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209 Urban Rd
C Composite 59.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$198,900

209 Urban Rd · Lackawaxen, PA 18428
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 72 Days on market
Built 1961 1.40 ac lot $244/sqft · at area comps Est $263k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled on a peaceful country road in Hawley, Pennsylvania, this charming property at 209 Urban Rd. offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience. Enjoy a completely remodeled 2-3-bedroom home with all of the animals as neighbors. Surrounded by natural beauty, this home provides a quiet retreat while remaining just minutes from downtown Hawley's shops, dining, Woodloch Springs & Pines and Lake Wallenpaupack. Inside, you'll find a warm and inviting layout with comfortable living spaces, all updated and designed for the PERFECT getaway OR weekend escapes. The property sits on a scenic 1.4 acre lot with plenty of room to relax, entertain, and enjoy the outdoors-ideal for morning coffee on the porch or evenings under the stars. Whether you're searching for a vacation getaway, or an investment opportunity, this home delivers peaceful surroundings with easy access to outdoor recreation, hiking, boating, and all that the Pocono region has to offer. Plenty of room to bring the vacation & lake toys and store them in your detached 2 car garage!Don't miss your chance to own a slice of serenity on the outskirts of Hawley yet so close to everything you love about the area!

Key facts

  • Scenic lot
  • Remodeled home
  • Detached garage

Tags

REMODELED HOMESCENIC LOTDETACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($785/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (15.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 13160% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $199k implies a 232% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $168,669 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.41%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$263,289
List price
$198,900
Delta
-24.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Urban Rd 0.00mi 2/1.0 (+1) 816 (0%) 19mo $59,900 $73 79
138 Winfield Rd 0.51mi 2/1.0 (+1) 824 (+1%) 22mo $236,500 $287 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$112,452
Equity at exit
$179,185
10-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
6.89×
Total profit
$327,796
Equity at exit
$386,419

Cash invested: $55,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18428

Home prices YoY
9.2%
Active inventory
371
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,687 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,043
Tax from tax record
$141 /mo · $1,694/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,604
Max offer price $198,900
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,725
Closing costs
$5,967
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    listed $1,500
  2. 2026-04-28
    price $198,900 1196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1196 chars)

    Nestled on a peaceful country road in Hawley, Pennsylvania, this charming property at 209 Urban Rd. offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience. Enjoy a completely remodeled 2-3-bedroom home with all of the animals as neighbors. Surrounded by natural beauty, this home provides a quiet retreat while remaining just minutes from downtown Hawley's shops, dining, Woodloch Springs & Pines and Lake Wallenpaupack. Inside, you'll find a warm and inviting layout with comfortable living spaces, all updated and designed for the PERFECT getaway OR weekend escapes. The property sits on a scenic 1.4 acre lot with plenty of room to relax, entertain, and enjoy the outdoors-ideal for morning coffee on the porch or evenings under the stars. Whether you're searching for a vacation getaway, or an investment opportunity, this home delivers peaceful surroundings with easy access to outdoor recreation, hiking, boating, and all that the Pocono region has to offer. Plenty of room to bring the vacation & lake toys and store them in your detached 2 car garage!Don't miss your chance to own a slice of serenity on the outskirts of Hawley yet so close to everything you love about the area!

  3. 2026-04-07
    status Active 1196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1196 chars)

    Nestled on a peaceful country road in Hawley, Pennsylvania, this charming property at 209 Urban Rd. offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience. Enjoy a completely remodeled 2-3-bedroom home with all of the animals as neighbors. Surrounded by natural beauty, this home provides a quiet retreat while remaining just minutes from downtown Hawley's shops, dining, Woodloch Springs & Pines and Lake Wallenpaupack. Inside, you'll find a warm and inviting layout with comfortable living spaces, all updated and designed for the PERFECT getaway OR weekend escapes. The property sits on a scenic 1.4 acre lot with plenty of room to relax, entertain, and enjoy the outdoors-ideal for morning coffee on the porch or evenings under the stars. Whether you're searching for a vacation getaway, or an investment opportunity, this home delivers peaceful surroundings with easy access to outdoor recreation, hiking, boating, and all that the Pocono region has to offer. Plenty of room to bring the vacation & lake toys and store them in your detached 2 car garage!Don't miss your chance to own a slice of serenity on the outskirts of Hawley yet so close to everything you love about the area!

  4. 2026-03-26
    status Pending 1196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1196 chars)

    Nestled on a peaceful country road in Hawley, Pennsylvania, this charming property at 209 Urban Rd. offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience. Enjoy a completely remodeled 2-3-bedroom home with all of the animals as neighbors. Surrounded by natural beauty, this home provides a quiet retreat while remaining just minutes from downtown Hawley's shops, dining, Woodloch Springs & Pines and Lake Wallenpaupack. Inside, you'll find a warm and inviting layout with comfortable living spaces, all updated and designed for the PERFECT getaway OR weekend escapes. The property sits on a scenic 1.4 acre lot with plenty of room to relax, entertain, and enjoy the outdoors-ideal for morning coffee on the porch or evenings under the stars. Whether you're searching for a vacation getaway, or an investment opportunity, this home delivers peaceful surroundings with easy access to outdoor recreation, hiking, boating, and all that the Pocono region has to offer. Plenty of room to bring the vacation & lake toys and store them in your detached 2 car garage!Don't miss your chance to own a slice of serenity on the outskirts of Hawley yet so close to everything you love about the area!

  5. 2026-02-27
    listed $199,900 Active 1196-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1196 chars)

    Nestled on a peaceful country road in Hawley, Pennsylvania, this charming property at 209 Urban Rd. offers the perfect blend of privacy and convenience. Enjoy a completely remodeled 2-3-bedroom home with all of the animals as neighbors. Surrounded by natural beauty, this home provides a quiet retreat while remaining just minutes from downtown Hawley's shops, dining, Woodloch Springs & Pines and Lake Wallenpaupack. Inside, you'll find a warm and inviting layout with comfortable living spaces, all updated and designed for the PERFECT getaway OR weekend escapes. The property sits on a scenic 1.4 acre lot with plenty of room to relax, entertain, and enjoy the outdoors-ideal for morning coffee on the porch or evenings under the stars. Whether you're searching for a vacation getaway, or an investment opportunity, this home delivers peaceful surroundings with easy access to outdoor recreation, hiking, boating, and all that the Pocono region has to offer. Plenty of room to bring the vacation & lake toys and store them in your detached 2 car garage!Don't miss your chance to own a slice of serenity on the outskirts of Hawley yet so close to everything you love about the area!

  6. 2024-11-15
    soldstatus $59,900 Closed 365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    OPPORTUNITY KNOCKS!!! ATTENTION: CONTRACTORS / HANDYPERSON / INVESTORS!! Cottage / Cabin Type home with 2 car garage set on 2.52 acres (2 lots) on a quiet township road in Lackawaxen Township. Home currently not habitable and NEEDS WORK as well as the garage. To be sold in AS IS CONDITION with all items and stuff to remain in and on the property. CASH SALE Only!

  7. 2024-10-31
    status Pending 365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    OPPORTUNITY KNOCKS!!! ATTENTION: CONTRACTORS / HANDYPERSON / INVESTORS!! Cottage / Cabin Type home with 2 car garage set on 2.52 acres (2 lots) on a quiet township road in Lackawaxen Township. Home currently not habitable and NEEDS WORK as well as the garage. To be sold in AS IS CONDITION with all items and stuff to remain in and on the property. CASH SALE Only!

  8. 2024-10-29
    listed $59,900 Active 365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    OPPORTUNITY KNOCKS!!! ATTENTION: CONTRACTORS / HANDYPERSON / INVESTORS!! Cottage / Cabin Type home with 2 car garage set on 2.52 acres (2 lots) on a quiet township road in Lackawaxen Township. Home currently not habitable and NEEDS WORK as well as the garage. To be sold in AS IS CONDITION with all items and stuff to remain in and on the property. CASH SALE Only!

  9. 2007-05-11
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,694 · $141/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,418 · $202/mo
Expected delta
+$724/yr (+$60/mo · 42.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,240
− Mortgage interest
−$11,141
− Property taxes
−$1,694
− Insurance
−$994
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,619
− Management
−$1,619
− Depreciation
−$5,786
Taxable loss
−$2,614
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$627
After-tax cash flow
$1,412/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wallenpaupack Area SD
NCES district ID
4224750
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,027
Composite
41.97/100
National rank
#3345
State rank
#192 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lackawaxen

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,446

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 28.60%
Current HPI
340.8254
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Listed for Rent $1,500 PWMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $198,900 PWMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted PWMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Pending PWMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $199,900 PWMLS
  • 2024-11-15 Sold (MLS) $59,900 PWMLS
  • 2024-10-31 Pending PWMLS
  • 2024-10-29 Listed $59,900 PWMLS
  • 2007-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,694 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…