🏷️ Likely Rental
14 Locust St · Erlanger, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$207,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Introducing an exceptional investment opportunity in the desirable Erlanger, Kentucky neighborhood. This well-maintained duplex offers immediate income potential with two units generating a combined monthly rent of $1,840. Whether you're a seasoned investor looking to expand your portfolio or a homeowner interested in offsetting your mortgage with rental income, this property delivers both stability and upside. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways, this property appeals to tenants seeking comfort and accessibility. Don't miss your chance to own a turnkey income-producing asset in a strong rental market. Prime Location: Situated at 14 Locust St., this duplex enjoys a highly sought-after address in the heart of Erlanger. Conveniently located near I75/71 and I-275, shopping centers, dining establishments, and entertainment options, it ensures a convenient and vibrant lifestyle for residents. The property comprises of two separate units, each offering its own private entrance. Each unit features a well-designed layout with a private deck/porch. Unit 1 is a 2/1 renting for $1050, unit 2 is a 1/1 renting at $790. Don't miss the opportunity to own this cash flowing property today! Offstreet parking and central air! Owner pays water, gas and sanitation. Disclaimer: The annual return is subject to change and should be independently verified by potential buyers. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information
Key facts
- Private deck
- Private entrance
- Prime location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $208k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $670 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $335/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $208k).
- Recommended offer: $201k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.8% in Erlanger — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#126 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Erlanger-Elsmere Independent (suburban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #128 of 165 in KY (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,615/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 678% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $58k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($201k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $208k implies a 493% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.84%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $274,952
- List price
- $207,500
- Delta
- -24.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $12,312
- Equity at exit
- $30,939
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $79,398
- Equity at exit
- $17,941
Cash invested: $58,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41018
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,615 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,088
- Tax from tax record
- −$221 /mo · $2,655/yr
- Insurance
- −$86
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$549
- Net cashflow
- $670
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,614 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,307 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,307 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,615 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,875
- Closing costs
- $6,225
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3422 Cintonya Dr Erlanger, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,359 | $2.17 | 1d | 8 | 0.72mi |
| 868 Virginiabradford Ct Elsmere, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 974 | $3,500 | $3.59 | 1d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 535 Greenfield Ln Erlanger, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,300 | $1.72 | 1d | 5 | 0.77mi |
| 3235 N Talbot Ave Unit 3235-2 Erlanger, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1032 | $1,675 | $1.62 | 16d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3231 N Talbot Ave Unit 3231-5 Erlanger, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 883 | $1,475 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3904 Lori Dr Erlanger, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 722 | $1,335 | $1.85 | 1d | 12 | 0.84mi |
| 3223 N Talbot Ave Unit 3223-7 Erlanger, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 883 | $1,475 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 580 Erlanger Rd Unit 580-5 Erlanger, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 883 | $1,475 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3219 N Talbot Ave Unit 3219-4 Erlanger, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 883 | $1,475 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3234 N Talbot Ave Unit 3234-5 Erlanger, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 883 | $1,475 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 159 Green River Dr Erlanger, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,595 | $1.25 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7222 Isaac Ln Florence, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,795 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3610 Concord Dr Erlanger, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,700 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 9 Eagle Dr Elsmere, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,328 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 109 Dove Dr Elsmere, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,328 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 129 Dove Dr Elsmere, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,070 | $1.36 | 19d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 104 Dove Dr Elsmere, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,295 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 64 Eagle Dr Elsmere, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,328 | $1.38 | 7d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $207,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $207,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $207,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $207,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $212,999 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $212,999 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $212,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $212,999 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $212,999 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $212,999 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $212,999 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $212,999 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $212,999 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $212,999 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Pending 1467-char remark
Show marketing remark (1467 chars)
Introducing an exceptional investment opportunity in the desirable Erlanger, Kentucky neighborhood. This well-maintained duplex offers immediate income potential with two units generating a combined monthly rent of $1,840. Whether you're a seasoned investor looking to expand your portfolio or a homeowner interested in offsetting your mortgage with rental income, this property delivers both stability and upside. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways, this property appeals to tenants seeking comfort and accessibility. Don't miss your chance to own a turnkey income-producing asset in a strong rental market. Prime Location: Situated at 14 Locust St., this duplex enjoys a highly sought-after address in the heart of Erlanger. Conveniently located near I75/71 and I-275, shopping centers, dining establishments, and entertainment options, it ensures a convenient and vibrant lifestyle for residents. The property comprises of two separate units, each offering its own private entrance. Each unit features a well-designed layout with a private deck/porch. Unit 1 is a 2/1 renting for $1050, unit 2 is a 1/1 renting at $790. Don't miss the opportunity to own this cash flowing property today! Offstreet parking and central air! Owner pays water, gas and sanitation. Disclaimer: The annual return is subject to change and should be independently verified by potential buyers. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information
-
2026-04-29price $212,999 1467-char remark
Show marketing remark (1467 chars)
Introducing an exceptional investment opportunity in the desirable Erlanger, Kentucky neighborhood. This well-maintained duplex offers immediate income potential with two units generating a combined monthly rent of $1,840. Whether you're a seasoned investor looking to expand your portfolio or a homeowner interested in offsetting your mortgage with rental income, this property delivers both stability and upside. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways, this property appeals to tenants seeking comfort and accessibility. Don't miss your chance to own a turnkey income-producing asset in a strong rental market. Prime Location: Situated at 14 Locust St., this duplex enjoys a highly sought-after address in the heart of Erlanger. Conveniently located near I75/71 and I-275, shopping centers, dining establishments, and entertainment options, it ensures a convenient and vibrant lifestyle for residents. The property comprises of two separate units, each offering its own private entrance. Each unit features a well-designed layout with a private deck/porch. Unit 1 is a 2/1 renting for $1050, unit 2 is a 1/1 renting at $790. Don't miss the opportunity to own this cash flowing property today! Offstreet parking and central air! Owner pays water, gas and sanitation. Disclaimer: The annual return is subject to change and should be independently verified by potential buyers. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information
-
2026-04-21price $222,999 1467-char remark
Show marketing remark (1467 chars)
Introducing an exceptional investment opportunity in the desirable Erlanger, Kentucky neighborhood. This well-maintained duplex offers immediate income potential with two units generating a combined monthly rent of $1,840. Whether you're a seasoned investor looking to expand your portfolio or a homeowner interested in offsetting your mortgage with rental income, this property delivers both stability and upside. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways, this property appeals to tenants seeking comfort and accessibility. Don't miss your chance to own a turnkey income-producing asset in a strong rental market. Prime Location: Situated at 14 Locust St., this duplex enjoys a highly sought-after address in the heart of Erlanger. Conveniently located near I75/71 and I-275, shopping centers, dining establishments, and entertainment options, it ensures a convenient and vibrant lifestyle for residents. The property comprises of two separate units, each offering its own private entrance. Each unit features a well-designed layout with a private deck/porch. Unit 1 is a 2/1 renting for $1050, unit 2 is a 1/1 renting at $790. Don't miss the opportunity to own this cash flowing property today! Offstreet parking and central air! Owner pays water, gas and sanitation. Disclaimer: The annual return is subject to change and should be independently verified by potential buyers. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information
-
2026-04-01$232,500 Active 1467-char remark
Show marketing remark (1467 chars)
Introducing an exceptional investment opportunity in the desirable Erlanger, Kentucky neighborhood. This well-maintained duplex offers immediate income potential with two units generating a combined monthly rent of $1,840. Whether you're a seasoned investor looking to expand your portfolio or a homeowner interested in offsetting your mortgage with rental income, this property delivers both stability and upside. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways, this property appeals to tenants seeking comfort and accessibility. Don't miss your chance to own a turnkey income-producing asset in a strong rental market. Prime Location: Situated at 14 Locust St., this duplex enjoys a highly sought-after address in the heart of Erlanger. Conveniently located near I75/71 and I-275, shopping centers, dining establishments, and entertainment options, it ensures a convenient and vibrant lifestyle for residents. The property comprises of two separate units, each offering its own private entrance. Each unit features a well-designed layout with a private deck/porch. Unit 1 is a 2/1 renting for $1050, unit 2 is a 1/1 renting at $790. Don't miss the opportunity to own this cash flowing property today! Offstreet parking and central air! Owner pays water, gas and sanitation. Disclaimer: The annual return is subject to change and should be independently verified by potential buyers. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information
-
2023-07-29status Pending
-
2023-07-29historical
-
2023-07-19status Active
-
2023-07-10status Pending
-
2023-07-06$179,000 Active
-
2016-06-04historical
-
2016-06-04historical
-
2015-12-17$85,000
-
2015-12-17$85,000
-
2015-12-16historical
-
2015-09-30historical
-
2015-08-28$89,900
-
2015-08-28$89,900
-
1991-11-13soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,655 · $221/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,655 · $221/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,623
- − Property taxes
- −$2,655
- − Insurance
- −$1,038
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,510
- − Management
- −$2,510
- − Depreciation
- −$6,036
- Taxable income
- $5,007
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,202
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Erlanger-Elsmere Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101740
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,377
- Composite
- 23.01/100
- National rank
- #7975
- State rank
- #128 of 165 in KY
Livability — Erlanger
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #5933
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Erlanger, KY
- County
- Kenton County · 142,881 people
- City population
- 28,940
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,940
- Household income
- $68,605
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 678.0
Population outlook (Kenton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,205 people
- By 2030
- 177,897 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 182,671 · +4.9%
- By 2050
- 183,543 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 178,977 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 159,920 · -8.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Kenton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.7) · D 38.2% · R 59.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -21.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.7 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.57%
- Current HPI
- 215.9599
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.22%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+508.6% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — NKMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $212,999 NKMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $222,999 NKMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $232,500 NKMLS
- 2023-07-29 Pending — NKMLS
- 2023-07-29 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2023-07-19 Relisted — NKMLS
- 2023-07-10 Pending — NKMLS
- 2023-07-06 Listed $179,000 NKMLS
- 2016-06-04 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2016-06-04 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2015-12-17 Listed $85,000 NKMLS
- 2015-12-17 Listed $85,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2015-12-16 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2015-09-30 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2015-08-28 Listed $89,900 NKMLS
- 2015-08-28 Listed $89,900 Metro Search MLS
- 1991-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,655 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…