/3.0 1,939 (-1%) 4mo $550,000 $284 62
60520 Desert Rose Dr 0.51mi 2/2.5 (-1) 2,170 (+10%) 1mo $824,900 $380 51
81634 Desert Willow Dr 0.43mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,745 (-11%) 2mo $425,000 $244 50
61466 Fire Barrel Dr 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,775 (-10%) 1mo $459,000 $259 49
81701 Sun Cactus Ln 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,693 (-14%) 2mo $600,000 $354 49
60165 Desert Rose Dr 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,845 (-6%) 3mo $620,000 $336 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-81,317
Equity at exit
$92,295
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$20,107
Equity at exit
$53,520

Cash invested: $173,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92253

Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
656
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,856 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,246
Tax from tax record
$537 /mo · $6,445/yr
Insurance
$258
HOA
$622
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,230
Net cashflow
$-37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,903
Max offer price $612,435
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $313 -5% $138 +0% $-37 +5% $-212 +10% $-388
Rent -10% $-500 -5% $-268 +0% $-37 +5% $194 +10% $425
Rate -1.0pp $275 -0.5pp $120 base $-37 +0.5pp $-198 +1.0pp $-361

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$154,750
Closing costs
$18,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
81450 Moonstone Ct La Quinta, CA 2.0 2.0 1775 $6,000 $3.38 25d 1 0.06mi
61336 Sapphire Ln La Quinta, CA 2.0 2.0 1775 $5,500 $3.10 44d 1 0.08mi
81407 Golden Poppy Way La Quinta, CA 2.0 2.0 1580 $5,800 $3.67 25d 1 0.10mi
81322 Rustic Canyon Dr La Quinta, CA 2.0 3.0 2007 $8,250 $4.11 25d 1 0.18mi
61595 Topaz Dr La Quinta, CA 3.0 3.0 1641 $4,500 $2.74 44d 1 0.19mi
81565 Rustic Canyon Dr La Quinta, CA 3.0 3.0 1965 $6,000 $3.05 25d 1 0.22mi
61225 Living Stone Dr La Quinta, CA 2.0 2.0 1580 $5,500 $3.48 44d 1 0.22mi
61722 Topaz Dr La Quinta, CA 3.0 3.0 1965 $7,500 $3.82 25d 1 0.25mi
61726 Toro Canyon Way La Quinta, CA 2.0 2.0 1386 $6,250 $4.51 44d 1 0.34mi
61037 Fire Barrel Dr La Quinta, CA 3.0 3.0 2091 $8,500 $4.07 44d 1 0.34mi
60880 Azul Ct La Quinta, CA 3.0 3.0 1806 $7,200 $3.99 44d 1 0.35mi
81835 Golden Star Way La Quinta, CA 2.0 2.0 1580 $2,500 $1.58 44d 1 0.38mi
61275 Fire Barrel Dr La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.0 1641 $2,500 $1.52 44d 1 0.38mi
60661 Juniper Ln La Quinta, CA 3.0 3.0 1806 $6,500 $3.60 44d 1 0.42mi
81880 Golden Star Way La Quinta, CA 2.0 2.0 1580 $5,500 $3.48 44d 1 0.44mi
81220 Victoria Ln La Quinta, CA 3.0 3.0 2526 $8,500 $3.37 25d 1 0.46mi
81955 Golden Star Way La Quinta, CA 3.0 3.0 2091 $4,225 $2.02 44d 1 0.47mi
81910 Eagle Claw Dr La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.0 1775 $6,000 $3.38 44d 1 0.49mi
81165 Desert Sage Ct La Quinta, CA 3.0 3.0 1835 $7,500 $4.09 25d 1 0.51mi
60460 Desert Rose Dr La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.0 1845 $6,000 $3.25 44d 1 0.51mi
81225 Red Rock Rd La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.0 1845 $6,825 $3.70 25d 1 0.55mi
81278 Golden Barrel Way La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.0 1845 $4,500 $2.44 44d 1 0.56mi
81874 Sun Cactus Ln La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.0 1845 $7,500 $4.07 44d 1 0.59mi
81626 Prism Dr La Quinta, CA 2.0 2.0 1386 $5,500 $3.97 44d 1 0.60mi
60224 Honeysuckle St La Quinta, CA 2.0 2.0 1359 $4,400 $3.24 44d 1 0.62mi
60177 Angora Ct La Quinta, CA 2.0 2.0 1667 $3,200 $1.92 44d 1 0.63mi
60568 Lace Leaf Ct La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.5 2332 $5,500 $2.36 44d 1 0.66mi
60213 Katie Cir La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.5 1641 $3,500 $2.13 44d 1 0.68mi
60636 Desert Shadows Dr La Quinta, CA 2.0 2.0 1359 $5,700 $4.19 44d 1 0.68mi
60290 Sweetshade Ln La Quinta, CA 3.0 3.0 1939 $8,500 $4.38 44d 1 0.70mi
60259 Prickly Pear La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.0 1845 $8,500 $4.61 44d 1 0.75mi
81780 Daniel Dr La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.0 1693 $5,500 $3.25 44d 1 0.82mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$622 · $7,464/yr
Likely covers
gymsecurity

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $619,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $619,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $619,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $619,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $619,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $619,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    remarks 692-char remark
  8. 2026-06-01
    listed $619,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,445 · $537/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,445 · $537/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥112°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$70,267
− Mortgage interest
−$34,674
− Property taxes
−$6,445
− Insurance
−$3,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,621
− Management
−$5,621
− HOA
−$7,464
− Depreciation
−$18,007
Taxable loss
−$10,660
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,558
After-tax cash flow
$2,113/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coachella Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0609070
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,683
Composite
14.62/100
National rank
#9408
State rank
#481 of 517 in CA

Livability — La Quinta

Score
58/100
State rank
#694
US rank
#21080

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living F Crime B Employment B+ Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
La Quinta, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
38,666
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
38,666
Household income
$99,277
Rent vs Own
24.2% rent · 75.8% own
Severe rent burden
1078.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 19% Asian 4% Native American 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 24% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -263.65%
Current HPI
281.8665
Rent YoY
▲ 6.45%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+26.6% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Listed $619,000 GPSMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Rental Removed $6,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-15 Listed for Rent $6,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-05-01 Rental Removed $6,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-01-08 Listed for Rent $6,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-01-03 Rental Removed $5,200 CRMLS
  • 2024-05-31 Listed for Rent $5,200 CRMLS
  • 2022-08-16 Price Changed $5,200 RENT.
  • 2017-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $397,500 Public Records
  • 2017-07-07 Sold (MLS) $397,500 GPSMLS
  • 2017-06-29 Pending GPSMLS
  • 2017-06-06 Contingent GPSMLS
  • 2017-03-23 Relisted GPSMLS
  • 2017-03-05 Contingent GPSMLS
  • 2017-02-22 Listed $419,000 GPSMLS
  • 2017-02-14 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2016-11-23 Listed $445,000 GPSMLS
  • 2016-10-30 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2016-07-10 Relisted GPSMLS
  • 2016-06-15 Contingent GPSMLS
  • 2016-03-19 Listed $439,900 GPSMLS
  • 2016-03-16 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2016-01-06 Price Changed $459,000 GPSMLS
  • 2015-12-01 Relisted GPSMLS
  • 2015-11-30 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2015-11-03 Price Changed $475,000 GPSMLS
  • 2015-08-03 Listed $489,000 GPSMLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,445 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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