107 Padgett St · Corbin, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
- 1% rule +0.2/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Newly renovated in 2024, this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family home offers a great opportunity for investors seeking steady rental income in a growing southeastern Kentucky market. The home is currently tenant-occupied generating a gross monthly rental income of $1,074.99, making it an ideal addition for investors look to expand their rental portfolio.
Key facts
- 0.63 acre lot
- Listed 37 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-story house
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Metal roof; Total building area 1,255
- Exterior features: Neighborhood view; Not on waterfront; Public water
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Partial walk-out basement with finished area; Below-grade finished area (228); Laminate flooring; Six total rooms; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-290 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (30.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (47.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $89k (47.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.3% in Corbin — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#179 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Corbin Independent (town): math 42% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #20 of 165 in KY (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Corbin Primary (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #255 of 676 statewide, top 42%, 769 students, 60% FRL); Corbin Middle School (math 46% / reading 56%, grade C, #20 of 217 statewide, top 10%, 646 students, 58% FRL); Corbin High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 829 students, 53% FRL).
- Market conditions: 332 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Whitley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
- Whitley County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $170k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.52% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.31%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 16.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,000
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603 South Poplar Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 961 (+7%) | 16mo | $120,000 | $125 | 61 |
| 504 W 3rd St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (+14%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $64 | 60 |
| 310 Ruby St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 856 (-4%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $58 | 60 |
| 204 Union St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-12%) | 5mo | $40,000 | $51 | 58 |
| 418 Vandorn St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-11%) | 11mo | $87,500 | $109 | 50 |
| 908 W 5th Street St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 1,014 (+13%) | 10mo | $137,400 | $136 | 48 |
| 231 Wilson St | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-6%) | 18mo | $119,000 | $142 | 42 |
| 507 Gentry St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-7%) | 23mo | $135,000 | $162 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-8,432
- Equity at exit
- $65,444
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $9,265
- Equity at exit
- $93,019
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40701
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 332
- Price-to-rent
- 16.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $887 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $345/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $-290
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16status $170,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-04-20$170,000 Active
-
2025-07-12historical $1,000
-
2025-07-02price $1,000
-
2025-06-04price $1,350
-
2025-04-16$1,450
-
2024-10-17historical $1,250
-
2024-10-10price $1,250
-
2024-09-05price $1,300
-
2024-08-20price $1,400
-
2024-08-01price $1,500
-
2024-07-26price $1,525
-
2024-07-23$1,550
-
2024-06-22historical $1,600
-
2024-05-25$1,600
-
2024-04-26soldstatus $105,000
-
2023-06-26historical
-
2023-06-20$129,900 Active
-
2020-11-02soldstatus $78,000 Sold
-
2020-11-02$78,000 Active
-
2020-11-02soldstatus $78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $345 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,462 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,117/yr (+$93/mo · 323.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,649
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$345
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$852
- − Management
- −$852
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$6,719
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,612
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,868/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corbin Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101320
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,928
- Composite
- 38.19/100
- National rank
- #4259
- State rank
- #20 of 165 in KY
Livability — Corbin
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #179
- US rank
- #8891
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corbin, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,767
Population outlook (Whitley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,362 people
- By 2030
- 34,807 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 33,525 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 32,550 · -8.0%
- By 2075
- 29,555 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 24,308 · -31.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Whitley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.3) · D 14.8% · R 84.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.7pp toward R · 2008: -47.7pp · 2024: -69.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.3 2020: R+65.2 2016: R+67.2 2012: R+57.8 2008: R+47.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Current HPI
- 294.7961
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+117.9% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $170,000 ImagineMLS
- 2025-07-12 Rental Removed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2025-07-02 Price Changed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2025-06-04 Price Changed $1,350 APPFOLIO
- 2025-04-16 Listed for Rent $1,450 APPFOLIO
- 2024-10-17 Rental Removed $1,250 APPFOLIO
- 2024-10-10 Price Changed $1,250 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-05 Price Changed $1,300 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-20 Price Changed $1,400 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-01 Price Changed $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2024-07-26 Price Changed $1,525 APPFOLIO
- 2024-07-23 Listed for Rent $1,550 APPFOLIO
- 2024-06-22 Rental Removed $1,600 APPFOLIO
- 2024-05-25 Listed for Rent $1,600 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-26 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2023-06-20 Listed $129,900 ImagineMLS
- 2020-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2020-11-02 Listed $78,000 ImagineMLS
- 2020-11-02 Sold (MLS) $78,000 ImagineMLS
Property tax history
+30.3%/yrLatest (2024): $345 · +29.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…