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6043 Skipping Way
C- Composite 51.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$184,999

6043 Skipping Way · Somerset, TX 78073
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,354 sqft · SingleFamily · 53 Days on market
Built 2026 Poor condition 4,791 sqft lot $137/sqft · at area comps Est $193k · at est. $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Gerson - This new single-story home features a modern layout with room to grow. The stylish kitchen shares a footprint with the living and dining areas, and a covered patio provides convenient outdoor access. Three bedrooms are placed to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite, complete with an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

Key facts

  • Luxe owner's suite
  • Walk-in closet
  • Stylish kitchen

Tags

SINGLE-STORY HOMESTYLISH KITCHENCOVERED PATIOLUXE OWNER'S SUITEEN-SUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (4.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (4.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#639 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Somerset ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #417 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 323 active listings in the ZIP; 224 units permitted in Atascosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Atascosa County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $177,369 (4.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.87%
Cash-on-cash
2.08%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$192,999
List price
$184,999
Delta
-4.15%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6043 Skipping Way 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,354 (0%) 1mo $184,999 $137 99
12010 Pressing Pass 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,354 (0%) 1mo $184,999 $137 99
12030 Pressing Pass 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,354 (0%) 1mo $184,999 $137 99
6027 Skipping Way 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,354 (0%) 1mo $192,999 $143 99
5919 Consider Trl 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+4%) 1mo $194,999 $139 93
12107 Kneeling Path 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+4%) 2mo $192,999 $138 92
5903 Consider Trl 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+4%) 2mo $196,999 $141 92
12119 Kneeling Path 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+4%) 3mo $211,999 $151 92
12211 Kneeling Path 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+4%) 4mo $185,999 $133 91
12103 Kneeling Path 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,266 (-6%) 2mo $184,999 $146 87
12127 Kneeling Path 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,266 (-6%) 4mo $192,999 $152 86
6046 Skipping Way 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,213 (-10%) 3mo $185,999 $153 80

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$24,171
Equity at exit
$79,060
10-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$83,030
Equity at exit
$118,726

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78073

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
323
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,774 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$372
Net cashflow
$90

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,660
Max offer price $184,999
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $218 -5% $154 +0% $90 +5% $26 +10% $-38
Rent -10% $-50 -5% $20 +0% $90 +5% $160 +10% $230
Rate -1.0pp $183 -0.5pp $137 base $90 +0.5pp $42 +1.0pp $-7

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Gerson - This new single-story home features a modern layout with room to grow. The stylish kitchen shares a footprint with the living and dining areas, and a covered patio provides convenient outdoor access. Three bedrooms are placed to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite, complete with an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  2. 2026-05-05
    price $184,999 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Gerson - This new single-story home features a modern layout with room to grow. The stylish kitchen shares a footprint with the living and dining areas, and a covered patio provides convenient outdoor access. Three bedrooms are placed to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite, complete with an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  3. 2026-04-30
    price $207,999 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Gerson - This new single-story home features a modern layout with room to grow. The stylish kitchen shares a footprint with the living and dining areas, and a covered patio provides convenient outdoor access. Three bedrooms are placed to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite, complete with an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  4. 2026-03-20
    listed $214,999 New 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Gerson - This new single-story home features a modern layout with room to grow. The stylish kitchen shares a footprint with the living and dining areas, and a covered patio provides convenient outdoor access. Three bedrooms are placed to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite, complete with an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥109°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,284
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,775
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,703
− Management
−$1,703
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$1,962
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$471
After-tax cash flow
$1,548/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

The home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof, exterior, HVAC, and landscaping. Significant updates are needed to increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — No roof photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly damaged roof.
  • Major exterior siding — No exterior photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly damaged exterior.
  • Major HVAC/mechanical — No HVAC/mechanical photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly damaged HVAC system.
  • Major landscaping — No landscaping photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly overgrown lot with no visible landscaping features.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can significantly increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both HVAC and mechanical systems — Upgrading HVAC and mechanical systems can improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both exterior and roof repairs — Repairing the exterior and roof can improve the home's appearance and structural integrity, increasing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · No roof photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly damaged roof. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · No exterior photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly damaged exterior. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanical · No HVAC/mechanical photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly damaged HVAC system. Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · No landscaping photos provided, but the satellite image suggests a large, possibly overgrown lot with no visible landscaping features. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can significantly increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both HVAC and mechanical systems — Upgrading HVAC and mechanical systems can improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both exterior and roof repairs — Repairing the exterior and roof can improve the home's appearance and structural integrity, increasing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Somerset ISD
NCES district ID
4840740
Math proficiency
41% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$44,712
Composite
34.01/100
National rank
#5315
State rank
#417 of 826 in TX

Livability — Somerset

Score
66/100
State rank
#639
US rank
#12187

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,806,925
Population (ZIP)
9,510

Population outlook (Atascosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,233 people
By 2030
61,729 · +7.9%
By 2040
71,122 · +24.3%
By 2050
80,906 · +41.4%
By 2075
106,134 · +85.4%
By 2100
122,415 · +113.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 81% Two or more races 33% White 16%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 75%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 48% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atascosa

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.9% · R 71.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -43.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.3 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+10.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.60%
Current HPI
289.1266
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending LERA
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $184,999 LERA
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $207,999 LERA
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $214,999 LERA

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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