1414 S Platinum St · Deming, NM
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1962
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#73 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: commute C-, amenities D+, schools F.
- Deming Public Schools (town): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #63 of 95 in NM (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 375 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7 units permitted in Luna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luna County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.22%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-4,291
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $26,064
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88030
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Active inventory
- 375
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,136/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $366
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $462 | -5% $414 | +0% $366 | +5% $318 | +10% $269 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $223 | -5% $295 | +0% $366 | +5% $437 | +10% $508 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $451 | -0.5pp $409 | base $366 | +0.5pp $322 | +1.0pp $277 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2108 S Shelly Dr Deming, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1817 | $1,800 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2025-10-27$169,900 Active
-
2025-05-19price $169,900
-
2025-02-11price $174,900
-
2024-09-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,136 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,359 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$224/yr (+$19/mo · 19.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,136
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $1,699
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$408
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,979/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Deming Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500690
- Math proficiency
- 18% —
- Reading proficiency
- 27% —
- Median HH income
- $28,092
- Composite
- 21.02/100
- National rank
- #13708
- State rank
- #63 of 95 in NM
Livability — Deming
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #73
- US rank
- #15165
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Deming, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,270
Population outlook (Luna County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,859 people
- By 2030
- 22,105 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 20,738 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 19,336 · -15.4%
- By 2075
- 15,439 · -32.5%
- By 2100
- 9,313 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 66% Two or more races 32% White 30% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 63%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 49% English-only · Spanish 50%
Political lean MEDSL · Luna
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.4% · R 58.3% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.2pp toward R · 2008: 5.3pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+3.9 2012: R+1.1 2008: D+5.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.37%
- Current HPI
- 114.8626
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-2.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — NMMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $169,900 NMMLS
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $169,900 NMMLS
- 2025-02-11 Price Changed $174,900 NMMLS
- 2024-09-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,136 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…