126 N Warren St St · Shelburn, IN 47879

$35,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,132 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market

Built 1930 0.66 ac lot $16/sqft · 73% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits! This over 2,100 sq ft home sits on 3 lots on a corner location, offering tons of potential for the right buyer. Featuring a large kitchen, covered porch, and plenty of space to make your vision come to life—this property is definitely a fixer upper and ready for your personal touch. Cash or renovation loans only. Bring your ideas and turn this into something special! Sold as is

Key facts

• Covered porch
• Corner location
• Large kitchen

Tags

• CORNER LOCATION
• LARGE KITCHEN
• COVERED PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Single-family residential; 2 stories
• Construction: Shingle roof
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Zoned residential

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
• Interior features: Fireplace (1); Crawl space basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $586 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
• Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#463 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Northeast School Corporation (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #228 of 301 in IN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: North Central Jr/Sr High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #343 of 369 statewide, top 93%, 374 students, 55% FRL).
• Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Sullivan County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $22k; list at $35k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $34,475 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.05% ✓
• Cap rate: 26.39%
• Cash-on-cash: 71.77%
• DSCR: 4.19
• GRM: 2.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $131,577
• List price: $35,000
• Delta: -73.40%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 6 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
126 N Warren St St	0.00mi	3/1.0 (+1)	2,132 (0%)	0mo	$22,000	$10	95
230 W Broadway St	0.56mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,823 (-14%)	2mo	$168,000	$92	39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 82.6%
• Equity multiple: 6.76×
• Total profit: $56,417
• Equity at exit: $31,531

10-year hold

• IRR: 76.9%
• Equity multiple: 14.96×
• Total profit: $136,835
• Equity at exit: $67,997

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 47879

• Home prices YoY: 27.5%
• Active inventory: 13
• Price-to-rent: 2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,068 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$184
• Tax from tax record: −$60 /mo · $718/yr
• Insurance: −$15
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$224
• Net cashflow: $586

Break-even live

Break-even rent $327

Max offer price $35,000

Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $8,750
• Closing costs: $1,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-01
   listed $35,000 Active 407-char remark
2. 2022-07-28
   price $64,500
3. 2022-05-06
   listed $69,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $718 · $60/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $718 · $60/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,821
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,961
• − Property taxes: −$718
• − Insurance: −$175
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,026
• − Management: −$1,026
• − Depreciation: −$1,018
• Taxable income: $6,898
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,656
• After-tax cash flow: $5,378/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Northeast School Corporation
• NCES district ID: 1808160
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $45,565
• Composite: 27.01/100
• National rank: #7061
• State rank: #228 of 301 in IN

Livability — Shelburn

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #463
• US rank: #16331

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Shelburn, IN
• Population (ZIP): 3,120

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 20,313 people
• By 2030: 19,908 · -2.0%
• By 2040: 19,009 · -6.4%
• By 2050: 17,972 · -11.5%
• By 2075: 14,929 · -26.5%
• By 2100: 11,391 · -43.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+52.7) · D 22.8% · R 75.5% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -52.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -52.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+52.7 2020: R+50.5 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 40.40%
• Current HPI: 187.51
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B

Price history

-68.3% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $22,000 THAAR
• 2026-05-21 Pending — THAAR
• 2026-05-01 Listed $35,000 THAAR
• 2022-07-28 Price Changed $64,500 IRMLS
• 2022-05-06 Listed $69,500 IRMLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $718 · -8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.