705 N 41st St · Fort Smith, AR
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Much larger then it appears, This is a must see! refinished Hardwood floors, ceramic tile, new carpet, fresh paint, fenced back yard, 2 living areas and 4 bedrooms. Central Heat and air, new light fixtures, doors
Key facts
- Remodeled
- Fresh paint
- New hot water tank
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Dora Kimmons Jr. High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 201 statewide, top 78%, 841 students, 91% FRL); Northside High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #239 of 292 statewide, top 85%, 2,433 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 64% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 37% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fort Smith School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $150k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.40%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $170,408
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 N 41st St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,432 (0%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $105 | 95 |
| 510 N 40th St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,376 (-4%) | 3mo | $164,900 | $120 | 73 |
| 4220 Tilles Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,380 (-4%) | 8mo | $159,900 | $116 | 70 |
| 504 N 36th St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,387 (-3%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $105 | 70 |
| 428 N 35th St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,420 (-1%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $77 | 68 |
| 801 N 46 St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,414 (-1%) | 7mo | $154,000 | $109 | 65 |
| 1015 N 41st St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-9%) | 2mo | $167,900 | $129 | 65 |
| 3710 Park Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,510 (+5%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $119 | 63 |
| 919 Clifton Ct | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,455 (+2%) | 4mo | $176,000 | $121 | 62 |
| 1401 N 50th St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,472 (+3%) | 8mo | $162,000 | $110 | 50 |
| 1301 N 46th St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,280 (-11%) | 1mo | $171,500 | $134 | 50 |
| 4321 Free Ferry Ln | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,266 (-12%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $154 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-9,228
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $20,418
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72903
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,550 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3101 Park Ave Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1634 | $1,650 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 400 Lincoln Ln Fort Smith, AR | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1425 | $1,499 | $1.05 | 13d | 16 | 1.04mi |
| 406 Rockefeller Pl Fort Smith, AR | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1800 | $1,699 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5700 Grand Ave Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1605 | $1,500 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5801 Kinkead Ave Fort Smith, AR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $875 | $1.09 | 13d | 7 | 1.15mi |
| 5900 Kinkead Ave Fort Smith, AR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $895 | $1.03 | 13d | 18 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-21status Pending
-
2026-04-10price $149,900
-
2026-03-27price $154,900
-
2026-03-13price $159,900
-
2026-02-27price $164,900
-
2025-12-26$179,900 Active
-
2025-12-02soldstatus $60,000
-
2015-05-26soldstatus $67,900
-
2015-05-22soldstatus $67,900 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Much larger then it appears, This is a must see! refinished Hardwood floors, ceramic tile, new carpet, fresh paint, fenced back yard, 2 living areas and 4 bedrooms. Central Heat and air, new light fixtures, doors
-
2014-11-10$67,900 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Much larger then it appears, This is a must see! refinished Hardwood floors, ceramic tile, new carpet, fresh paint, fenced back yard, 2 living areas and 4 bedrooms. Central Heat and air, new light fixtures, doors
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,602
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,488
- − Management
- −$1,488
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$130
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$31
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,296/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Smith School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506330
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,066
- Composite
- 30.66/100
- National rank
- #6183
- State rank
- #106 of 238 in AR
Livability — Fort Smith
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #13185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Smith, AR
- County
- Sebastian County · 99,312 people
- City population
- 94,356
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,242
- Household income
- $61,434
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1009.0
Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,992 people
- By 2030
- 136,620 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 140,832 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 143,301 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 147,964 · +10.4%
- By 2100
- 145,848 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Black 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.19%
- Current HPI
- 201.125
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.90%
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+120.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Pending — WRVBOR
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $149,900 WRVBOR
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $154,900 WRVBOR
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $159,900 WRVBOR
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $164,900 WRVBOR
- 2025-12-26 Listed $179,900 WRVBOR
- 2025-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $67,900 Public Records
- 2015-05-22 Sold (MLS) $67,900 WRVBOR
- 2014-11-10 Listed $67,900 WRVBOR
Property tax history
-11.5%/yrLatest (2025): $96 · -43.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…