47818 Phoenix St · Indio, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 115°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$447,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully single-story home that blends comfort, space, and convenience in a nice Indio neighborhood. With 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms-including one spacious primary suite, this home offers flexibility for extended family, guests, or a home office setup. The open floorplan features a large kitchen with a large breakfast island and ample cabinet space, overlooking the cozy family room with lots of natural light. The living area flows seamlessly into the formal dining, Enjoy indoor-outdoor living with a spacious back concrete slab and a grassy area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Updates include RV access, dual pane windows. Located near schools, local parks, and shopping centers festival venues, this home offers a lifestyle that's both relaxed and connected. Large lot, No HOA, Best buy, Don't miss this opportunity!
Key facts
- Breakfast island
- Natural light
- Large kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $448k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-314/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $443k (1.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $369k (17.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $369k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.3% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 514 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,692/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 2036% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($441k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $258k; list at $448k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.25%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $540,511
- List price
- $447,900
- Delta
- -17.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48120 Arica Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,938 (-0%) | 10mo | $476,000 | $246 | 78 |
| 48276 Arica Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,938 (-0%) | 6mo | $490,000 | $253 | 78 |
| 47718 Phoenix St | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,708 (-12%) | 9mo | $549,000 | $321 | 70 |
| 47727 Phoenix St | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,708 (-12%) | 4mo | $468,000 | $274 | 69 |
| 48396 Agua Caliente St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,025 (+4%) | 4mo | $498,000 | $246 | 65 |
| 83486 Todos Santos Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,694 (-13%) | 2mo | $525,000 | $310 | 54 |
| 47686 Mirage Way | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,724 (-11%) | 5mo | $535,000 | $310 | 52 |
| 48734 Chichen Itza | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,192 (+13%) | 1mo | $505,000 | $230 | 52 |
| 83226 Beverly Ct | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,194 (+13%) | 7mo | $700,000 | $319 | 51 |
| 83454 Todos Santos Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,693 (-13%) | 6mo | $605,000 | $357 | 50 |
| 47666 Margarita St | 0.51mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,125 (+10%) | 4mo | $635,000 | $299 | 48 |
| 48638 Barrymore St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 2,180 (+12%) | 4mo | $530,000 | $243 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-73,017
- Equity at exit
- $66,783
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-60,647
- Equity at exit
- $38,726
Cash invested: $125,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92201
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 514
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,692 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,349
- Tax from tax record
- −$408 /mo · $4,891/yr
- Insurance
- −$187
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$775
- Net cashflow
- $-26
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $227 | -5% $101 | +0% $-26 | +5% $-153 | +10% $-280 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-318 | -5% $-172 | +0% $-26 | +5% $120 | +10% $265 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $199 | -0.5pp $88 | base $-26 | +0.5pp $-142 | +1.0pp $-260 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $111,975
- Closing costs
- $13,437
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83459 Caribe Ave Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $3,000 | $2.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 83459 Caribe Ave Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $3,200 | $2.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 83458 Tropical Whisper Ct Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1689 | $3,300 | $1.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 47519 Margarita St Indio, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2125 | $3,999 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 82803 Wordsworth Ct Indio, CA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2501 | $4,000 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 82798 Longfellow Ct Indio, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2014 | $4,500 | $2.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 83110 Raven Ln Indio, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1890 | $3,500 | $1.85 | 11d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 48638 Hepburn Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $5,800 | $3.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 49142 Barrymore St Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1773 | $2,775 | $1.57 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 82833 Odlum Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2051 | $6,000 | $2.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 82794 Odlum Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2005 | $3,875 | $1.93 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 82518 Bogart Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2071 | $4,950 | $2.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 83589 Shadowrock Dr Coachella, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1679 | $4,300 | $2.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 82487 Bogart Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2409 | $3,400 | $1.41 | 17d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 82487 Bogart Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2409 | $3,400 | $1.41 | 19d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 82642 Sky View Ln Indio, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2005 | $4,000 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 82775 Burnette Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2051 | $6,000 | $2.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 49418 Wayne St Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1985 | $4,950 | $2.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 49549 Lewis Rd Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $4,200 | $2.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 49535 Redford Way Indio, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2044 | $4,200 | $2.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 49527 Wayne St Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2066 | $5,000 | $2.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 48957 Heifitz Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $4,600 | $2.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 49544 Wayne St Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2112 | $4,400 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 82760 Chaplin Ct Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2231 | $6,000 | $2.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 49580 Wayne St Indio, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2112 | $4,800 | $2.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 48842 Biery St Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $3,200 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 49715 Lewis Rd Indio, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2205 | $5,000 | $2.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 82633 Odlum Dr Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $3,200 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 82580 Yeager Way Indio, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2212 | $4,500 | $2.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 82787 Matthau Dr Indio, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1947 | $3,300 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 82779 Matthau Dr Indio, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1947 | $3,600 | $1.85 | 19d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 50157 Calle Tolosa Coachella, CA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1912 | $3,414 | $1.79 | 12d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 49990 Eastwood Ln Indio, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1947 | $5,000 | $2.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 82235 Calico Ave Indio, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $3,290 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 82900 Temescal Canyon Dr Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1622 | $3,800 | $2.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 82242 Odlum Dr Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $3,000 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-04-22$487,900 Active 848-char remark
Show marketing remark (848 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully single-story home that blends comfort, space, and convenience in a nice Indio neighborhood. With 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms-including one spacious primary suite, this home offers flexibility for extended family, guests, or a home office setup. The open floorplan features a large kitchen with a large breakfast island and ample cabinet space, overlooking the cozy family room with lots of natural light. The living area flows seamlessly into the formal dining, Enjoy indoor-outdoor living with a spacious back concrete slab and a grassy area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Updates include RV access, dual pane windows. Located near schools, local parks, and shopping centers festival venues, this home offers a lifestyle that's both relaxed and connected. Large lot, No HOA, Best buy, Don't miss this opportunity!
-
2021-09-28status Pending
-
2021-09-26historical
-
2021-09-11status Active
-
2021-08-27$405,000 Active
-
2020-02-06historical Hold
-
2020-01-23$309,000 Active
-
2018-04-13soldstatus $258,000 Sold
-
2018-04-13soldstatus $258,000
-
2018-02-06status Pending
-
2017-12-11historical Hold
-
2017-12-11price $264,900
-
2017-11-27$255,000 Active
-
2012-03-16soldstatus $109,500 Closed
-
2012-02-10status Pending
-
2012-01-09status Backup Offers Accepted
-
2011-12-31status Active
-
2011-12-16status Backup Offers Accepted
-
2011-12-10$110,900 Active
-
2004-05-17soldstatus $233,000
-
2004-05-10historical
-
2004-02-11$239,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,891 · $408/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,891 · $408/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥115°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,306
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,089
- − Property taxes
- −$4,891
- − Insurance
- −$2,240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,544
- − Management
- −$3,544
- − Depreciation
- −$13,030
- Taxable loss
- −$8,032
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,928
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,613/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desert Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0611110
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,957
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4346
- State rank
- #199 of 517 in CA
Livability — Indio
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #927
- US rank
- #24244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indio, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 100,560
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,825
- Household income
- $66,758
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2036.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 39% White 19% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 69%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 41% English-only · Spanish 55% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.46%
- Current HPI
- 348.6605
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.34%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+103.4% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $487,900 GPSMLS
- 2021-09-28 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2021-09-26 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2021-09-11 Relisted — GPSMLS
- 2021-08-27 Listed $405,000 GPSMLS
- 2020-02-06 Delisted — GPSMLS
- 2020-01-23 Listed $309,000 GPSMLS
- 2018-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $258,000 Public Records
- 2018-04-13 Sold (MLS) $258,000 GPSMLS
- 2018-02-06 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2017-12-11 Price Changed $264,900 GPSMLS
- 2017-12-11 Delisted — GPSMLS
- 2017-11-27 Listed $255,000 GPSMLS
- 2012-03-16 Sold (MLS) $109,500 GPSMLS
- 2012-02-10 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2012-01-09 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2011-12-31 Relisted — GPSMLS
- 2011-12-16 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2011-12-10 Listed $110,900 GPSMLS
- 2004-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $233,000 Public Records
- 2004-05-10 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2004-02-11 Listed $239,900 GPSMLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,891 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…