2 Korda Dr · Duluth, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Darling open concept Liberty home in Vintage Acres all freshened up and ready for new owners! This is a cute and bright 3 bedroom 1 bath mobile home with a nice open kitchen and living area. The home is freshly painted with new carpet and an updated kitchen and bathroom. Within the last 18 months a new furnace, new water heater, 1 new window, 1 new door have all been installed! The refrigerator and clothes washer are also new! Outside you will find a freshly painted shed for storage. Buyer will need to be approved with Vintage Acres before an offer will be accepted. Lot rent is $587, sewage $40. Buyer will need cash or a loan approval for showings. If you need a loan one option is Mike Malone 612-226-6434 HomeMalone Mortgage, [email protected]
Key facts
- New furnace
- Open concept
- New water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $730 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.7% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Stowe Elementary (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #534 of 857 statewide, top 66%, 239 students, 70% FRL); Lincoln Park Middle School (math 26% / reading 39%, grade F, #186 of 258 statewide, top 72%, 524 students, 66% FRL); Denfeld High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #282 of 471 statewide, top 63%, 940 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 39% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $32k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 80.18%
- DSCR
- 4.57
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,728
- List price
- $39,000
- Delta
- -78.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1410 105th Ave Ave W | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 946 (+2%) | 1mo | $219,900 | $232 | 63 |
| 1215 103rd Ave Ave W | 0.45mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 872 (-6%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $229 | 61 |
| 14 Holt Dr | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (+14%) | 17mo | $50,000 | $47 | 53 |
| 1215 102nd Ave W | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 900 (-3%) | 20mo | $192,768 | $214 | 48 |
| 1204 99th Ave Ave W | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 872 (-6%) | 23mo | $239,900 | $275 | 41 |
| 1416 105th Ave W | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+13%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $159 | 38 |
| 105 W 97th Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 970 (+5%) | 23mo | $200,000 | $206 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 80.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.68×
- Total profit
- $40,169
- Equity at exit
- $5,815
- IRR
- 83.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.69×
- Total profit
- $94,892
- Equity at exit
- $3,372
Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55808
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,265 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$205
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$49 /mo · $585/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $730
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $757 | -5% $743 | +0% $730 | +5% $716 | +10% $703 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $630 | -5% $680 | +0% $730 | +5% $780 | +10% $830 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $749 | -0.5pp $740 | base $730 | +0.5pp $720 | +1.0pp $709 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,750
- Closing costs
- $1,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 757-char remark
Show marketing remark (757 chars)
Darling open concept Liberty home in Vintage Acres all freshened up and ready for new owners! This is a cute and bright 3 bedroom 1 bath mobile home with a nice open kitchen and living area. The home is freshly painted with new carpet and an updated kitchen and bathroom. Within the last 18 months a new furnace, new water heater, 1 new window, 1 new door have all been installed! The refrigerator and clothes washer are also new! Outside you will find a freshly painted shed for storage. Buyer will need to be approved with Vintage Acres before an offer will be accepted. Lot rent is $587, sewage $40. Buyer will need cash or a loan approval for showings. If you need a loan one option is Mike Malone 612-226-6434 HomeMalone Mortgage, [email protected]
-
2026-04-15$39,000 Active 757-char remark
Show marketing remark (757 chars)
Darling open concept Liberty home in Vintage Acres all freshened up and ready for new owners! This is a cute and bright 3 bedroom 1 bath mobile home with a nice open kitchen and living area. The home is freshly painted with new carpet and an updated kitchen and bathroom. Within the last 18 months a new furnace, new water heater, 1 new window, 1 new door have all been installed! The refrigerator and clothes washer are also new! Outside you will find a freshly painted shed for storage. Buyer will need to be approved with Vintage Acres before an offer will be accepted. Lot rent is $587, sewage $40. Buyer will need cash or a loan approval for showings. If you need a loan one option is Mike Malone 612-226-6434 HomeMalone Mortgage, [email protected]
-
2024-10-14soldstatus $32,000 542-char remark
Show marketing remark (542 chars)
Darling open concept Liberty home in Vintage Acres all freshened up and ready for new owners! This is a cute and bright 3 bedroom 1 bath mobile home with a nice open kitchen and living area. The home is freshly painted with new carpet and an updated kitchen and bathroom! Outside you will find a freshly painted shed for storage. Buyer will need to be approved with Vintage Acres before an offer will be accepted. Lot rent is $583. Buyers will need to have cash or a loan with potential terms of 25% down, 700+ credit scores and 10 year term.
-
2024-09-05$33,000 542-char remark
Show marketing remark (542 chars)
Darling open concept Liberty home in Vintage Acres all freshened up and ready for new owners! This is a cute and bright 3 bedroom 1 bath mobile home with a nice open kitchen and living area. The home is freshly painted with new carpet and an updated kitchen and bathroom! Outside you will find a freshly painted shed for storage. Buyer will need to be approved with Vintage Acres before an offer will be accepted. Lot rent is $583. Buyers will need to have cash or a loan with potential terms of 25% down, 700+ credit scores and 10 year term.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,177
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,185
- − Property taxes
- −$585
- − Insurance
- −$195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,214
- − Management
- −$1,214
- − Depreciation
- −$1,135
- Taxable income
- $8,649
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,076
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming mobile home is in good condition with recent updates and fresh paint, making it move-in ready and suitable for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Resale Replace outdoor light fixture — Improves curb appeal and safety
- Rental Replace outdoor light fixture — Improves safety and appeal for potential tenants
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Replace outdoor light fixture — Improves curb appeal and safety ↑
- Rental Replace outdoor light fixture — Improves safety and appeal for potential tenants ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duluth Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2711040
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,692
- Composite
- 41.92/100
- National rank
- #3360
- State rank
- #132 of 301 in MN
Livability — Duluth
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #1060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duluth, MN
- City population
- 71,097
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,325
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Native American 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Romanian 8% Lithuanian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.66%
- Current HPI
- 237.4607
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+18.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — LSAR
- 2026-04-15 Listed $39,000 LSAR
- 2024-10-14 Sold (MLS) $32,000 LSAR
- 2024-09-05 Listed $33,000 LSAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…