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33 Big Tree Rd
D- Composite 39.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.4/10.0

$379,000

33 Big Tree Rd · Suches, GA 30572
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,284 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 2002 1.61 ac lot $295/sqft · 18% below area Est $461k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tucked into the quiet beauty of North Georgia, this 1.6 acre parcel lays just about as right as land can lay, level, usable, and thoughtfully landscaped into a true park like setting that welcomes you the moment you turn in. The concrete drive leads you home under a covered two car carport. Wide and inviting front porch stretches across the front, made for morning coffee, evening conversations, and taking in the kind of peace folks come to the mountains searching for. Step inside and you'll find a home that feels solid, warm, and well crafted. Hardwood floors run underfoot, while soaring pine walls and ceilings bring that true mountain character without overdoing it. The great room centers

Key facts

  • Wide front porch
  • One level living
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

1.6 ACRE PARCELCOVERED TWO CAR CARPORTWIDE FRONT PORCHHARDWOOD FLOORSRIVER STONE FIREPLACEONE LEVEL LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Big Tree subdivision
  • HOA & community: Association fees billed annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Driveway; Gravel parking; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Community water and well; Septic tank
  • Home design: One-story residential home; Built in 2002; Frame construction with wood siding and stone accents; Metal roof
  • Construction: Built in 2002; Frame construction; Wood siding; Stone accents; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Insulated windows with screens; Covered front porch; Private yard; Level topography; County road frontage on a paved road; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level; Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Cathedral ceilings; Wood accents; Gas log fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on the main level; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $379k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-640 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (29.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (45.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $206k (45.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fannin County (rural): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #51 of 174 in GA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Fannin Elementary School (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #485 of 1,228 statewide, top 41%, 415 students, 63% FRL); Fannin County Middle School (math 41% / reading 43%, grade D-, #126 of 470 statewide, top 28%, 619 students, 53% FRL); Fannin County High School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #68 of 424 statewide, top 17%, 900 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 375 units permitted in Fannin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($368k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $122k; list at $379k implies a 210% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $205,934 (45.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.54%
Cap rate
4.27%
Cash-on-cash
-7.24%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
15.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$460,861
List price
$379,000
Delta
-17.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
133 Hemlock Dr 0.50mi 2/2.0 1,260 (-2%) 8mo $524,500 $416 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,596
Equity at exit
$167,106
10-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$66,504
Equity at exit
$254,987

Cash invested: $106,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30572

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
15.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,059 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,988
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,458/yr
Insurance
$158
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$-640

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,870
Max offer price $265,934
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-425 -5% $-533 +0% $-640 +5% $-747 +10% $-855
Rent -10% $-803 -5% $-721 +0% $-640 +5% $-559 +10% $-477
Rate -1.0pp $-449 -0.5pp $-544 base $-640 +0.5pp $-738 +1.0pp $-838

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$94,750
Closing costs
$11,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $379,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $379,000 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $379,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $379,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $379,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $379,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $379,000 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $379,000 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $379,000 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $379,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $379,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $379,000 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $379,000 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $379,000 Active 36 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $379,000 Active 35 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $379,000 Active 34 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $379,000 Active 33 DOM
  18. 2026-04-27
    listed $379,000 Active 1766-char remark
  19. 2015-05-15
    soldstatus $122,247

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,458 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,487 · $291/mo
Expected delta
+$2,029/yr (+$169/mo · 139.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,712
− Mortgage interest
−$21,230
− Property taxes
−$1,458
− Insurance
−$1,895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,977
− Management
−$1,977
− Depreciation
−$11,025
Taxable loss
−$14,850
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,564
After-tax cash flow
$-4,116/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fannin County
NCES district ID
1302100
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$37,693
Composite
32.92/100
National rank
#5597
State rank
#51 of 174 in GA

Livability — Suches

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,006

Population outlook (Fannin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,218 people
By 2030
25,519 · +1.2%
By 2040
25,548 · +1.3%
By 2050
25,008 · -0.8%
By 2075
23,359 · -7.4%
By 2100
20,129 · -20.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fannin

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.8) · D 17.4% · R 82.2%
2008→2024 swing
-15.7pp toward R · 2008: -49.1pp · 2024: -64.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.8 2020: R+64.6 2016: R+65.5 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+49.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.84%
Current HPI
348.9701
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+210.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $379,000 NEGBOR
  • 2015-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $122,247 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,458 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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