6043 Skipping Way · Somerset, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$184,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Gerson - This new single-story home features a modern layout with room to grow. The stylish kitchen shares a footprint with the living and dining areas, and a covered patio provides convenient outdoor access. Three bedrooms are placed to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite, complete with an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
Key facts
- Luxe owner's suite
- Walk-in closet
- Stylish kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (4.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (4.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#639 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Somerset ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #417 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 323 active listings in the ZIP; 224 units permitted in Atascosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Atascosa County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.08%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $192,999
- List price
- $184,999
- Delta
- -4.15%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6043 Skipping Way | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (0%) | 1mo | $184,999 | $137 | 99 |
| 12010 Pressing Pass | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (0%) | 1mo | $184,999 | $137 | 99 |
| 12030 Pressing Pass | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (0%) | 1mo | $184,999 | $137 | 99 |
| 6027 Skipping Way | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (0%) | 1mo | $192,999 | $143 | 99 |
| 5919 Consider Trl | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+4%) | 1mo | $194,999 | $139 | 93 |
| 12107 Kneeling Path | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+4%) | 2mo | $192,999 | $138 | 92 |
| 5903 Consider Trl | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+4%) | 2mo | $196,999 | $141 | 92 |
| 12119 Kneeling Path | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+4%) | 3mo | $211,999 | $151 | 92 |
| 12211 Kneeling Path | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+4%) | 4mo | $185,999 | $133 | 91 |
| 12103 Kneeling Path | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (-6%) | 2mo | $184,999 | $146 | 87 |
| 12127 Kneeling Path | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (-6%) | 4mo | $192,999 | $152 | 86 |
| 6046 Skipping Way | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,213 (-10%) | 3mo | $185,999 | $153 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $24,171
- Equity at exit
- $79,060
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $83,030
- Equity at exit
- $118,726
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78073
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 323
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,774 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $90
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $218 | -5% $154 | +0% $90 | +5% $26 | +10% $-38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-50 | -5% $20 | +0% $90 | +5% $160 | +10% $230 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $183 | -0.5pp $137 | base $90 | +0.5pp $42 | +1.0pp $-7 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
The Gerson - This new single-story home features a modern layout with room to grow. The stylish kitchen shares a footprint with the living and dining areas, and a covered patio provides convenient outdoor access. Three bedrooms are placed to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite, complete with an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-05-05price $184,999 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
The Gerson - This new single-story home features a modern layout with room to grow. The stylish kitchen shares a footprint with the living and dining areas, and a covered patio provides convenient outdoor access. Three bedrooms are placed to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite, complete with an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-04-30price $207,999 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
The Gerson - This new single-story home features a modern layout with room to grow. The stylish kitchen shares a footprint with the living and dining areas, and a covered patio provides convenient outdoor access. Three bedrooms are placed to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite, complete with an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-03-20$214,999 New 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
The Gerson - This new single-story home features a modern layout with room to grow. The stylish kitchen shares a footprint with the living and dining areas, and a covered patio provides convenient outdoor access. Three bedrooms are placed to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite, complete with an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥109°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,775
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,703
- − Management
- −$1,703
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$1,962
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$471
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,548/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
The home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof, exterior, HVAC, and landscaping. Significant updates are needed to increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — No roof photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly damaged roof.
- Major exterior siding — No exterior photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly damaged exterior.
- Major HVAC/mechanical — No HVAC/mechanical photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly damaged HVAC system.
- Major landscaping — No landscaping photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly overgrown lot with no visible landscaping features.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can significantly increase both resale and rental value.
- Both HVAC and mechanical systems — Upgrading HVAC and mechanical systems can improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.
- Both exterior and roof repairs — Repairing the exterior and roof can improve the home's appearance and structural integrity, increasing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · No roof photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly damaged roof. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · No exterior photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly damaged exterior. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanical · No HVAC/mechanical photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly damaged HVAC system. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · No landscaping photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly overgrown lot with no visible landscaping features. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can significantly increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both HVAC and mechanical systems — Upgrading HVAC and mechanical systems can improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both exterior and roof repairs — Repairing the exterior and roof can improve the home's appearance and structural integrity, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Somerset ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840740
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,712
- Composite
- 34.01/100
- National rank
- #5315
- State rank
- #417 of 826 in TX
Livability — Somerset
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #639
- US rank
- #12187
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,510
Population outlook (Atascosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,233 people
- By 2030
- 61,729 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 71,122 · +24.3%
- By 2050
- 80,906 · +41.4%
- By 2075
- 106,134 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 122,415 · +113.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 81% Two or more races 33% White 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 75%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Atascosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.9% · R 71.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+10.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Current HPI
- 289.1266
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-14.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — LERA
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $184,999 LERA
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $207,999 LERA
- 2026-03-20 Listed $214,999 LERA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…