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12 Lynch Rd
B+ Composite 75.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$36,900

12 Lynch Rd · Wolf Summit, WV 26426
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,210 sqft · Manufactured public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1971 0.51 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located close to Route 50. CASH ONLY. Property Selling "As Is". Needs new sewage system. Three bedrooms and full bath. All taxes, measurements and year built are approximate. SEE AGENT REMARKS

Key facts

  • 0.51 acre lot
  • Built 1971
  • Listed 64 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Single-story
  • Construction: Wood siding; Metal and rolled/hot mop roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Vinyl and wood flooring; 9 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $37k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $695 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $37k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#250 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Harrison County Schools (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #12 of 55 in WV (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Salem Elementary (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #49 of 377 statewide, top 16%, 189 students, 0% FRL); Robert C Byrd High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #32 of 110 statewide, top 34%, 765 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 84 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($255 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • Harrison County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,686 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.21%
Cap rate
28.90%
Cash-on-cash
80.75%
DSCR
4.59
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
85.8%
Equity multiple
5.87×
Total profit
$50,315
Equity at exit
$18,275
10-year hold
IRR
84.8%
Equity multiple
12.15×
Total profit
$115,186
Equity at exit
$29,548

Cash invested: $10,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26426

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,183 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$194
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $363/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$695

Break-even live

Break-even rent $303
Max offer price $36,900
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,225
Closing costs
$1,107
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $36,900 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $36,900 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $36,900 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $36,900 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $36,900 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $36,900 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $36,900 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $36,900 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $36,900 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $36,900 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $36,900 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $36,900 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $36,900 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $36,900 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $36,900 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $36,900 Active 45 DOM
  17. 2026-04-15
    listed $36,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$363 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$363 · $30/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,193
− Mortgage interest
−$2,067
− Property taxes
−$363
− Insurance
−$184
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,135
− Management
−$1,135
− Depreciation
−$1,073
Taxable income
$8,234
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,976
After-tax cash flow
$6,367/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County Schools
NCES district ID
5400510
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,269
Composite
30.48/100
National rank
#6222
State rank
#12 of 55 in WV

Livability — Wolf Summit

Score
57/100
State rank
#250
US rank
#21634

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B Housing F Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,302

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
67,273 people
By 2030
65,963 · -1.9%
By 2040
63,033 · -6.3%
By 2050
59,999 · -10.8%
By 2075
52,524 · -21.9%
By 2100
42,654 · -36.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.0) · D 28.5% · R 69.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -41.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.0 2020: R+37.6 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+23.5 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.80%
Current HPI
174.3458
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $36,900 NCWVREIN

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $363 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…