8321 Old Plank Rd · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a well-established area of Jacksonville, offering a fantastic opportunity for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to add their personal touch. With a functional layout and well-proportioned bedrooms, this property provides a solid foundation for your vision and upgrades. The spacious yard offers plenty of room for outdoor living, expansion, or future enhancements. The bathrooms adds convenience, while the overall layout presents great potential to reimagine and modernize the space. Conveniently situated near major roadways, shopping, and dining, this property is ideal for those seeking value and upside potential. Bring your creativity and transform this home into something special--don't miss this great investment opportunity! Please note that the property has sustained fire damage to the interior
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- 0.24 acre lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished; Residential, zoned RLD-60
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.24-acre lot
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.28%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $216,398
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 424 Jackson Ave N | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,149 (+8%) | 12mo | $80,000 | $70 | 69 |
| 8245 Arnot St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (+12%) | 15mo | $240,000 | $201 | 55 |
| 8131 Oklahoma St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (+13%) | 8mo | $245,020 | $203 | 53 |
| 8479 Three Creeks Blvd | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,182 (+11%) | 1mo | $214,000 | $181 | 51 |
| 8051 Driggers St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+13%) | 7mo | $213,303 | $178 | 50 |
| 8124 Wyoming St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (+13%) | 13mo | $245,020 | $203 | 49 |
| 125 Clapton Way | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,146 (+8%) | 11mo | $222,222 | $194 | 48 |
| 8125 Oklahoma St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (+13%) | 15mo | $245,020 | $203 | 47 |
| 8045 Driggers St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (+13%) | 10mo | $244,900 | $203 | 46 |
| 8057 Driggers St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (+13%) | 11mo | $244,900 | $203 | 46 |
| 107 Devoe St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,190 (+12%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $176 | 45 |
| 8535 Lori Ann Ct | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (+15%) | 14mo | $268,000 | $219 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $11,920
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $52,041
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32220
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,845 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$246 /mo · $2,951/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $504
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $575 | -5% $539 | +0% $504 | +5% $468 | +10% $433 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $358 | -5% $431 | +0% $504 | +5% $577 | +10% $650 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $567 | -0.5pp $536 | base $504 | +0.5pp $471 | +1.0pp $439 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8331 Old Plank Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,595 | $1.48 | 18d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 7847 Mariner St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,599 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7841 Mariner St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,625 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8054 Paschal St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1192 | $1,850 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-04$125,000 Active 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a well-established area of Jacksonville, offering a fantastic opportunity for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to add their personal touch. With a functional layout and well-proportioned bedrooms, this property provides a solid foundation for your vision and upgrades. The spacious yard offers plenty of room for outdoor living, expansion, or future enhancements. The bathrooms adds convenience, while the overall layout presents great potential to reimagine and modernize the space. Conveniently situated near major roadways, shopping, and dining, this property is ideal for those seeking value and upside potential. Bring your creativity and transform this home into something special--don't miss this great investment opportunity! Please note that the property has sustained fire damage to the interior
-
2026-04-27$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,951 · $246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,951 · $246/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,951
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,771
- − Management
- −$1,771
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $4,381
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,052
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,995/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,298
- Household income
- $81,792
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 177.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.90%
- Current HPI
- 293.7943
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $125,000 realMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,951 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…