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10 E Evans St Duplex
C Composite 58.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$199,000

10 E Evans St · Mayville, NY 14757
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,128 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1900 10,600 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Welcome to 10 East Evans Street in the village of Mayville, New York!!! This very well maintained 2 family property is perfectly located, within walking distance to Chautauqua Lake, shopping, a grocery store, village restaurants, the library and various churches. It has 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath in each unit. Each apartment has a front door with apartment one having a rear second doorway to its own back deck, while apartment two has a side second door to its own smaller covered deck. Apartment one has a welcoming entry in the living and dining room area with hardwood floors that flows into the kitchen with laminate flooring, cabinets, refrigerator and stove. A stairway off the living room

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Laminate flooring
  • Front door

Tags

FRONT DOORBACK DECKCOVERED DECKHARDWOOD FLOORSLAMINATE FLOORINGCLAW FOOT TUB

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two separate gas meters; Two separate electric meters; Two total units
  • Financial info: Owner pays water; water is included in rent; Operating expense details: see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric service
  • Home design: Two stories; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Existing (previously built)
  • Exterior features: Covered and open porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Formal dining room (per unit)
  • Bedrooms: Two 2‑bedroom units
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Varied flooring throughout
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced‑air heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (in at least one unit); Laundry in unit (one unit)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $114/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (0.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#259 in NY, #4,087 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Chautauqua Lake Central School District (rural): math 65% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #218 of 590 in NY (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $196,015 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.90%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$34,948
Equity at exit
$85,741
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$108,576
Equity at exit
$129,301

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14757

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
16.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,977 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$208 /mo · $2,495/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,689
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $340 -5% $284 +0% $227 +5% $171 +10% $115
Rent -10% $71 -5% $149 +0% $227 +5% $306 +10% $384
Rate -1.0pp $328 -0.5pp $278 base $227 +0.5pp $176 +1.0pp $123

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,977

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-26
    listed $199,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,495 · $208/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,929 · $244/mo
Expected delta
+$434/yr (+$36/mo · 17.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,724
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$2,495
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,898
− Management
−$1,898
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$498
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$120
After-tax cash flow
$2,849/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chautauqua Lake Central School District
NCES district ID
3600018
Math proficiency
65% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$50,728
Composite
52.84/100
National rank
#1535
State rank
#218 of 590 in NY

Livability — Mayville

Score
75/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#4087

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mayville, NY
City population
292
Population (ZIP)
3,112

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.66%
Current HPI
318.9521
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $199,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,495 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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