32 Lawrence St · Watervliet, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +1.3/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BOM because buyer wasn't able to obtain their mtg.Welcome home to this fully renovated 5 bdrm, 2 full bathroom home with a large private yard in N Colonie Schools! The 1st floor features refinished wood flooring, a laundry room, a huge brand new kitchen with quartz counters, tile backsplash, soft close cabinets, new SS appliances & an island. New flooring in the kitchen, baths and den, new carpet upstairs, new lighting throughout, 1st flr bdrm w/4 additionall bdrms upstairs. Fully renovated baths with gorgeous tiled shower upstairs, a new roof, updated electrical, 2yr old boiler and hot water tank, 3 enclosed porches, garage w/shop area & car port & so much more! Nothing to do here but move right in!
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Laundry area
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage (1-car); Total parking for 8 vehicles; Detached carport and driveway parking; Outdoor storage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electrical service; Cable availability
- Home design: Single-family residence; Updated/remodeled; Brick/mortar foundation; Aluminum siding; Level, cleared lot (approximately 0.28 acre)
- Construction: Shingle/asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear enclosed porch; Patio/porch lighting; Paved driveway; Partial privacy fencing; Storage structures and garage(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the first floor; Four bedrooms on the second floor
- Flooring: Tile; Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the first floor, one on the second floor)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with radiant system; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Built-in features; Crown molding; 14 total rooms; Full, unfinished basement with exterior entry
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $97k (70.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (65.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $97k (70.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 1.5% vs local median 5.9% in Watervliet — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#51 in NY, #786 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+.
- North Colonie CSD (suburban): math 70% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #102 of 590 in NY (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Latham Ridge School (math 65% / reading 67%, grade B+, #580 of 2,108 statewide, top 28%, 455 students, 23% FRL); Shaker High School (math 98% / reading 93%, grade A+, #76 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 2,018 students, 25% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 70% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.35% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- -17.10%
- DSCR
- 0.24
- GRM
- 23.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $334,400
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Lawrence St | 0.00mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,200 (0%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $152 | 94 |
| 24 Craig St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,906 (-13%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $176 | 67 |
| 52 Boght Rd | 0.49mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,200 (0%) | 5mo | $360,000 | $164 | 66 |
| 44 Paine St | 0.55mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,948 (-12%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $141 | 49 |
| 58 Hudson Ave | 0.64mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,300 (+4%) | 12mo | $280,000 | $122 | 45 |
| 2335 4th Ave | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,484 (+13%) | 18mo | $180,000 | $72 | 39 |
| 43 Charterpoint Rd | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 | 2,384 (+8%) | 21mo | $700,000 | $294 | 35 |
| 80 Arch St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,500 (+14%) | 23mo | $355,000 | $142 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -46.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.44×
- Total profit
- $-133,034
- Equity at exit
- $49,204
- IRR
- -66.6%
- Equity multiple
- -1.22×
- Total profit
- $-204,778
- Equity at exit
- $28,532
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12189
- Home prices YoY
- -28.7%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 23.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$357 /mo · $4,287/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $-1,317
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,130 | -5% $-1,223 | +0% $-1,317 | +5% $-1,410 | +10% $-1,504 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,408 | -5% $-1,362 | +0% $-1,317 | +5% $-1,271 | +10% $-1,226 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,151 | -0.5pp $-1,233 | base $-1,317 | +0.5pp $-1,402 | +1.0pp $-1,489 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 State St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1810 | $3,635 | $2.01 | 15d | 7 | 1.04mi |
| 195 9th St Troy, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $750 | $0.50 | 20d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 164 9th St Unit 1 Troy, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 136 9th St Unit 3 Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $595 | $0.40 | 20d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 136 9th St Unit 1 Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $595 | $0.40 | 20d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 136 9th St Unit 2 Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $600 | $0.40 | 20d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 150 2nd St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2442 | $3,000 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 169 Hutton St Unit 1 Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $595 | $0.40 | 20d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 904 Peoples Ave Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $645 | $0.36 | 20d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1520 6th Ave Troy, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1209 | $1,349 | $1.12 | 24d | 8 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-03-25price $329,999
-
2026-03-13price $339,999
-
2026-02-20$350,000 Active
-
2024-12-12soldstatus $300,000
-
2024-11-26soldstatus $300,000 Closed 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
BOM because buyer wasn't able to obtain their mtg.Welcome home to this fully renovated 5 bdrm, 2 full bathroom home with a large private yard in N Colonie Schools! The 1st floor features refinished wood flooring, a laundry room, a huge brand new kitchen with quartz counters, tile backsplash, soft close cabinets, new SS appliances & an island. New flooring in the kitchen, baths and den, new carpet upstairs, new lighting throughout, 1st flr bdrm w/4 additionall bdrms upstairs. Fully renovated baths with gorgeous tiled shower upstairs, a new roof, updated electrical, 2yr old boiler and hot water tank, 3 enclosed porches, garage w/shop area & car port & so much more! Nothing to do here but move right in!
-
2024-11-08status Pending 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
BOM because buyer wasn't able to obtain their mtg.Welcome home to this fully renovated 5 bdrm, 2 full bathroom home with a large private yard in N Colonie Schools! The 1st floor features refinished wood flooring, a laundry room, a huge brand new kitchen with quartz counters, tile backsplash, soft close cabinets, new SS appliances & an island. New flooring in the kitchen, baths and den, new carpet upstairs, new lighting throughout, 1st flr bdrm w/4 additionall bdrms upstairs. Fully renovated baths with gorgeous tiled shower upstairs, a new roof, updated electrical, 2yr old boiler and hot water tank, 3 enclosed porches, garage w/shop area & car port & so much more! Nothing to do here but move right in!
-
2024-10-03historical Contingent 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
BOM because buyer wasn't able to obtain their mtg.Welcome home to this fully renovated 5 bdrm, 2 full bathroom home with a large private yard in N Colonie Schools! The 1st floor features refinished wood flooring, a laundry room, a huge brand new kitchen with quartz counters, tile backsplash, soft close cabinets, new SS appliances & an island. New flooring in the kitchen, baths and den, new carpet upstairs, new lighting throughout, 1st flr bdrm w/4 additionall bdrms upstairs. Fully renovated baths with gorgeous tiled shower upstairs, a new roof, updated electrical, 2yr old boiler and hot water tank, 3 enclosed porches, garage w/shop area & car port & so much more! Nothing to do here but move right in!
-
2024-09-23status Active 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
BOM because buyer wasn't able to obtain their mtg.Welcome home to this fully renovated 5 bdrm, 2 full bathroom home with a large private yard in N Colonie Schools! The 1st floor features refinished wood flooring, a laundry room, a huge brand new kitchen with quartz counters, tile backsplash, soft close cabinets, new SS appliances & an island. New flooring in the kitchen, baths and den, new carpet upstairs, new lighting throughout, 1st flr bdrm w/4 additionall bdrms upstairs. Fully renovated baths with gorgeous tiled shower upstairs, a new roof, updated electrical, 2yr old boiler and hot water tank, 3 enclosed porches, garage w/shop area & car port & so much more! Nothing to do here but move right in!
-
2024-07-23status Pending 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
BOM because buyer wasn't able to obtain their mtg.Welcome home to this fully renovated 5 bdrm, 2 full bathroom home with a large private yard in N Colonie Schools! The 1st floor features refinished wood flooring, a laundry room, a huge brand new kitchen with quartz counters, tile backsplash, soft close cabinets, new SS appliances & an island. New flooring in the kitchen, baths and den, new carpet upstairs, new lighting throughout, 1st flr bdrm w/4 additionall bdrms upstairs. Fully renovated baths with gorgeous tiled shower upstairs, a new roof, updated electrical, 2yr old boiler and hot water tank, 3 enclosed porches, garage w/shop area & car port & so much more! Nothing to do here but move right in!
-
2024-07-19$289,900 Active 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
BOM because buyer wasn't able to obtain their mtg.Welcome home to this fully renovated 5 bdrm, 2 full bathroom home with a large private yard in N Colonie Schools! The 1st floor features refinished wood flooring, a laundry room, a huge brand new kitchen with quartz counters, tile backsplash, soft close cabinets, new SS appliances & an island. New flooring in the kitchen, baths and den, new carpet upstairs, new lighting throughout, 1st flr bdrm w/4 additionall bdrms upstairs. Fully renovated baths with gorgeous tiled shower upstairs, a new roof, updated electrical, 2yr old boiler and hot water tank, 3 enclosed porches, garage w/shop area & car port & so much more! Nothing to do here but move right in!
-
2024-01-11soldstatus $120,000
-
2023-11-30historical
-
2023-11-22$139,900 Active
-
2023-11-22soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,287 · $357/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,932 · $411/mo
- Expected delta
- +$645/yr (+$54/mo · 15.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,799
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$4,287
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$22,431
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,383
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,419/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Colonie CSD
- NCES district ID
- 3621000
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,762
- Composite
- 64.2/100
- National rank
- #565
- State rank
- #102 of 590 in NY
Livability — Watervliet
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #786
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Albany County · 196,626 people
- City population
- 18,656
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,656
- Household income
- $65,276
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1224.0
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Two or more races 8% Asian 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.16%
- Current HPI
- 273.8109
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.61%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+135.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $329,999 Global MLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $339,999 Global MLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $350,000 Global MLS
- 2024-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-26 Sold (MLS) $300,000 Global MLS
- 2024-11-08 Pending — Global MLS
- 2024-10-03 Contingent — Global MLS
- 2024-09-23 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2024-07-23 Pending — Global MLS
- 2024-07-19 Listed $289,900 Global MLS
- 2024-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2023-11-30 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2023-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2023-11-22 Listed $139,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+13.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,287 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…