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202 Queens Way
B+ Composite 75.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$73,333

202 Queens Way · Pittsburg, CA 94565
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured · 8 Days on market
Built 1978 Fair condition $59/sqft · 15% below area Est $87k · 15% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and rich in character, this home is beautifully positioned on a corner lot in a friendly 55+ community, offering a warm, storybook ambiance. Inside, you’ll find two bedrooms and two bathrooms, along with both a separate living room and family room—providing plenty of space for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen reflects the seller’s artistic touch, featuring details that create a one-of-a-kind feel. It comes equipped with a refrigerator, built-in oven, gas cooktop, and dishwasher, along with a convenient counter-height table ideal for casual dining or morning coffee. Artistic elements continue throughout the home, from the guest bathroom with a shower-over-tub

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1978

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Pets allowed upon approval; Delta Hawaii Mobile Home Park; Senior community; Community amenities: clubhouse, greenbelt, fitness center, pool, sauna, spa, activities, BBQ area, game room, guest parking, rec room with fireplace

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 garage spaces; Carport for 2 or more vehicles; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured in-park (mobile home); Double wide; Main entry at street level
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Crawl space foundation; Living area approximately 1,248 square feet
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Terraced landscaping; Shed(s); Landscaped corner lot; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (street level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bathroom has a stall shower and sunken tub; Other bathroom(s) include shower over tub
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No additional rooms; Window coverings; Stair lift
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with hookups only; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $73k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $73k).
  • Cap rate 32.0% vs local median 3.4% in Pittsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#687 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Pittsburg Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #1,069 of 1,400 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,169 units permitted in Contra Costa County in 2024 (896 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $507 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Contra Costa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,333

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.59%
Cap rate
32.04%
Cash-on-cash
91.95%
DSCR
5.09
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,700
List price
$73,333
Delta
-15.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 Queens Way 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (0%) 1mo $70,000 $56 100
171 Sunset Dr 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,248 (0%) 11mo $100,000 $80 87
201 Queens Way #201 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-8%) 1mo $60,000 $52 85
224 Queens Way #224 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 2mo $85,900 $64 82
134 Banyon Dr 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 3mo $133,000 $99 79
169 Sunset Way 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,320 (+6%) 9mo $249,500 $189 79
109 Reef Dr #109 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-8%) 2mo $120,000 $104 78
46 Palm Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,277 (+2%) 6mo $230,000 $180 77
232 Queens Way 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,400 (+12%) 4mo $87,500 $63 75
170 Sunset Way 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,160 (-7%) 12mo $169,500 $146 75
131 Banyon Dr 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,100 (-12%) 2mo $82,000 $75 72
61 Pali Way 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,400 (+12%) 3mo $50,000 $36 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
90.6%
Equity multiple
5.06×
Total profit
$83,454
Equity at exit
$10,934
10-year hold
IRR
93.1%
Equity multiple
9.89×
Total profit
$182,455
Equity at exit
$6,340

Cash invested: $20,533 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 94565

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,633 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$385
Tax est. 1.5%
$92 /mo · $1,100/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$553
Net cashflow
$1,573

Break-even live

Break-even rent $642
Max offer price $73,333
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,333
Closing costs
$2,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4 Meadowbrook Ave Pittsburg, CA 2.0 2.0 1122 $2,600 $2.32 43d 1 0.19mi
3818 Harbor St Pittsburg, CA 2.0 1.0 825 $2,350 $2.85 3d 1 0.31mi
948 Golden Leaf Way Pittsburg, CA 3.0 2.0 1386 $3,400 $2.45 43d 1 0.31mi
2221 Lynbrook Dr Pittsburg, CA 3.0 2.0 1365 $3,195 $2.34 43d 1 0.36mi
1128 E Leland Rd Pittsburg, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 758 $2,245 $2.96 2d 11 0.43mi
500 Loveridge Cir Pittsburg, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 825 $2,430 $2.95 1d 10 0.52mi
110 Dias Cir Pittsburg, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 819 $2,385 $2.91 1d 15 0.54mi
17 Lorraine Ave Pittsburg, CA 3.0 1.5 1180 $2,700 $2.29 18d 1 0.74mi
240 Benjamin Ave Pittsburg, CA 3.0 2.0 1379 $3,139 $2.28 2d 1 0.75mi
30 Castlewood Dr Pittsburg, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 793 $2,640 $3.33 1d 3 0.95mi
1680 Barrus Ave Pittsburg, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $2,300 $2.71 24d 1 1.00mi
1373 Columbia St Pittsburg, CA 1.0 1.0 736 $1,900 $2.58 43d 1 1.09mi
2205 E Leland Rd Pittsburg, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 847 $2,359 $2.79 1d 20 1.10mi
1000 Pheasant Dr Pittsburg, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 879 $2,795 $3.18 24d 29 1.10mi
1353 Pine St Pittsburg, CA 3.0 2.0 1369 $2,750 $2.01 5d 1 1.12mi
1341 Maple St Pittsburg, CA 2.0 1.0 1299 $2,550 $1.96 21d 1 1.13mi
241 W Buchanan Rd Pittsburg, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 840 $2,660 $3.17 1d 13 1.15mi
1346 Redwood St Pittsburg, CA 3.0 1.5 1066 $2,915 $2.73 16d 1 1.15mi
2191 Lakeview Cir Pittsburg, CA 2.0 2.0 783 $2,500 $3.19 16d 1 1.21mi
535 Central Ave Unit 2 Pittsburg, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,795 $2.56 43d 1 1.22mi
706 E 12th St Pittsburg, CA 2.0 1.0 939 $2,490 $2.65 24d 1 1.23mi
706 E 12th St Pittsburg, CA 2.0 1.0 935 $2,490 $2.66 21d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 1292-char remark
  2. 2026-05-05
    listed $73,333 Active 1292-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,598
− Mortgage interest
−$4,108
− Property taxes
−$1,100
− Insurance
−$367
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,528
− Management
−$2,528
− Depreciation
−$2,133
Taxable income
$18,835
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,520
After-tax cash flow
$14,361/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This charming manufactured home in a 55+ community requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Painting, updating cabinets and fixtures, and landscaping improvements would significantly enhance its appeal.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and discolored
  • Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Dated appearance
  • Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Dated and worn
  • Moderate Paint — Faded in some areas

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Improves curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Updating bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and appeal
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Weathered and discolored Moderate $3,000–15,000
Kitchen cabinets · Dated appearance Moderate $3,000–15,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
Paint · Faded in some areas Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $12,000–60,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Improves curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Updating bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and appeal
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pittsburg Unified
NCES district ID
0630600
Math proficiency
21% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,872
Composite
27.99/100
National rank
#12238
State rank
#1069 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Pittsburg

Score
58/100
State rank
#687
US rank
#20922

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pittsburg, CA
County
Contra Costa County · 1,059,880 people
City population
100,488
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
100,488
Household income
$95,556
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
3942.0

Population outlook (Contra Costa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,287,720 people
By 2030
1,364,937 · +6.0%
By 2040
1,506,209 · +17.0%
By 2050
1,624,373 · +26.1%
By 2075
1,853,193 · +43.9%
By 2100
1,901,231 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 48% Two or more races 19% Asian 17% White 16% Black 13% Pacific Islander 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Russian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 37% Tagalog/Filipino 6% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Contra Costa

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.0) · D 67.3% · R 29.4% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: 37.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.0 2020: D+45.3 2016: D+43.5 2012: D+33.7 2008: D+37.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -478.40%
Current HPI
376.2576
Rent YoY
▲ 1.11%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $70,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-05-14 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $73,333 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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