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B+ Composite 76.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

2139 E 4th St #13 · Ontario, CA 91764
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · Manufactured public records · 321 Days on market
Built 1982 1,440 sqft lot Est $238k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

back on market!! property shows like a model! this is a must to see. corner unit - new carpet - freshly painted - very open floor plan - big kitchen - big living room and family room with fire place - central air and heater - there is a bar next to dining room and built in china - room for private patio set on the side - across from swimming - washer, dryer and refrigerator stays - located on the north side of swimming pool -

Key facts

  • Guest parking
  • Open floor plan
  • Fitness center

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANGUEST PARKINGSWIMMING POOLPLAY GROUNDFITNESS CENTERLAUNDRY FACILITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size and living area sourced from assessor's data; Directions: between Vineyard Ave and Hellman Ave
  • HOA & community: Land lease community (Park) with monthly land lease of $1,500; Manager approval required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; 2 carport spaces; 4 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home; Mobile home remains on site; Mobile home dimensions approximately 24' x 60'; Located in Lamplighter Ontario Mobile Home Community
  • Construction: Year built per public records
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Close to clubhouse; Sidewalks; One shed on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Gas oven
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; One level (single-story); Entry on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 2.7% in Ontario — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#435 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A-, housing B+; Watch: cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Cucamonga Elementary (suburban): math 28% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #867 of 1,400 in CA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Rancho Cucamonga Middle (732 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,251/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 3075% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 321 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $175k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 321 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
15.61%
Cash-on-cash
33.28%
DSCR
2.48
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$238,080
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2139 E 4th St #135 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+2%) 5mo $268,323 $172 93
2139 E 4TH St #120 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,590 (+4%) 0mo $147,000 $92 90
2139 E 4th St #85 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-2%) 23mo $234,995 $155 78
2139 E 4th St #39 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-14%) 3mo $185,000 $140 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$48,727
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
30.9%
Equity multiple
3.39×
Total profit
$117,272
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 91764

Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,251 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$683
Net cashflow
$1,359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,531
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1360 N Hacienda Dr Ontario, CA 4.0 3.0 1948 $3,800 $1.95 1d 1 0.27mi
1925 E Harvard Privado Unit C Ontario, CA 3.0 2.5 1540 $3,000 $1.95 1d 1 0.31mi
2000 Inland Empire Blvd Ontario, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 808 $3,799 $4.70 1d 35 0.52mi
9143 W Rancho Park Cir Rancho Cucamonga, CA 4.0 3.0 2001 $3,200 $1.60 1d 1 0.61mi
9348 Greenbelt Pl Rancho Cucamonga, CA 4.0 3.0 1965 $3,500 $1.78 17d 1 0.68mi
1672 E Harvard Pl Unit B Ontario, CA 4.0 3.5 1959 $2,880 $1.47 1d 1 0.75mi
2615 E Date Palm Paseo Ontario, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 937 $3,359 $3.58 1d 27 0.75mi
1725 E G St Ontario, CA 2.0–4.0 2.5–3.5 1100 $2,690 $2.45 1d 5 0.86mi
755 N Via Dolcetto Ontario, CA 2.0 2.5 1462 $3,140 $2.15 12d 1 0.94mi
2841 E Via Terrano Ontario, CA 4.0 2.5 1901 $3,500 $1.84 16d 1 0.94mi
1781 E D St Ontario, CA 3.0 2.5 1900 $3,800 $2.00 1d 1 0.95mi
1701 E D St Ontario, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 993 $3,175 $3.20 1d 19 0.96mi
2830 E Via Fiano Ontario, CA 4.0 2.5 1749 $3,200 $1.83 1d 1 1.00mi
2830 E Via Fiano Ontario, CA 4.0 3.0 1750 $3,200 $1.83 14d 1 1.00mi
2904 E Via Fiano Ontario, CA 4.0 2.5 1749 $3,250 $1.86 21d 1 1.08mi
811 N Turner Ave Unit 7 Ontario, CA 2.0 2.5 1445 $3,200 $2.21 17d 1 1.24mi
1005 N Center Ave Ontario, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 962 $3,353 $3.49 1d 21 1.25mi
8739 Pine Crest Pl Rancho Cucamonga, CA 2.0 1.5 1179 $2,700 $2.29 1d 1 1.33mi
713 N Corvette Dr Unit 1 Ontario, CA 3.0 1.5 1350 $3,200 $2.37 10d 1 1.33mi
713 N Corvette Dr Unit 3 Ontario, CA 3.0 1.5 1250 $2,900 $2.32 2d 1 1.33mi
8731 Pine Crest Pl Rancho Cucamonga, CA 2.0 1.5 1179 $2,995 $2.54 2d 1 1.34mi
8445 Chaffee St Rancho Cucamonga, CA 4.0 2.0 1438 $3,300 $2.29 14d 1 1.38mi
8555 Sandalwood Ct Rancho Cucamonga, CA 3.0 2.0 1400 $3,375 $2.41 1d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 321 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 320 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 319 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 318 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 316 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 315 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 312 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 311 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 310 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $175,000 Active 307 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 306 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 305 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 304 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 303 DOM
  15. 2025-08-01
    listed $175,000 Active
  16. 2007-04-23
    soldstatus $75,000 430-char remark
    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    back on market!! property shows like a model! this is a must to see. corner unit - new carpet - freshly painted - very open floor plan - big kitchen - big living room and family room with fire place - central air and heater - there is a bar next to dining room and built in china - room for private patio set on the side - across from swimming - washer, dryer and refrigerator stays - located on the north side of swimming pool -

  17. 2006-12-01
    listed $79,500 430-char remark
    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    back on market!! property shows like a model! this is a must to see. corner unit - new carpet - freshly painted - very open floor plan - big kitchen - big living room and family room with fire place - central air and heater - there is a bar next to dining room and built in china - room for private patio set on the side - across from swimming - washer, dryer and refrigerator stays - located on the north side of swimming pool -

  18. 2001-12-30
    historical
  19. 2001-08-30
    listed $45,000
  20. 2001-08-10
    historical
  21. 2001-05-10
    listed $45,000
  22. 2001-04-30
    historical
  23. 2000-11-03
    listed $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 28 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,015
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,121
− Management
−$3,121
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$14,379
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,451
After-tax cash flow
$12,859/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cucamonga Elementary
NCES district ID
0616300
Math proficiency
28% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,067
Composite
33.44/100
National rank
#10539
State rank
#867 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Ontario

Score
63/100
State rank
#435
US rank
#14949

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment B- Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ontario, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
183,440
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
56,270
Household income
$81,762
Rent vs Own
54.9% rent · 45.1% own
Severe rent burden
3075.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 70% Two or more races 26% White 12% Black 8% Asian 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 60%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 50% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -571.87%
Current HPI
456.8173
Rent YoY
▼ -0.27%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+288.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-01 Listed $175,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-04-23 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CRMLS
  • 2006-12-01 Listed $79,500 CRMLS
  • 2001-12-30 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2001-08-30 Listed $45,000 CRMLS
  • 2001-08-10 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2001-05-10 Listed $45,000 CRMLS
  • 2001-04-30 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2000-11-03 Listed $45,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $161 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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