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319 E Hubbard St
D Composite 42.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

319 E Hubbard St · Lindale, TX 75771
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1955 0.37 ac lot $128/sqft · 19% below area Est $283k · 19% under ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this beautifully renovated property located in the highly sought-after Lindale Independent School District. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of modern updates and classic character. Inside, you’ll find stunning refinished hardwood floors, along with a spacious and functional layout designed for comfortable living. The home features a versatile extra living area that can easily serve as a second living room, home office, playroom, or flex space to fit your needs. Recent improvements include a brand-new roof, giving buyers peace of mind for years to come. Situated on a large corner lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor space for entertaining, gardening, or simply enjoying the yard. The backyard also includes a storage shed, providing additional space for tools, equipment, or hobbies. A 2-car carport adds convenient covered parking and easy access to the home. Located in a desirable neighborhood within Lindale ISD, this move-in-ready home combines location, updates, and space—making it a must-see for anyone looking to settle in one of East Texas’ most popular school districts.

Key facts

  • Extra living area
  • Renovated property
  • Large corner lot

Tags

RENOVATED PROPERTYREFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORSEXTRA LIVING AREANEW ROOFLARGE CORNER LOTSTORAGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-229 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (17.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (23.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (23.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.1% in Lindale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#52 in TX, #2,100 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Lindale ISD (town): math 71% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #20 of 826 in TX (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Velma Penny El (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #199 of 4,322 statewide, top 5%, 541 students, 48% FRL); E J Moss Int (math 66% / reading 59%, grade B+, #128 of 1,662 statewide, top 8%, 981 students, 45% FRL); Lindale H S (math 79% / reading 75%, grade A-, #60 of 1,632 statewide, top 4%, 1,265 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 640 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $176,042 (23.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.10%
Cash-on-cash
-4.27%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$283,092
List price
$230,000
Delta
-18.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 N Henry St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,949 (+8%) 12mo $229,900 $118 60
706 Sweetgum Ln 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,938 (+8%) 15mo $339,900 $175 55
618 William Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,602 (-11%) 15mo $299,900 $187 53
604 Pierce St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,640 (-9%) 15mo $249,900 $152 52
619 Jack Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,542 (-14%) 13mo $279,000 $181 50
314 Mt. Sylvan 0.55mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,715 (-5%) 6mo $199,000 $116 50
6060 Freedom Dr 0.20mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,034 (+13%) 10mo $278,990 $137 50
408 Wendy St 0.51mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,921 (+7%) 6mo $219,999 $115 49
600 Pierce St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,602 (-11%) 15mo $254,900 $159 49
17335 County Road 4108 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,550 (-14%) 6mo $289,900 $187 48
413 Mallory St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,671 (-7%) 15mo $249,900 $150 46
532 Circle Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,540 (-14%) 20mo $232,500 $151 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.5%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-51,817
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.01×
Total profit
$-63,728
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75771

Home prices YoY
-30.6%
Active inventory
640
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,760 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$318 /mo · $3,814/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$-229

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,050
Max offer price $189,526
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-99 -5% $-164 +0% $-229 +5% $-294 +10% $-359
Rent -10% $-368 -5% $-299 +0% $-229 +5% $-160 +10% $-90
Rate -1.0pp $-113 -0.5pp $-171 base $-229 +0.5pp $-289 +1.0pp $-349

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
400 Baker St Lindale, TX 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,875 $1.13 23d 1 0.24mi
527 N College St Lindale, TX 2.0 1.5 1267 $1,300 $1.03 46d 1 0.50mi
527 N College St Unit 13 Lindale, TX 2.0 1.5 1267 $1,395 $1.10 23d 1 0.50mi
1111 E Park Lindale, TX 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,175 $1.21 15d 1 0.87mi
414 Asher Lindale, TX 4.0 2.0 1876 $2,250 $1.20 23d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $230,000 Pending 82 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $230,000 Active Option Contract 82 DOM
  3. 2026-05-05
    price $230,000 1158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1158 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully renovated property located in the highly sought-after Lindale Independent School District. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of modern updates and classic character. Inside, you’ll find stunning refinished hardwood floors, along with a spacious and functional layout designed for comfortable living. The home features a versatile extra living area that can easily serve as a second living room, home office, playroom, or flex space to fit your needs. Recent improvements include a brand-new roof, giving buyers peace of mind for years to come. Situated on a large corner lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor space for entertaining, gardening, or simply enjoying the yard. The backyard also includes a storage shed, providing additional space for tools, equipment, or hobbies. A 2-car carport adds convenient covered parking and easy access to the home. Located in a desirable neighborhood within Lindale ISD, this move-in-ready home combines location, updates, and space—making it a must-see for anyone looking to settle in one of East Texas’ most popular school districts.

  4. 2026-04-21
    price $230,000 1158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1158 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully renovated property located in the highly sought-after Lindale Independent School District. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of modern updates and classic character. Inside, you’ll find stunning refinished hardwood floors, along with a spacious and functional layout designed for comfortable living. The home features a versatile extra living area that can easily serve as a second living room, home office, playroom, or flex space to fit your needs. Recent improvements include a brand-new roof, giving buyers peace of mind for years to come. Situated on a large corner lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor space for entertaining, gardening, or simply enjoying the yard. The backyard also includes a storage shed, providing additional space for tools, equipment, or hobbies. A 2-car carport adds convenient covered parking and easy access to the home. Located in a desirable neighborhood within Lindale ISD, this move-in-ready home combines location, updates, and space—making it a must-see for anyone looking to settle in one of East Texas’ most popular school districts.

  5. 2026-04-11
    price $245,000 1158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1158 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully renovated property located in the highly sought-after Lindale Independent School District. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of modern updates and classic character. Inside, you’ll find stunning refinished hardwood floors, along with a spacious and functional layout designed for comfortable living. The home features a versatile extra living area that can easily serve as a second living room, home office, playroom, or flex space to fit your needs. Recent improvements include a brand-new roof, giving buyers peace of mind for years to come. Situated on a large corner lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor space for entertaining, gardening, or simply enjoying the yard. The backyard also includes a storage shed, providing additional space for tools, equipment, or hobbies. A 2-car carport adds convenient covered parking and easy access to the home. Located in a desirable neighborhood within Lindale ISD, this move-in-ready home combines location, updates, and space—making it a must-see for anyone looking to settle in one of East Texas’ most popular school districts.

  6. 2026-04-10
    price $245,000 1158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1158 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully renovated property located in the highly sought-after Lindale Independent School District. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of modern updates and classic character. Inside, you’ll find stunning refinished hardwood floors, along with a spacious and functional layout designed for comfortable living. The home features a versatile extra living area that can easily serve as a second living room, home office, playroom, or flex space to fit your needs. Recent improvements include a brand-new roof, giving buyers peace of mind for years to come. Situated on a large corner lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor space for entertaining, gardening, or simply enjoying the yard. The backyard also includes a storage shed, providing additional space for tools, equipment, or hobbies. A 2-car carport adds convenient covered parking and easy access to the home. Located in a desirable neighborhood within Lindale ISD, this move-in-ready home combines location, updates, and space—making it a must-see for anyone looking to settle in one of East Texas’ most popular school districts.

  7. 2026-03-09
    listed $259,000 Active 1158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1158 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully renovated property located in the highly sought-after Lindale Independent School District. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of modern updates and classic character. Inside, you’ll find stunning refinished hardwood floors, along with a spacious and functional layout designed for comfortable living. The home features a versatile extra living area that can easily serve as a second living room, home office, playroom, or flex space to fit your needs. Recent improvements include a brand-new roof, giving buyers peace of mind for years to come. Situated on a large corner lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor space for entertaining, gardening, or simply enjoying the yard. The backyard also includes a storage shed, providing additional space for tools, equipment, or hobbies. A 2-car carport adds convenient covered parking and easy access to the home. Located in a desirable neighborhood within Lindale ISD, this move-in-ready home combines location, updates, and space—making it a must-see for anyone looking to settle in one of East Texas’ most popular school districts.

  8. 2026-03-09
    listed $259,000 Active 1158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1158 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully renovated property located in the highly sought-after Lindale Independent School District. This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of modern updates and classic character. Inside, you’ll find stunning refinished hardwood floors, along with a spacious and functional layout designed for comfortable living. The home features a versatile extra living area that can easily serve as a second living room, home office, playroom, or flex space to fit your needs. Recent improvements include a brand-new roof, giving buyers peace of mind for years to come. Situated on a large corner lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor space for entertaining, gardening, or simply enjoying the yard. The backyard also includes a storage shed, providing additional space for tools, equipment, or hobbies. A 2-car carport adds convenient covered parking and easy access to the home. Located in a desirable neighborhood within Lindale ISD, this move-in-ready home combines location, updates, and space—making it a must-see for anyone looking to settle in one of East Texas’ most popular school districts.

  9. 2025-08-21
    historical $1,750
  10. 2025-08-05
    soldstatus
  11. 2025-08-01
    soldstatus Closed
  12. 2025-08-01
    soldstatus Closed
  13. 2025-08-01
    soldstatus Closed
  14. 2025-07-15
    status Pending
  15. 2025-07-15
    status Pending
  16. 2025-07-13
    listed $1,750
  17. 2025-07-12
    historical $1,750
  18. 2025-07-07
    status Pending
  19. 2025-07-07
    historical Active Option Contract
  20. 2025-07-04
    price $1,750
  21. 2025-07-01
    price $208,000
  22. 2025-06-30
    price $208,000
  23. 2025-06-30
    price $208,000
  24. 2025-06-27
    price $1,775
  25. 2025-06-20
    listed $1,795
  26. 2025-06-19
    historical $1,795
  27. 2025-05-10
    listed $1,795
  28. 2025-05-09
    listed $234,900 Active
  29. 2025-05-09
    listed $234,900 Active
  30. 2025-04-02
    listed $234,900 Active
  31. 2021-08-19
    soldstatus
  32. 2010-04-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,814 · $318/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,209 · $351/mo
Expected delta
+$395/yr (+$33/mo · 10.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,125
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$3,814
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,690
− Management
−$1,690
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$6,794
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,631
After-tax cash flow
$-1,119/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lindale ISD
NCES district ID
4827510
Math proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$57,325
Composite
58.85/100
National rank
#974
State rank
#20 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lindale

Score
79/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#2100

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lindale, TX
County
Smith County · 180,570 people
City population
21,238
Metro
Tyler, TX
Population (ZIP)
21,238
Household income
$93,462
Rent vs Own
21.7% rent · 78.3% own
Severe rent burden
166.0

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,890 people
By 2030
261,665 · +5.1%
By 2040
286,114 · +15.0%
By 2050
308,006 · +23.8%
By 2075
354,171 · +42.3%
By 2100
372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.40%
Current HPI
200.187
Rent YoY
Metro
Tyler, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.1% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $230,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $230,000 GTAR
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $245,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $245,000 GTAR
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $259,000 GTAR
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $259,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-21 Rental Removed $1,750 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-08-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-08-01 Sold (MLS) LAAR
  • 2025-08-01 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2025-08-01 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2025-07-15 Pending LAAR
  • 2025-07-15 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-07-13 Listed for Rent $1,750 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-12 Rental Removed $1,750 RENTLY
  • 2025-07-07 Pending GTAR
  • 2025-07-07 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2025-07-04 Price Changed $1,750 RENTLY
  • 2025-07-01 Price Changed $208,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-06-30 Price Changed $208,000 GTAR
  • 2025-06-30 Price Changed $208,000 LAAR
  • 2025-06-27 Price Changed $1,775 RENTLY
  • 2025-06-20 Listed for Rent $1,795 RENTLY
  • 2025-06-19 Rental Removed $1,795 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-10 Listed for Rent $1,795 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-09 Listed $234,900 LAAR
  • 2025-05-09 Listed $234,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-04-02 Listed $234,900 GTAR
  • 2021-08-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-04-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,814 · +21.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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