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9 Constitution Ct
B Composite 73.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.9/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$410,275

9 Constitution Ct · Broad Creek, NC 28570
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,054 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 2026 Est $433k · 5% under $27/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PRE SALE. NO SHOWINGS! The one-story Chatham is a classic to the JC Jackson's Carolina Series. With four bedrooms and three bathrooms this split bedroom home features an impressive entry that showcases your dining room and study just inside the front door, then leads you to the expansive great room open to the breakfast area, and kitchen with a center island. With tall cathedral ceilings and windows across the back of the home that provide views of the backyard, this home was built for entertaining! The owner's bedroom is separate from the secondary bedrooms with easy access to the garage through the conveniently located laundry room.

Key facts

  • One story
  • Expansive great room
  • Impressive entry

Tags

ONE STORYSPLIT BEDROOMIMPRESSIVE ENTRYEXPANSIVE GREAT ROOMTALL CATHEDRAL CEILINGSVIEWS OF THE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $410k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($107k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $410k).
  • Cap rate 32.4% vs local median 22.6% in Broad Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#340 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Carteret County Public Schools (rural): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #31 of 178 in NC (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Newport Elementary (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #542 of 1,410 statewide, top 39%, 645 students, 100% FRL); Newport Middle (math 39% / reading 56%, grade C-, #140 of 475 statewide, top 30%, 378 students, 98% FRL); West Carteret High (math 82% / reading 71%, grade A-, #89 of 535 statewide, top 16%, 1,146 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 39% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 935 units permitted in Carteret County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $14,912/mo this rent would consume 255% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carteret County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $115k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $410,275

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.63%
Cap rate
32.38%
Cash-on-cash
93.16%
DSCR
5.14
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$433,394
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
115 Eudora Dr 0.19mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,030 (-1%) 8mo $425,000 $209 75
183 Gales Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,044 (-0%) 11mo $435,000 $213 72
101 Eudora Dr 0.16mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,906 (-7%) 2mo $425,000 $223 72
115 Ballantine Grove Ln 0.37mi 4/2.0 2,016 (-2%) 12mo $405,000 $201 66
110 Ballantine Grove Ln 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,885 (-8%) 13mo $390,000 $207 56
265 Bay Run 0.64mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,100 (+2%) 4mo $390,000 $186 56
281 Bay Run 0.68mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,015 (-2%) 7mo $430,000 $213 52
111 Dixon Pond Dr Lot 96 0.37mi 4/2.0 1,774 (-14%) 16mo $369,999 $209 43
210 Jones Ridge Ln Lot 89 0.47mi 4/2.0 1,774 (-14%) 13mo $374,199 $211 40
129 Ballantine Grove Ln 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,760 (-14%) 11mo $387,000 $220 40
200 Jones Ridge Ln Lot 91 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,774 (-14%) 16mo $369,999 $209 40
211 Fawns Path Cir Lot 83 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,774 (-14%) 15mo $393,000 $222 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
94.0%
Equity multiple
5.37×
Total profit
$501,743
Equity at exit
$61,173
10-year hold
IRR
96.8%
Equity multiple
11.18×
Total profit
$1,169,261
Equity at exit
$35,473

Cash invested: $114,877 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28570

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$14,912 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,152
Tax est. 1.5%
$513 /mo · $6,154/yr
Insurance
$171
HOA
$27
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,131
Net cashflow
$8,918

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,623
Max offer price $410,275
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$102,569
Closing costs
$12,308
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$27 · $324/yr

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-03-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-11
    listed $410,275 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$178,940
− Mortgage interest
−$22,982
− Property taxes
−$6,154
− Insurance
−$2,051
− Repairs & maintenance
−$14,315
− Management
−$14,315
− HOA
−$324
− Depreciation
−$11,935
Taxable income
$106,863
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$25,647
After-tax cash flow
$81,367/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carteret County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3700630
Math proficiency
59% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$48,330
Composite
50.92/100
National rank
#1786
State rank
#31 of 178 in NC

Livability — Broad Creek

Score
64/100
State rank
#340
US rank
#13718

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Broad Creek, NC
County
Carteret County · 52,389 people
Metro
Morehead City, NC
Population (ZIP)
22,197
Household income
$70,229
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
461.0

Population outlook (Carteret County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,443 people
By 2030
75,344 · +2.6%
By 2040
78,142 · +6.4%
By 2050
80,091 · +9.1%
By 2075
86,120 · +17.3%
By 2100
89,408 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carteret

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.0% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -34.7pp · 2024: -43.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.1 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+34.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.54%
Current HPI
276.6589
Rent YoY
Metro
Morehead City, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $410,275 Hive MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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