1905 N Van Buren St · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Movie nights just got an upgrade! This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home features its very own movie room, a formal dining area for hosting, and a spacious primary suite you'll love coming home to. With plenty of room to live, relax, and entertain—this one checks all the boxes! Call Today for a showing.
Key facts
- Movie room
- Formal dining area
- 0.25 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-563/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (4.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (2.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.06%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $211,995
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -10.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2501 Stanton St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 2,016 (-8%) | 19mo | $198,000 | $98 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $105,889
- Equity at exit
- $171,077
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.14×
- Total profit
- $326,506
- Equity at exit
- $368,934
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76901
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,845 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$430 /mo · $5,154/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $-47
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1714 Cordell Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 417 N Jefferson St San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1940 | $2,350 | $1.21 | 20d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 210 N Jefferson St #210 San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1706 | $1,600 | $0.94 | 20d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2505 W Harris Ave San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $1,300 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 26 events
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2026-06-19days on market $189,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $189,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $189,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $199,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $199,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-18price $199,000 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
Movie nights just got an upgrade! This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home features its very own movie room, a formal dining area for hosting, and a spacious primary suite you'll love coming home to. With plenty of room to live, relax, and entertain—this one checks all the boxes! Call Today for a showing.
-
2026-04-16$215,000 Active 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
Movie nights just got an upgrade! This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home features its very own movie room, a formal dining area for hosting, and a spacious primary suite you'll love coming home to. With plenty of room to live, relax, and entertain—this one checks all the boxes! Call Today for a showing.
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2016-11-18soldstatus
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2016-11-16soldstatus 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
3 bedroom 2 bath home in River Park Addition. This home has 2 living areas and an enclosed porch that could be used as a game room or extra living area. A large back yard allows for plenty of room for enjoying outdoor activities. At just over $58 per sq/ft this home would allow a person to give it the TLC it needs!
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2016-08-05$127,500 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
3 bedroom 2 bath home in River Park Addition. This home has 2 living areas and an enclosed porch that could be used as a game room or extra living area. A large back yard allows for plenty of room for enjoying outdoor activities. At just over $58 per sq/ft this home would allow a person to give it the TLC it needs!
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2012-04-18soldstatus
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2012-04-12soldstatus
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2012-02-24$104,000
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2011-01-31soldstatus
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2011-01-28soldstatus
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2010-09-20$102,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,154 · $430/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,154 · $430/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,141
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$5,154
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,771
- − Management
- −$1,771
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$3,667
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$880
- After-tax cash flow
- $318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,831
- Household income
- $69,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1034.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.96%
- Current HPI
- 798.58
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.78%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+93.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $199,000 SAAR TX
- 2026-04-16 Listed $215,000 SAAR TX
- 2016-11-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-11-16 Sold (MLS) — SAAR TX
- 2016-08-05 Listed $127,500 SAAR TX
- 2012-04-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-04-12 Sold (MLS) — SAAR TX
- 2012-02-24 Listed $104,000 SAAR TX
- 2011-01-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-01-28 Sold (MLS) — SAAR TX
- 2010-09-20 Listed $102,900 SAAR TX
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,154 · +26.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…