1366 S Avenida Polar Unit G205 · Tucson, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled within a lush, park-like setting surrounded by towering palms, evergreens & citrus trees, this charming co-op offers easy living right in the heart of everything. Enjoy peaceful walking trails, relaxing benches, playgrounds, basketball courts & vibrant community center featuring a sparkling lap pool, soothing spa, shaded Ramadas & BBQ areas. The community is pet-friendly w/ convenient clean-up stations, spacious laundry facilities, and ample guest parking. Inside, discover thoughtful designer touches throughout from crystal-tipped curtain rods and stylish lighting to upgraded plumbing fixtures & modern finishes. The well designed kitchen boasts white shaker cabinets, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances & an island perfect for meal prep or casual dining. The bath features new Vykrell surrounds & sleek new tub for easy cleaning. A flexible bonus room offers endless possibilities as a home office, fitness area, or even a chic dressing room. Wood-look vinyl flooring & carpet create a warm & inviting atmosphere, while the new Goettl HVAC system and newer water heater add comfort & peace of mind. Ideally located near shopping, restaurants, grocery stores, entertainment, gyms, bus routes & the University of Arizona--this home blends modern upgrades w/ unbeatable convenience.
Key facts
- Community center
- Bbq areas
- Park-like setting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $69k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-437/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $64k (7.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.8% in Tucson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#17 in AZ, #4,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, employment D-.
- Tucson Unified District (4403) (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #190 of 249 in AZ (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Wheeler Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #600 of 1,109 statewide, top 56%, 416 students, 73% FRL); Ida Flood Dodge Traditional Middle Magnet School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #84 of 218 statewide, top 41%, 396 students, 52% FRL); Palo Verde High Magnet School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #343 of 381 statewide, top 93%, 691 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 88% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 4→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.26%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,600
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -46.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1330 S Avenida Polar Unit E12 | 0.04mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 985 (+16%) | 6mo | $132,000 | $134 | 61 |
| 1306 S Avenida Polar Unit B2 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 985 (+16%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $157 | 57 |
| 5641 E 31st St | 1.03mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 875 (+3%) | 0mo | $117,500 | $134 | 55 |
| 6635 E Golf Links Rd #10 | 0.89mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 849 (-0%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $159 | 52 |
| 810 S Kolb Rd #53 | 0.96mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 891 (+5%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $84 | 51 |
| 7120 E 38th St | 1.39mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 922 (+8%) | 3mo | $206,000 | $223 | 44 |
| 806 S Langley Ave Unit 104 | 0.87mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 919 (+8%) | 6mo | $148,000 | $161 | 37 |
| 814 S Langley Ave #104 | 0.92mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 945 (+11%) | 1mo | $124,000 | $131 | 36 |
| 5823 E 18th St | 0.87mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 950 (+12%) | 7mo | $141,000 | $148 | 35 |
| 828 S Langley Ave #103 | 0.92mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 945 (+11%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $90 | 35 |
| 820 S Langley Ave #205 | 0.87mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 945 (+11%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $127 | 34 |
| 808 S Langley Ave #105 | 0.89mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 945 (+11%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $127 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-14,703
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- -23.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-20,569
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85710
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 259
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,060 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$397
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $-36
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $11 | -5% $-13 | +0% $-36 | +5% $-60 | +10% $-84 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-120 | -5% $-78 | +0% $-36 | +5% $5 | +10% $47 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-2 | -0.5pp $-19 | base $-36 | +0.5pp $-54 | +1.0pp $-72 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1312 S Sahuara Ave Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,290 | $1.77 | 52d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1266 S Sahuara Ave Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,195 | $1.21 | 72d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5757 E 23rd St Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $695 | $1.26 | 70d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5758 E 24th St Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,175 | $1.37 | 93d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5737 E 24th St Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,200 | $1.37 | 93d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5739 E 26th St Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 41d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 834 S Langley Ave #201 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,200 | $1.24 | 93d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 822 S Langley Ave #207 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 948 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 52d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 822 S Langley Ave #207 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 948 | $1,175 | $1.24 | 72d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5711 E 26th St Apt B Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 93d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5706 E 24th St Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,100 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6625 E Golf Links Rd #2 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 849 | $995 | $1.17 | 61d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 808 S Langley Ave Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,212 | $1.28 | 46d | 2 | 0.84mi |
| 806 S Langley Ave Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 919 | $1,145 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 820 S Langley Ave Unit 204 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 61d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 6091 E Golf Links Rd Unit 6141-06 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,270 | $1.41 | 72d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 6091 E Golf Links Rd Unit 6121-14 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,139 | $1.41 | 72d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 840 S Langley Ave #102 Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,095 | $1.80 | 93d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 808 S Langley Ave Unit 201 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 72d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1809 S Van Buren Ave Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $995 | $1.22 | 65d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6502 E Golf Links Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $852 | $1.55 | 59d | 12 | 0.90mi |
| 816 S Langley Ave #203 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 72d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 816 S Langley Ave #204 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,800 | $1.90 | 93d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6666 E Golf Links Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 882 | $1,230 | $1.39 | 17d | 6 | 0.94mi |
| 6666 E Golf Links Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,180 | $1.32 | 41d | 3 | 0.94mi |
| 810 S Kolb Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $875 | $1.03 | 35d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 810 S Kolb Rd Unit 4 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 93d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5626 E 26th St Unit 5626 05 Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $750 | $1.17 | 72d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5626 E 26th St Unit 5626 10 Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $695 | $1.09 | 72d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5619 E 28th St Unit 5629 Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $795 | $1.10 | 93d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5608 E 26th St Unit 1 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,195 | $1.23 | 35d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1635 S Jefferson Ave Unit B Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 27d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6850 E Golf Links Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 517 | $998 | $1.93 | 93d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1345 S Kolb Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,399 | $1.33 | 93d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5550 E 26th St Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 412 | $874 | $2.12 | 93d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7001 E Golf Links Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $999 | $1.01 | 15d | 6 | 1.11mi |
| 1005 S Craycroft Rd Unit CWAC18 Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 604 | $825 | $1.37 | 72d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1005 S Craycroft Rd Unit CWAB07 Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 604 | $825 | $1.37 | 41d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1507 S Woodland Ave Unit A Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $995 | $1.35 | 93d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1501 S Woodland Ave Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $822 | $1.35 | 93d | 4 | 1.18mi |
HOA detail $397/mo · $4,764/yr condo
- Likely covers
- waterlandscapingpoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $69,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $69,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $69,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $69,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $69,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $69,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $69,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $69,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $69,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $69,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $69,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $69,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $69,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $69,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $69,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $69,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $69,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $69,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $69,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $69,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $69,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $69,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $69,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $69,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $69,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $69,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $69,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $69,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $69,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $69,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $69,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $69,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $69,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $69,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $69,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $69,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $69,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $69,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $69,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $69,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 68 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥105°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,018
- − Management
- −$1,018
- − HOA
- −$4,764
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable loss
- −$1,331
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$319
- After-tax cash flow
- $-118/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, modern condo is ready for move-in with minor cosmetic updates to enhance its curb appeal and resale value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Replace carpet in living areas — Improves comfort and resale value ↑
- Rental Clean and maintain HVAC system — Ensures comfort and reduces maintenance costs ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tucson Unified District (4403)
- NCES district ID
- 0408800
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,962
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9270
- State rank
- #190 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Tucson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #4502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tucson, AZ
- County
- Pima County · 1,066,056 people
- City population
- 839,336
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,125
- Household income
- $57,175
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,066,056 people
- By 2030
- 1,086,684 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 1,117,160 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 1,149,778 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,271,480 · +19.3%
- By 2100
- 1,321,160 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pima
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.68%
- Current HPI
- 291.8039
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.61%
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-23.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $75,000 MLSSAZ
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $79,500 MLSSAZ
- 2026-03-30 Listed $83,500 MLSSAZ
- 2026-03-27 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $88,500 MLSSAZ
- 2025-12-29 Price Changed $90,000 MLSSAZ
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $94,500 MLSSAZ
- 2025-10-27 Listed $98,000 MLSSAZ
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…