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8631 Pinon St
C Composite 59.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

8631 Pinon St · Starkville, CO 81082
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,028 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 157 Days on market
Built 1889 0.61 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

APPOINTMENT ONLY! Handy person or investor ready property! Set on over half an acre just outside of town, this 3 bedroom, 1 bath property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity in a quiet setting with beautiful views of Fishers Peak, all just minutes from Trinidad Lake and downtown. The home features wood floors, large open living room with coved ceilings, as well as a basement with abundant storage and a wood stove. An oversized 18x23 covered and enclosed patio provides room to expand or customize to fit your vision. Outside, you will find a 2-car garage, an additional 1-car garage, multiple storage sheds, two small old houses currently used for storage, and a large area ideal for RV parking. The sale includes multiple vacant lots on both sides of the road, offering excellent potential for a shop, additional structures, or future development. With room to spread out and plenty of upside, this property is being sold as-is and is ready for the next owner to bring it back to life.

Key facts

  • Over half an acre
  • Wood stove
  • Abundant storage

Tags

OVER HALF AN ACRELARGE OPEN LIVING ROOMABUNDANT STORAGEWOOD STOVEMULTIPLE STORAGE SHEDSEXCELLENT POTENTIAL FOR A SHOP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot allows horses; Approximately 0.61 acre lot; Living area listed from public records; Below-grade unfinished area present

Exterior

  • Parking: Three-car garage; Two off-street parking spaces; Five total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Unattached property; Individual ownership
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Composition roof; Built as a house
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Partial fencing; Gravel road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Wood-burning stove in the basement; Basement is full and unfinished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#289 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
  • Trinidad School District 1 In The County Of Las Animas And (town): math 6% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #82 of 86 in CO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Fisher'S Peak Elementary School (math 5% / reading 22%, grade F, #824 of 966 statewide, top 88%, 403 students, 76% FRL); Trinidad Middle School (math 2% / reading 15%, grade F, #251 of 270 statewide, top 94%, 180 students, 74% FRL); Trinidad High School (math 15% / reading 44%, grade F, #233 of 381 statewide, top 64%, 213 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 263 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Las Animas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Las Animas County population projected at -40% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1889 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1889 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.70%
Cash-on-cash
12.17%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$2,116
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$28,438
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81082

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
263
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $610/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$326

Break-even live

Break-even rent $888
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $391 -5% $359 +0% $326 +5% $294 +10% $261
Rent -10% $223 -5% $275 +0% $326 +5% $378 +10% $429
Rate -1.0pp $384 -0.5pp $355 base $326 +0.5pp $296 +1.0pp $266

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $114,900 Active 157 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 152 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 150 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,900 Active 149 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 146 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 145 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 144 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,900 Active 140 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    price $129,900 Active 139 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $137,500 Active 139 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $137,500 Active 138 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $137,500 Active 137 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $137,500 Active 136 DOM
  17. 2026-04-21
    price $137,500 997-char remark
    Show marketing remark (997 chars)

    APPOINTMENT ONLY! Handy person or investor ready property! Set on over half an acre just outside of town, this 3 bedroom, 1 bath property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity in a quiet setting with beautiful views of Fishers Peak, all just minutes from Trinidad Lake and downtown. The home features wood floors, large open living room with coved ceilings, as well as a basement with abundant storage and a wood stove. An oversized 18x23 covered and enclosed patio provides room to expand or customize to fit your vision. Outside, you will find a 2-car garage, an additional 1-car garage, multiple storage sheds, two small old houses currently used for storage, and a large area ideal for RV parking. The sale includes multiple vacant lots on both sides of the road, offering excellent potential for a shop, additional structures, or future development. With room to spread out and plenty of upside, this property is being sold as-is and is ready for the next owner to bring it back to life.

  18. 2026-04-21
    price $137,500 997-char remark
    Show marketing remark (997 chars)

    APPOINTMENT ONLY! Handy person or investor ready property! Set on over half an acre just outside of town, this 3 bedroom, 1 bath property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity in a quiet setting with beautiful views of Fishers Peak, all just minutes from Trinidad Lake and downtown. The home features wood floors, large open living room with coved ceilings, as well as a basement with abundant storage and a wood stove. An oversized 18x23 covered and enclosed patio provides room to expand or customize to fit your vision. Outside, you will find a 2-car garage, an additional 1-car garage, multiple storage sheds, two small old houses currently used for storage, and a large area ideal for RV parking. The sale includes multiple vacant lots on both sides of the road, offering excellent potential for a shop, additional structures, or future development. With room to spread out and plenty of upside, this property is being sold as-is and is ready for the next owner to bring it back to life.

  19. 2026-04-20
    price $137,500 997-char remark
    Show marketing remark (997 chars)

    APPOINTMENT ONLY! Handy person or investor ready property! Set on over half an acre just outside of town, this 3 bedroom, 1 bath property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity in a quiet setting with beautiful views of Fishers Peak, all just minutes from Trinidad Lake and downtown. The home features wood floors, large open living room with coved ceilings, as well as a basement with abundant storage and a wood stove. An oversized 18x23 covered and enclosed patio provides room to expand or customize to fit your vision. Outside, you will find a 2-car garage, an additional 1-car garage, multiple storage sheds, two small old houses currently used for storage, and a large area ideal for RV parking. The sale includes multiple vacant lots on both sides of the road, offering excellent potential for a shop, additional structures, or future development. With room to spread out and plenty of upside, this property is being sold as-is and is ready for the next owner to bring it back to life.

  20. 2026-04-20
    price $137,500
    Show marketing remark (997 chars)

    APPOINTMENT ONLY! Handy person or investor ready property! Set on over half an acre just outside of town, this 3 bedroom, 1 bath property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity in a quiet setting with beautiful views of Fishers Peak, all just minutes from Trinidad Lake and downtown. The home features wood floors, large open living room with coved ceilings, as well as a basement with abundant storage and a wood stove. An oversized 18x23 covered and enclosed patio provides room to expand or customize to fit your vision. Outside, you will find a 2-car garage, an additional 1-car garage, multiple storage sheds, two small old houses currently used for storage, and a large area ideal for RV parking. The sale includes multiple vacant lots on both sides of the road, offering excellent potential for a shop, additional structures, or future development. With room to spread out and plenty of upside, this property is being sold as-is and is ready for the next owner to bring it back to life.

  21. 2026-01-14
    listed $145,000 Active 997-char remark
    Show marketing remark (997 chars)

    APPOINTMENT ONLY! Handy person or investor ready property! Set on over half an acre just outside of town, this 3 bedroom, 1 bath property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity in a quiet setting with beautiful views of Fishers Peak, all just minutes from Trinidad Lake and downtown. The home features wood floors, large open living room with coved ceilings, as well as a basement with abundant storage and a wood stove. An oversized 18x23 covered and enclosed patio provides room to expand or customize to fit your vision. Outside, you will find a 2-car garage, an additional 1-car garage, multiple storage sheds, two small old houses currently used for storage, and a large area ideal for RV parking. The sale includes multiple vacant lots on both sides of the road, offering excellent potential for a shop, additional structures, or future development. With room to spread out and plenty of upside, this property is being sold as-is and is ready for the next owner to bring it back to life.

  22. 2026-01-14
    listed $145,000 Active 997-char remark
    Show marketing remark (997 chars)

    APPOINTMENT ONLY! Handy person or investor ready property! Set on over half an acre just outside of town, this 3 bedroom, 1 bath property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity in a quiet setting with beautiful views of Fishers Peak, all just minutes from Trinidad Lake and downtown. The home features wood floors, large open living room with coved ceilings, as well as a basement with abundant storage and a wood stove. An oversized 18x23 covered and enclosed patio provides room to expand or customize to fit your vision. Outside, you will find a 2-car garage, an additional 1-car garage, multiple storage sheds, two small old houses currently used for storage, and a large area ideal for RV parking. The sale includes multiple vacant lots on both sides of the road, offering excellent potential for a shop, additional structures, or future development. With room to spread out and plenty of upside, this property is being sold as-is and is ready for the next owner to bring it back to life.

  23. 2026-01-14
    listed $145,000 Active 997-char remark
    Show marketing remark (997 chars)

    APPOINTMENT ONLY! Handy person or investor ready property! Set on over half an acre just outside of town, this 3 bedroom, 1 bath property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity in a quiet setting with beautiful views of Fishers Peak, all just minutes from Trinidad Lake and downtown. The home features wood floors, large open living room with coved ceilings, as well as a basement with abundant storage and a wood stove. An oversized 18x23 covered and enclosed patio provides room to expand or customize to fit your vision. Outside, you will find a 2-car garage, an additional 1-car garage, multiple storage sheds, two small old houses currently used for storage, and a large area ideal for RV parking. The sale includes multiple vacant lots on both sides of the road, offering excellent potential for a shop, additional structures, or future development. With room to spread out and plenty of upside, this property is being sold as-is and is ready for the next owner to bring it back to life.

  24. 2026-01-14
    listed $145,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (997 chars)

    APPOINTMENT ONLY! Handy person or investor ready property! Set on over half an acre just outside of town, this 3 bedroom, 1 bath property offers space, flexibility, and opportunity in a quiet setting with beautiful views of Fishers Peak, all just minutes from Trinidad Lake and downtown. The home features wood floors, large open living room with coved ceilings, as well as a basement with abundant storage and a wood stove. An oversized 18x23 covered and enclosed patio provides room to expand or customize to fit your vision. Outside, you will find a 2-car garage, an additional 1-car garage, multiple storage sheds, two small old houses currently used for storage, and a large area ideal for RV parking. The sale includes multiple vacant lots on both sides of the road, offering excellent potential for a shop, additional structures, or future development. With room to spread out and plenty of upside, this property is being sold as-is and is ready for the next owner to bring it back to life.

  25. 2020-09-21
    soldstatus $125,000
  26. 2007-08-10
    soldstatus $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$610 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$632 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$22/yr (+$2/mo · 3.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 9 d/yr ≥88°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,606
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$610
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$2,146
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$515
After-tax cash flow
$3,399/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trinidad School District 1 In The County Of Las Animas And
NCES district ID
0806960
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,538
Composite
13.74/100
National rank
#9493
State rank
#82 of 86 in CO

Livability — Starkville

Score
58/100
State rank
#289
US rank
#20664

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Starkville, CO
Population (ZIP)
11,750

Population outlook (Las Animas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,072 people
By 2030
10,972 · -9.1%
By 2040
8,825 · -26.9%
By 2050
7,245 · -40.0%
By 2075
5,139 · -57.4%
By 2100
3,922 · -67.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 18% Native American 4% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Las Animas

2024 margin
R (+13.5) · D 42.0% · R 55.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: -13.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.5 2020: R+9.9 2016: R+15.6 2012: D+2.7 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.04%
Current HPI
258.5479
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+52.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $137,500 IRES
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $137,500 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $137,500 cren
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $137,500 SPMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $145,000 SPMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $145,000 cren
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $145,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $145,000 IRES
  • 2020-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2007-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $610 · +60.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…