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515 Tallowood Rd #15
D Composite 42.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Cash flow +3.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$225,000

515 Tallowood Rd #15 · Houston, TX 77024
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,286 sqft · Condo public records · 75 Days on market
Built 1970 $175/sqft · 8% below area Est $244k · 8% under $706/mo HOA · 30% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully renovated 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome in desirable Memorial West with ALL BILLS PAID—including electricity, water, sewer, trash, landscaping, and exterior insurance! This move-in ready home features a stunning updated kitchen and bathrooms with modern finishes, brand-new appliances, and stylish lighting that elevates the space. New top-down/bottom-up blinds in the living room and bedrooms offer both comfort and privacy. Enjoy a low-maintenance, lock-and-leave lifestyle with more time to relax and entertain. Located in a quiet, sought-after community with no flooding, just minutes from Memorial City Mall, CityCentre, and popular dining and shopping. Zoned to highly acclaimed SBISD schools: Frostwood Elementary, Memorial Middle, and Memorial High School.

Key facts

  • $706 HOA
  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-637 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (44.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (44.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Spring Branch ISD (urban): math 47% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #215 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Frostwood El (math 84% / reading 73%, grade A, #48 of 4,322 statewide, top 1%, 798 students, 12% FRL); Memorial Middle (math 81% / reading 70%, grade A, #33 of 1,662 statewide, top 2%, 1,281 students, 12% FRL); Memorial H S (math 73% / reading 85%, grade A-, #50 of 1,632 statewide, top 3%, 2,555 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools average 13% FRL vs 54% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 78% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+31 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Spring Branch ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 313 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; HOA is 30% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,537 (44.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  7. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  8. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  9. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  10. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  11. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  12. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  13. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  14. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
2.89%
Cash-on-cash
-12.14%
DSCR
0.46
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$244,303
List price
$225,000
Delta
-7.90%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

6.92% appreciation · 4.96% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$42,245
Equity at exit
$154,756
10-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$165,145
Equity at exit
$292,918

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77024

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
313
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,361 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$523 /mo · $6,277/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$706
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$496
Net cashflow
$-637

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,168
Max offer price $125,537
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-510 -5% $-574 +0% $-637 +5% $-701 +10% $-765
Rent -10% $-824 -5% $-731 +0% $-637 +5% $-544 +10% $-451
Rate -1.0pp $-524 -0.5pp $-580 base $-637 +0.5pp $-696 +1.0pp $-755

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
515 Tallowood Rd Houston, TX 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1362 $2,000 $1.47 7d 2 0.09mi
701 Attingham Dr Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1204 $2,389 $1.98 13d 1 0.30mi
801 Town & Country Ln Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1123 $2,512 $2.24 0d 14 0.59mi
12905 Boheme Dr Unit AOTB2 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1224 $1,889 $1.54 26d 1 0.60mi
10401 Town & Country Way Unit 2187 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1511 $3,368 $2.23 0d 1 0.62mi
150 W Sam Houston Pkwy N Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1064 $3,375 $3.17 1d 28 0.63mi
10409 Town & Country Way Unit 1355 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 882 $1,192 $1.35 45d 1 0.64mi
10409 Town & Country Way Unit 11402 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1390 $1,819 $1.31 45d 1 0.64mi
10409 Town & Country Way Unit 1-225 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 939 $1,339 $1.43 45d 1 0.64mi
10401 Town & Country Way Unit 10424 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1511 $3,408 $2.26 12d 1 0.64mi
10401 Town & Country Way Apt 424 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1511 $3,384 $2.24 7d 1 0.64mi
10411 Town & Country Way Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1866 $3,512 $1.88 45d 1 0.64mi
10411 Town & Country Way Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1866 $3,512 $1.88 21d 1 0.64mi
10411 Town & Country Way Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1659 $3,591 $2.16 26d 1 0.64mi
10401 Town and Country Way Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1511 $3,248 $2.15 26d 1 0.64mi
10401 Town and Country Way Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1511 $3,248 $2.15 45d 1 0.64mi
156 W Sam Houston Pkwy N Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 1031 $1,717 $1.67 45d 1 0.65mi
12808 Queensbury Ln Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1069 $2,412 $2.26 0d 34 0.66mi
800 Town and Country Blvd Unit 3148 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1507 $3,313 $2.20 0d 1 0.66mi
800 Town and Country Blvd Unit 2148 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1511 $2,376 $1.57 0d 1 0.66mi
10402 Town & Country Way Unit 10417 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 948 $1,978 $2.09 15d 1 0.66mi
10402 Town & Country Way Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1278 $2,617 $2.05 7d 1 0.66mi
10402 Town & Country Way Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1278 $2,641 $2.07 12d 1 0.66mi
10402 Town & Country Way Unit 10425 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1486 $2,965 $2.00 45d 1 0.66mi
10402 Town & Country Way Unit 2187 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1278 $2,642 $2.07 0d 1 0.66mi
811 Town and Country Blvd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 986 $3,684 $3.73 0d 32 0.66mi
10408 Town & Country Way Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1098 $2,285 $2.08 45d 1 0.68mi
10402 Town & Country Way Unit 2165 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1278 $2,601 $2.04 0d 1 0.70mi
817 Citycentre Way Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1305 $2,309 $1.77 45d 1 0.72mi
408 S Gessner Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1511 $3,248 $2.15 26d 1 0.73mi
800 Town and Country Blvd Unit 23028 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1412 $1,721 $1.22 45d 1 0.74mi
800 Town and Country Blvd Unit 815 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 900 $1,764 $1.96 16d 1 0.74mi
800 Town and Country Blvd Unit 833 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1507 $3,353 $2.22 12d 1 0.74mi
800 Town and Country Blvd Unit 837 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1511 $2,416 $1.60 12d 1 0.74mi
800 Town and Country Blvd Unit 424 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1511 $2,392 $1.58 7d 1 0.74mi
909 Town and Country Blvd Unit 325 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 906 $1,112 $1.23 45d 1 0.90mi
909 Town and Country Blvd Unit 12634 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1256 $1,798 $1.43 45d 1 0.90mi
878 Bettina Ct Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,740 $1.45 26d 1 0.92mi
905 Town and Country Blvd Unit 942 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1350 $2,802 $2.08 45d 1 0.93mi
905 Town and Country Blvd Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1210 $2,527 $2.09 12d 1 0.93mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$706 · $8,472/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashelectriclandscaping
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $225,000 Active 75 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    price $225,000 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 69 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $240,000 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,000 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 54 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    price $251,000 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Beautifully renovated 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome in desirable Memorial West with ALL BILLS PAID—including electricity, water, sewer, trash, landscaping, and exterior insurance! This move-in ready home features a stunning updated kitchen and bathrooms with modern finishes, brand-new appliances, and stylish lighting that elevates the space. New top-down/bottom-up blinds in the living room and bedrooms offer both comfort and privacy. Enjoy a low-maintenance, lock-and-leave lifestyle with more time to relax and entertain. Located in a quiet, sought-after community with no flooding, just minutes from Memorial City Mall, CityCentre, and popular dining and shopping. Zoned to highly acclaimed SBISD schools: Frostwood Elementary, Memorial Middle, and Memorial High School.

  17. 2026-04-07
    listed $265,000 Active 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Beautifully renovated 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome in desirable Memorial West with ALL BILLS PAID—including electricity, water, sewer, trash, landscaping, and exterior insurance! This move-in ready home features a stunning updated kitchen and bathrooms with modern finishes, brand-new appliances, and stylish lighting that elevates the space. New top-down/bottom-up blinds in the living room and bedrooms offer both comfort and privacy. Enjoy a low-maintenance, lock-and-leave lifestyle with more time to relax and entertain. Located in a quiet, sought-after community with no flooding, just minutes from Memorial City Mall, CityCentre, and popular dining and shopping. Zoned to highly acclaimed SBISD schools: Frostwood Elementary, Memorial Middle, and Memorial High School.

  18. 2026-03-13
    soldstatus
  19. 2022-07-28
    soldstatus
  20. 2022-07-26
    soldstatus Sold 921-char remark
    Show marketing remark (921 chars)

    MOVE-IN READY!! Come see this newly updated 2 BR/2.5 BA unit! The bathrooms and kitchen look fantastic with lots of updates and new features. You'll also love the new elegant lighting above the staircase. And how about those upstairs barn doors! The newly installed top-down bottom-up blinds in the living room and bedrooms, the new lighting in the living room, and brand new kitchen appliances are just a few reasons this unit will make a perfect home! Maint fee includes electricity, water, sewer, trash, landscaping, and exterior insurance. And no flooding! This quiet, highly sought-after townhome community is nestled near a Memorial subdivision and Memorial Middle School. A CONVENIENT, short drive to the shopping centers, restaurants, Memorial City Mall, and City Centre!! Excellent SBISD schools (Frostwood Elementary, Memorial Middle, and Memorial HS)!! This townhome community seems right out of a storybook!

  21. 2022-07-23
    status Pending 921-char remark
    Show marketing remark (921 chars)

    MOVE-IN READY!! Come see this newly updated 2 BR/2.5 BA unit! The bathrooms and kitchen look fantastic with lots of updates and new features. You'll also love the new elegant lighting above the staircase. And how about those upstairs barn doors! The newly installed top-down bottom-up blinds in the living room and bedrooms, the new lighting in the living room, and brand new kitchen appliances are just a few reasons this unit will make a perfect home! Maint fee includes electricity, water, sewer, trash, landscaping, and exterior insurance. And no flooding! This quiet, highly sought-after townhome community is nestled near a Memorial subdivision and Memorial Middle School. A CONVENIENT, short drive to the shopping centers, restaurants, Memorial City Mall, and City Centre!! Excellent SBISD schools (Frostwood Elementary, Memorial Middle, and Memorial HS)!! This townhome community seems right out of a storybook!

  22. 2022-07-11
    status Pending, Continue to Show 921-char remark
    Show marketing remark (921 chars)

    MOVE-IN READY!! Come see this newly updated 2 BR/2.5 BA unit! The bathrooms and kitchen look fantastic with lots of updates and new features. You'll also love the new elegant lighting above the staircase. And how about those upstairs barn doors! The newly installed top-down bottom-up blinds in the living room and bedrooms, the new lighting in the living room, and brand new kitchen appliances are just a few reasons this unit will make a perfect home! Maint fee includes electricity, water, sewer, trash, landscaping, and exterior insurance. And no flooding! This quiet, highly sought-after townhome community is nestled near a Memorial subdivision and Memorial Middle School. A CONVENIENT, short drive to the shopping centers, restaurants, Memorial City Mall, and City Centre!! Excellent SBISD schools (Frostwood Elementary, Memorial Middle, and Memorial HS)!! This townhome community seems right out of a storybook!

  23. 2022-07-06
    status Option Pending 921-char remark
    Show marketing remark (921 chars)

    MOVE-IN READY!! Come see this newly updated 2 BR/2.5 BA unit! The bathrooms and kitchen look fantastic with lots of updates and new features. You'll also love the new elegant lighting above the staircase. And how about those upstairs barn doors! The newly installed top-down bottom-up blinds in the living room and bedrooms, the new lighting in the living room, and brand new kitchen appliances are just a few reasons this unit will make a perfect home! Maint fee includes electricity, water, sewer, trash, landscaping, and exterior insurance. And no flooding! This quiet, highly sought-after townhome community is nestled near a Memorial subdivision and Memorial Middle School. A CONVENIENT, short drive to the shopping centers, restaurants, Memorial City Mall, and City Centre!! Excellent SBISD schools (Frostwood Elementary, Memorial Middle, and Memorial HS)!! This townhome community seems right out of a storybook!

  24. 2022-06-25
    price $254,000 921-char remark
    Show marketing remark (921 chars)

    MOVE-IN READY!! Come see this newly updated 2 BR/2.5 BA unit! The bathrooms and kitchen look fantastic with lots of updates and new features. You'll also love the new elegant lighting above the staircase. And how about those upstairs barn doors! The newly installed top-down bottom-up blinds in the living room and bedrooms, the new lighting in the living room, and brand new kitchen appliances are just a few reasons this unit will make a perfect home! Maint fee includes electricity, water, sewer, trash, landscaping, and exterior insurance. And no flooding! This quiet, highly sought-after townhome community is nestled near a Memorial subdivision and Memorial Middle School. A CONVENIENT, short drive to the shopping centers, restaurants, Memorial City Mall, and City Centre!! Excellent SBISD schools (Frostwood Elementary, Memorial Middle, and Memorial HS)!! This townhome community seems right out of a storybook!

  25. 2022-05-20
    listed $259,000 Active 921-char remark
    Show marketing remark (921 chars)

    MOVE-IN READY!! Come see this newly updated 2 BR/2.5 BA unit! The bathrooms and kitchen look fantastic with lots of updates and new features. You'll also love the new elegant lighting above the staircase. And how about those upstairs barn doors! The newly installed top-down bottom-up blinds in the living room and bedrooms, the new lighting in the living room, and brand new kitchen appliances are just a few reasons this unit will make a perfect home! Maint fee includes electricity, water, sewer, trash, landscaping, and exterior insurance. And no flooding! This quiet, highly sought-after townhome community is nestled near a Memorial subdivision and Memorial Middle School. A CONVENIENT, short drive to the shopping centers, restaurants, Memorial City Mall, and City Centre!! Excellent SBISD schools (Frostwood Elementary, Memorial Middle, and Memorial HS)!! This townhome community seems right out of a storybook!

  26. 2022-05-20
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (921 chars)

    MOVE-IN READY!! Come see this newly updated 2 BR/2.5 BA unit! The bathrooms and kitchen look fantastic with lots of updates and new features. You'll also love the new elegant lighting above the staircase. And how about those upstairs barn doors! The newly installed top-down bottom-up blinds in the living room and bedrooms, the new lighting in the living room, and brand new kitchen appliances are just a few reasons this unit will make a perfect home! Maint fee includes electricity, water, sewer, trash, landscaping, and exterior insurance. And no flooding! This quiet, highly sought-after townhome community is nestled near a Memorial subdivision and Memorial Middle School. A CONVENIENT, short drive to the shopping centers, restaurants, Memorial City Mall, and City Centre!! Excellent SBISD schools (Frostwood Elementary, Memorial Middle, and Memorial HS)!! This townhome community seems right out of a storybook!

  27. 2022-04-19
    soldstatus
  28. 2022-04-18
    soldstatus Sold
  29. 2022-04-03
    status Pending
  30. 2022-03-28
    status Option Pending
  31. 2022-03-14
    status Active
  32. 2022-03-13
    status Pending
  33. 2022-03-02
    status Option Pending
  34. 2022-02-07
    price $215,000
  35. 2021-11-06
    listed $230,000 Active
  36. 2018-08-17
    historical
  37. 2018-07-27
    price $219,000
  38. 2018-07-07
    listed $225,000 Active
  39. 2015-01-15
    soldstatus
  40. 2005-02-25
    soldstatus
  41. 1988-03-10
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,277 · $523/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,277 · $523/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,335
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$6,277
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,267
− Management
−$2,267
− HOA
−$8,472
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$11,222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,693
After-tax cash flow
$-4,955/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spring Branch ISD
NCES district ID
4841100
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$60,311
Composite
40.88/100
National rank
#3624
State rank
#215 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
38,288
Household income
$136,149
Rent vs Own
36.7% rent · 63.3% own
Severe rent burden
1144.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Asian 14% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.92%
Current HPI
256.8342
Rent YoY
▲ 4.96%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.6% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $251,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $265,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-07-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-07-26 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2022-07-23 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-07-11 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-07-06 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-06-25 Price Changed $254,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-05-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-05-20 Listed $259,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-04-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-04-18 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2022-04-03 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-03-28 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-03-14 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2022-03-13 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-03-02 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-02-07 Price Changed $215,000 HARMLS
  • 2021-11-06 Listed $230,000 HARMLS
  • 2018-08-17 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2018-07-27 Price Changed $219,000 HARMLS
  • 2018-07-07 Listed $225,000 HARMLS
  • 2015-01-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-02-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-03-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,277 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…