Triplex
72 Sunset St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$430,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
The owners have Continuously updated this four-unit with a car two two-car garage! Unit one features 12- foot The owners have Continuously updated this four-unit with a car two two-car garage! Unit one features 12-foot ceilings. , a kitchen with granite countertops, and an open floor plan, unit two has an updated kitchen including cabinets and flooring, and a spacious living room with three bedrooms! Unit three is an old owner's unit with hardwood floors and a full living room and dining room with two bedrooms. Unit 4 is a one-bedroom utility! Updates include a new ramp, 90% replacement windows, and Roof Approx. 12 years old with seamless gutters, new flat roof 2024, updated electrical, large basement Egress, and recently painted stairwell 2024! Add this one to your portfolio or live one unit and collect the rents!. , a kitchen with granite countertops, and an open floor plan, unit two has an updated kitchen including cabinets and flooring, and a spacious living room with three bedrooms! Unit three is an old owner's unit with hardwood floors and a full living room and dining room with two bedrooms. Unit 4 is a one-bedroom utility! Updates include a new ramp, 90% replacement windows.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Seamless gutters
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $430k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $850 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $283/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $430k).
- Recommended offer: $391k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,837/mo this rent would consume 146% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $120k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($391k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $430k implies a 604% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.47%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $445,476
- List price
- $430,000
- Delta
- -3.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Grote St | 0.60mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | 4,902 (+0%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $79 | 65 |
| 135 Peter St | 0.62mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | 4,924 (+0%) | 14mo | $320,000 | $65 | 53 |
| 98 Rano St | 0.75mi | 9/4.0 | 5,325 (+9%) | 10mo | $280,000 | $53 | 42 |
| 19 Grote St | 0.61mi | 9/4.0 | 5,302 (+8%) | 19mo | $210,000 | $40 | 42 |
| 115 Grote St | 0.54mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | 4,244 (-13%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $54 | 41 |
| 44 Reservation St | 0.60mi | 9/4.0 | 5,364 (+10%) | 22mo | $75,000 | $14 | 38 |
| 52 Wilbury Pl | 0.69mi | 8/— (-1) | 5,168 (+6%) | 21mo | $1,213,000 | $235 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $10,068
- Equity at exit
- $64,114
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $195,086
- Equity at exit
- $37,179
Cash invested: $120,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14207
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 22.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,837 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,255
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$538 /mo · $6,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$179
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,016
- Net cashflow
- $850
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | — | $4,836 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $1,612 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $1,612 |
| #3 | 3 | — | $1,612 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,837 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $107,500
- Closing costs
- $12,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $430,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $430,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $430,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $430,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $430,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $430,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $430,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $430,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $430,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $430,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $430,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $430,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $430,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $430,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-02-18$430,000 Active 1205-char remark
Show marketing remark (1205 chars)
The owners have Continuously updated this four-unit with a car two two-car garage! Unit one features 12- foot The owners have Continuously updated this four-unit with a car two two-car garage! Unit one features 12-foot ceilings. , a kitchen with granite countertops, and an open floor plan, unit two has an updated kitchen including cabinets and flooring, and a spacious living room with three bedrooms! Unit three is an old owner's unit with hardwood floors and a full living room and dining room with two bedrooms. Unit 4 is a one-bedroom utility! Updates include a new ramp, 90% replacement windows, and Roof Approx. 12 years old with seamless gutters, new flat roof 2024, updated electrical, large basement Egress, and recently painted stairwell 2024! Add this one to your portfolio or live one unit and collect the rents!. , a kitchen with granite countertops, and an open floor plan, unit two has an updated kitchen including cabinets and flooring, and a spacious living room with three bedrooms! Unit three is an old owner's unit with hardwood floors and a full living room and dining room with two bedrooms. Unit 4 is a one-bedroom utility! Updates include a new ramp, 90% replacement windows.
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2024-12-12historical
-
2024-06-12$500,000 Active
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2019-03-19historical
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2019-03-13historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
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2019-03-12status Under Contract- Do Not Show
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2019-03-11$230,000 Active
-
2017-10-17soldstatus $61,093
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $58,044
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,087
- − Property taxes
- −$6,450
- − Insurance
- −$2,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,644
- − Management
- −$4,644
- − Depreciation
- −$12,509
- Taxable income
- $3,561
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$855
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,340/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,327
- Household income
- $39,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2177.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.42%
- Current HPI
- 233.0902
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+603.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Listed $430,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-12-12 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2024-06-12 Listed $500,000 WNYREIS
- 2019-03-19 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2019-03-13 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2019-03-12 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2019-03-11 Listed $230,000 WNYREIS
- 2017-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $61,093 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $824 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…