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719 Lake Caroline Dr
C- Composite 51.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$257,000

719 Lake Caroline Dr · Lake Caroline, VA 22546
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1993 0.33 ac lot $268/sqft · 19% below area Est $316k · 19% under $87/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step inside and it opens up in a way that catches you off guard—in the best way. Warm hardwood floors stretch out under your feet, pulling you from one space to the next with an easy, natural flow. The arched doorway adds just enough character to whisper this isn’t cookie-cutter, while the natural light pours in like it pays rent. The living space feels open but grounded… like it knows how to host a slow Sunday morning or a last-minute gathering that turns into something you didn’t want to end. The kitchen sits right where it should—connected, functional, and full of potential. Plenty of cabinet space, room to move, and just enough separation to keep life organized without missing a moment. Two bedrooms, one full bath—simple, clean, and practical. The kind of layout that works whether you’re downsizing, buying smart, or grabbing your own piece of Lake Caroline before everyone else catches on. And then there’s the outside… A large back deck that feels like an exhale. Morning coffee, evening wine, conversations that stretch a little longer because no one’s in a rush out here. Being on a corner lot gives you space—not just physically, but mentally. Room to breathe. Room to live without feeling watched or boxed in. And let’s be real—Lake Caroline isn’t just a location, it’s a lifestyle. Private lake access, sandy beach, pool, basketball courts… the kind of place where weekends don’t need planning—they just happen. This isn’t the loudest house on the market. But it might be the one that feels right the second you walk in.

Key facts

  • Large back deck
  • Sandy beach
  • Arched doorway

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSARCHED DOORWAYLARGE BACK DECKCORNER LOTPRIVATE LAKE ACCESSSANDY BEACH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $257k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (13.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $222k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Caroline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#476 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Caroline County Public School District (rural): math 39% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #95 of 131 in VA (top 72%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lewis And Clark Elementary (math 53% / reading 64%, grade B-, #576 of 1,108 statewide, top 52%, 890 students, 75% FRL); Caroline Middle (math 36% / reading 67%, grade C, #222 of 342 statewide, top 65%, 973 students, 75% FRL); Caroline High (math 46% / reading 76%, grade C+, #242 of 319 statewide, top 76%, 1,251 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 44% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 279 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 318 units permitted in Caroline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caroline County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $170k; list at $257k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $222,211 (13.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.63%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$315,556
List price
$257,000
Delta
-18.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
306 Adams Dr 0.35mi 3/1.0 920 (-4%) 10mo $220,000 $239 69
5 Boston Cv 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,020 (+6%) 17mo $299,900 $294 59
791 Lake Caroline Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,060 (+10%) 15mo $310,000 $292 48
2 Cornwallis Cv 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,080 (+12%) 13mo $309,950 $287 37
72 Lake Caroline Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+8%) 21mo $374,900 $360 36
104 Columbia Dr 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,060 (+10%) 16mo $399,000 $376 36
257 Tranquility Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,056 (+10%) 22mo $310,000 $294 32
424 Loyalist Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,104 (+15%) 14mo $310,000 $281 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-35,453
Equity at exit
$38,320
10-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-23,008
Equity at exit
$22,221

Cash invested: $71,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 22546

Home prices YoY
-2.9%
Active inventory
279
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,222 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,348
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,390/yr
Insurance
$107
HOA
$87
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$467
Net cashflow
$98

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,098
Max offer price $257,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $243 -5% $171 +0% $98 +5% $25 +10% $-48
Rent -10% $-78 -5% $10 +0% $98 +5% $186 +10% $273
Rate -1.0pp $227 -0.5pp $163 base $98 +0.5pp $31 +1.0pp $-37

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,250
Closing costs
$7,710
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
231 Lake Caroline Dr Ruther Glen, VA 2.0 2.0 1008 $1,950 $1.93 3d 1 0.77mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$87 · $1,044/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending 1659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1659 chars)

    Step inside and it opens up in a way that catches you off guard—in the best way. Warm hardwood floors stretch out under your feet, pulling you from one space to the next with an easy, natural flow. The arched doorway adds just enough character to whisper this isn’t cookie-cutter, while the natural light pours in like it pays rent. The living space feels open but grounded… like it knows how to host a slow Sunday morning or a last-minute gathering that turns into something you didn’t want to end. The kitchen sits right where it should—connected, functional, and full of potential. Plenty of cabinet space, room to move, and just enough separation to keep life organized without missing a moment. Two bedrooms, one full bath—simple, clean, and practical. The kind of layout that works whether you’re downsizing, buying smart, or grabbing your own piece of Lake Caroline before everyone else catches on. And then there’s the outside… A large back deck that feels like an exhale. Morning coffee, evening wine, conversations that stretch a little longer because no one’s in a rush out here. Being on a corner lot gives you space—not just physically, but mentally. Room to breathe. Room to live without feeling watched or boxed in. And let’s be real—Lake Caroline isn’t just a location, it’s a lifestyle. Private lake access, sandy beach, pool, basketball courts… the kind of place where weekends don’t need planning—they just happen. This isn’t the loudest house on the market. But it might be the one that feels right the second you walk in.

  2. 2026-05-04
    price $257,000 1659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1659 chars)

    Step inside and it opens up in a way that catches you off guard—in the best way. Warm hardwood floors stretch out under your feet, pulling you from one space to the next with an easy, natural flow. The arched doorway adds just enough character to whisper this isn’t cookie-cutter, while the natural light pours in like it pays rent. The living space feels open but grounded… like it knows how to host a slow Sunday morning or a last-minute gathering that turns into something you didn’t want to end. The kitchen sits right where it should—connected, functional, and full of potential. Plenty of cabinet space, room to move, and just enough separation to keep life organized without missing a moment. Two bedrooms, one full bath—simple, clean, and practical. The kind of layout that works whether you’re downsizing, buying smart, or grabbing your own piece of Lake Caroline before everyone else catches on. And then there’s the outside… A large back deck that feels like an exhale. Morning coffee, evening wine, conversations that stretch a little longer because no one’s in a rush out here. Being on a corner lot gives you space—not just physically, but mentally. Room to breathe. Room to live without feeling watched or boxed in. And let’s be real—Lake Caroline isn’t just a location, it’s a lifestyle. Private lake access, sandy beach, pool, basketball courts… the kind of place where weekends don’t need planning—they just happen. This isn’t the loudest house on the market. But it might be the one that feels right the second you walk in.

  3. 2026-04-16
    price $264,000 1659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1659 chars)

    Step inside and it opens up in a way that catches you off guard—in the best way. Warm hardwood floors stretch out under your feet, pulling you from one space to the next with an easy, natural flow. The arched doorway adds just enough character to whisper this isn’t cookie-cutter, while the natural light pours in like it pays rent. The living space feels open but grounded… like it knows how to host a slow Sunday morning or a last-minute gathering that turns into something you didn’t want to end. The kitchen sits right where it should—connected, functional, and full of potential. Plenty of cabinet space, room to move, and just enough separation to keep life organized without missing a moment. Two bedrooms, one full bath—simple, clean, and practical. The kind of layout that works whether you’re downsizing, buying smart, or grabbing your own piece of Lake Caroline before everyone else catches on. And then there’s the outside… A large back deck that feels like an exhale. Morning coffee, evening wine, conversations that stretch a little longer because no one’s in a rush out here. Being on a corner lot gives you space—not just physically, but mentally. Room to breathe. Room to live without feeling watched or boxed in. And let’s be real—Lake Caroline isn’t just a location, it’s a lifestyle. Private lake access, sandy beach, pool, basketball courts… the kind of place where weekends don’t need planning—they just happen. This isn’t the loudest house on the market. But it might be the one that feels right the second you walk in.

  4. 2026-04-08
    listed $273,000 Active 1659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1659 chars)

    Step inside and it opens up in a way that catches you off guard—in the best way. Warm hardwood floors stretch out under your feet, pulling you from one space to the next with an easy, natural flow. The arched doorway adds just enough character to whisper this isn’t cookie-cutter, while the natural light pours in like it pays rent. The living space feels open but grounded… like it knows how to host a slow Sunday morning or a last-minute gathering that turns into something you didn’t want to end. The kitchen sits right where it should—connected, functional, and full of potential. Plenty of cabinet space, room to move, and just enough separation to keep life organized without missing a moment. Two bedrooms, one full bath—simple, clean, and practical. The kind of layout that works whether you’re downsizing, buying smart, or grabbing your own piece of Lake Caroline before everyone else catches on. And then there’s the outside… A large back deck that feels like an exhale. Morning coffee, evening wine, conversations that stretch a little longer because no one’s in a rush out here. Being on a corner lot gives you space—not just physically, but mentally. Room to breathe. Room to live without feeling watched or boxed in. And let’s be real—Lake Caroline isn’t just a location, it’s a lifestyle. Private lake access, sandy beach, pool, basketball courts… the kind of place where weekends don’t need planning—they just happen. This isn’t the loudest house on the market. But it might be the one that feels right the second you walk in.

  5. 2020-06-12
    historical 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    GREAT HOUSE, GREAT LOCATION, NEW CARPET, UPGRADES IN THE BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN SINK, NEW FRONT PORCH, SHINY HARDWOOD FLOORS. CHARMING AND ADORABLE RAMBLER SITTING ON THE CORNER OF LAKE CAROLINE DRIVE. READY FOR NEW OWNER. HOME COULD BE A 3 BEDROOM IF YOU WANTED IT TO BE. THANKS FOR SHOWING

  6. 2020-06-12
    status Pending 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    GREAT HOUSE, GREAT LOCATION, NEW CARPET, UPGRADES IN THE BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN SINK, NEW FRONT PORCH, SHINY HARDWOOD FLOORS. CHARMING AND ADORABLE RAMBLER SITTING ON THE CORNER OF LAKE CAROLINE DRIVE. READY FOR NEW OWNER. HOME COULD BE A 3 BEDROOM IF YOU WANTED IT TO BE. THANKS FOR SHOWING

  7. 2020-06-12
    soldstatus $170,000
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    GREAT HOUSE, GREAT LOCATION, NEW CARPET, UPGRADES IN THE BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN SINK, NEW FRONT PORCH, SHINY HARDWOOD FLOORS. CHARMING AND ADORABLE RAMBLER SITTING ON THE CORNER OF LAKE CAROLINE DRIVE. READY FOR NEW OWNER. HOME COULD BE A 3 BEDROOM IF YOU WANTED IT TO BE. THANKS FOR SHOWING

  8. 2020-06-12
    historical 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    GREAT HOUSE, GREAT LOCATION, NEW CARPET, UPGRADES IN THE BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN SINK, NEW FRONT PORCH, SHINY HARDWOOD FLOORS. CHARMING AND ADORABLE RAMBLER SITTING ON THE CORNER OF LAKE CAROLINE DRIVE. READY FOR NEW OWNER. HOME COULD BE A 3 BEDROOM IF YOU WANTED IT TO BE. THANKS FOR SHOWING

  9. 2020-06-11
    soldstatus $170,000 Closed 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    GREAT HOUSE, GREAT LOCATION, NEW CARPET, UPGRADES IN THE BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN SINK, NEW FRONT PORCH, SHINY HARDWOOD FLOORS. CHARMING AND ADORABLE RAMBLER SITTING ON THE CORNER OF LAKE CAROLINE DRIVE. READY FOR NEW OWNER. HOME COULD BE A 3 BEDROOM IF YOU WANTED IT TO BE. THANKS FOR SHOWING

  10. 2020-05-24
    status Pending 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    GREAT HOUSE, GREAT LOCATION, NEW CARPET, UPGRADES IN THE BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN SINK, NEW FRONT PORCH, SHINY HARDWOOD FLOORS. CHARMING AND ADORABLE RAMBLER SITTING ON THE CORNER OF LAKE CAROLINE DRIVE. READY FOR NEW OWNER. HOME COULD BE A 3 BEDROOM IF YOU WANTED IT TO BE. THANKS FOR SHOWING

  11. 2020-05-22
    historical Active Under Contract 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    GREAT HOUSE, GREAT LOCATION, NEW CARPET, UPGRADES IN THE BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN SINK, NEW FRONT PORCH, SHINY HARDWOOD FLOORS. CHARMING AND ADORABLE RAMBLER SITTING ON THE CORNER OF LAKE CAROLINE DRIVE. READY FOR NEW OWNER. HOME COULD BE A 3 BEDROOM IF YOU WANTED IT TO BE. THANKS FOR SHOWING

  12. 2020-04-28
    price $180,000 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    GREAT HOUSE, GREAT LOCATION, NEW CARPET, UPGRADES IN THE BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN SINK, NEW FRONT PORCH, SHINY HARDWOOD FLOORS. CHARMING AND ADORABLE RAMBLER SITTING ON THE CORNER OF LAKE CAROLINE DRIVE. READY FOR NEW OWNER. HOME COULD BE A 3 BEDROOM IF YOU WANTED IT TO BE. THANKS FOR SHOWING

  13. 2020-03-09
    price $200,000 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    GREAT HOUSE, GREAT LOCATION, NEW CARPET, UPGRADES IN THE BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN SINK, NEW FRONT PORCH, SHINY HARDWOOD FLOORS. CHARMING AND ADORABLE RAMBLER SITTING ON THE CORNER OF LAKE CAROLINE DRIVE. READY FOR NEW OWNER. HOME COULD BE A 3 BEDROOM IF YOU WANTED IT TO BE. THANKS FOR SHOWING

  14. 2019-12-30
    price $210,000 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    GREAT HOUSE, GREAT LOCATION, NEW CARPET, UPGRADES IN THE BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN SINK, NEW FRONT PORCH, SHINY HARDWOOD FLOORS. CHARMING AND ADORABLE RAMBLER SITTING ON THE CORNER OF LAKE CAROLINE DRIVE. READY FOR NEW OWNER. HOME COULD BE A 3 BEDROOM IF YOU WANTED IT TO BE. THANKS FOR SHOWING

  15. 2019-12-12
    listed $225,000 Active 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    GREAT HOUSE, GREAT LOCATION, NEW CARPET, UPGRADES IN THE BATHROOM, NEW KITCHEN SINK, NEW FRONT PORCH, SHINY HARDWOOD FLOORS. CHARMING AND ADORABLE RAMBLER SITTING ON THE CORNER OF LAKE CAROLINE DRIVE. READY FOR NEW OWNER. HOME COULD BE A 3 BEDROOM IF YOU WANTED IT TO BE. THANKS FOR SHOWING

  16. 2006-03-13
    historical
  17. 2006-02-09
    listed
  18. 1990-03-01
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,390 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,107 · $176/mo
Expected delta
+$718/yr (+$60/mo · 51.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,665
− Mortgage interest
−$14,396
− Property taxes
−$1,390
− Insurance
−$1,285
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,133
− Management
−$2,133
− HOA
−$1,044
− Depreciation
−$7,476
Taxable loss
−$3,192
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$766
After-tax cash flow
$1,940/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caroline County Public School District
NCES district ID
5100660
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$58,075
Composite
43.88/100
National rank
#2920
State rank
#95 of 131 in VA

Livability — Lake Caroline

Score
58/100
State rank
#476
US rank
#20626

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Caroline, VA
County
Caroline County · 18,392 people
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
18,392
Household income
$89,247
Rent vs Own
14.2% rent · 85.8% own
Severe rent burden
192.0

Population outlook (Caroline County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,136 people
By 2030
32,973 · +2.6%
By 2040
34,255 · +6.6%
By 2050
34,843 · +8.4%
By 2075
35,134 · +9.3%
By 2100
32,184 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Caroline

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.8) · D 45.1% · R 53.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: -8.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.8 2020: R+4.2 2016: R+5.1 2012: D+8.2 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.95%
Current HPI
362.5582
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2470.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $257,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $264,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $273,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-06-12 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-06-12 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2020-06-12 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-06-11 Sold (MLS) $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-05-24 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-05-22 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-04-28 Price Changed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-09 Price Changed $200,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-12-30 Price Changed $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-12-12 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-03-13 Delisted MRIS
  • 2006-02-09 Listed MRIS
  • 1990-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,390 · +15.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…