42564 Saratoga Rd #31 · Canton, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This updated Canton condo has it all! Brand new paint throughout the entire condo, brand new carpet on the stairs. LVP flooring & ceramic tile throughout the rest of the condo. Attached garage. In unit laundry room. Large Primary suite with walk in closet. Sliding glass door leads out to the peaceful balcony. HOA covers water, snow, and exterior maintenance. Immediate occupancy. Award winning Plymouth-Canton Schools
Key facts
- New carpet
- Attached garage
- New paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Association amenities include grounds maintenance; Association fee covers maintenance of grounds, sewer, snow removal, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with direct access and garage door opener; 1 garage space
- Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Condominium; Residential property; One level; Entry located on upper level with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Balcony; Exterior lighting; Private entrance; Paved road access; Sidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Upper-level entry with steps
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: High speed internet; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-192 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (16.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (1.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Plymouth-Canton Community Schools (suburban): math 58% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #27 of 540 in MI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $1k; list at $170k implies a 13492% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.84%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $188,666
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- -9.95%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-41,870
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -30.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.27×
- Total profit
- $-60,651
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48187
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,678 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$343
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $-192
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6900 Foxthorn Canton, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 922 | $1,488 | $1.61 | 2d | 10 | 0.03mi |
| 7620 N Lilley Rd Canton, MI | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,376 | $1.83 | 2d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7655 Balmoral Dr Canton, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,750 | $1.96 | 1d | 5 | 0.54mi |
| 5600 Fordham Cir Canton, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 868 | $1,892 | $2.18 | 2d | 12 | 0.80mi |
| 42256 Addison Ave Canton, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,643 | $1.71 | 2d | 4 | 1.02mi |
| 41718 Bedford Dr Canton, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 12d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2105 Sheldon Rd Apt 210 Canton Township, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $925 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5955 Edinburgh St Canton, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,265 | $1.58 | 24d | 8 | 1.31mi |
| 5955 Edinburgh St Canton, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,510 | $1.89 | 2d | 10 | 1.31mi |
| 44435 Savery Dr Canton, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,500 | $1.51 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7710 Shaw Ln Canton, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,418 | $1.86 | 1d | 2 | 1.33mi |
| 41299 Heathmore Ct Canton, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 44567 Savery Dr Canton, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1218 | $2,250 | $1.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 42740 Lilley Pointe Dr Canton, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $1,550 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 42714 Lilley Pointe Dr #213 Canton, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,625 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9126 N Lilley Rd Plymouth, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $1,199 | $1.41 | 5d | 6 | 1.45mi |
| 39872 Lynn St Canton, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1278 | $1,750 | $1.37 | 1d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 42766 Lilley Pointe Dr Canton, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $343 · $4,116/yr
- Likely covers
- waterexterior maint.
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-08status $169,900 Active 15 DOM
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2026-05-13$169,900 Active 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
This updated Canton condo has it all! Brand new paint throughout the entire condo, brand new carpet on the stairs. LVP flooring & ceramic tile throughout the rest of the condo. Attached garage. In unit laundry room. Large Primary suite with walk in closet. Sliding glass door leads out to the peaceful balcony. HOA covers water, snow, and exterior maintenance. Immediate occupancy. Award winning Plymouth-Canton Schools
-
2026-05-13$169,900 Active 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
This updated Canton condo has it all! Brand new paint throughout the entire condo, brand new carpet on the stairs. LVP flooring & ceramic tile throughout the rest of the condo. Attached garage. In unit laundry room. Large Primary suite with walk in closet. Sliding glass door leads out to the peaceful balcony. HOA covers water, snow, and exterior maintenance. Immediate occupancy. Award winning Plymouth-Canton Schools
-
2015-08-12soldstatus $1,250
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
B E S T- LEASE- I N- C A N T O N. PLYMOUTH CANTON SCHOOLS!! THIS REMODELED CANTON CONDO LOCATED MINUTES FROM ALL MAJOR EXPRESSWAYS. THIS END UNIT CONDO FEATURES AN ATTACHED GARAGE, REMODELED KITCHEN, A/C, , WITH A SPARKLING BATHROOM. MOVE IN CONDITION ALL THE WORK HAS BEEN DONE FOR YOU. RELAX ON THE WARM SUMMER NIGHTS WITH YOUR VERY OWN BALCONY. DON'T WAIT ON THIS, THIS IS WHAT YOU WOULD CALL A FAST CANTON MOVER! Small pets allowed with land lord approval, NO SMOKERS PLEASE.
-
2015-08-11historical
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
B E S T- LEASE- I N- C A N T O N. PLYMOUTH CANTON SCHOOLS!! THIS REMODELED CANTON CONDO LOCATED MINUTES FROM ALL MAJOR EXPRESSWAYS. THIS END UNIT CONDO FEATURES AN ATTACHED GARAGE, REMODELED KITCHEN, A/C, , WITH A SPARKLING BATHROOM. MOVE IN CONDITION ALL THE WORK HAS BEEN DONE FOR YOU. RELAX ON THE WARM SUMMER NIGHTS WITH YOUR VERY OWN BALCONY. DON'T WAIT ON THIS, THIS IS WHAT YOU WOULD CALL A FAST CANTON MOVER! Small pets allowed with land lord approval, NO SMOKERS PLEASE.
-
2015-07-31$1,250
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
B E S T- LEASE- I N- C A N T O N. PLYMOUTH CANTON SCHOOLS!! THIS REMODELED CANTON CONDO LOCATED MINUTES FROM ALL MAJOR EXPRESSWAYS. THIS END UNIT CONDO FEATURES AN ATTACHED GARAGE, REMODELED KITCHEN, A/C, , WITH A SPARKLING BATHROOM. MOVE IN CONDITION ALL THE WORK HAS BEEN DONE FOR YOU. RELAX ON THE WARM SUMMER NIGHTS WITH YOUR VERY OWN BALCONY. DON'T WAIT ON THIS, THIS IS WHAT YOU WOULD CALL A FAST CANTON MOVER! Small pets allowed with land lord approval, NO SMOKERS PLEASE.
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2015-02-27soldstatus $72,000 Sold
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2015-02-27soldstatus $72,000
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2015-02-23historical
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2015-02-23historical
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2015-02-22$85,000 Active
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2015-02-22$85,000
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2003-08-08soldstatus $123,000
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2003-06-26$129,900
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2003-06-05historical
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2003-05-01$131,900
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2003-04-30historical
-
2003-03-28$139,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,133
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$2,548
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,611
- − Management
- −$1,611
- − HOA
- −$4,116
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$5,062
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,215
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,086/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Plymouth-Canton Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2628560
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,996
- Composite
- 55.86/100
- National rank
- #1204
- State rank
- #27 of 540 in MI
Livability — Canton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 99,041
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,376
- Household income
- $120,321
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1006.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Asian 17% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Other Indo-European 9% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.97%
- Current HPI
- 198.75
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+22.2% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-07 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-28 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-28 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-13 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-13 Listed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-08-12 Sold (MLS) $1,250 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-08-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-07-31 Listed $1,250 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-02-27 Sold (MLS) $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-02-27 Sold (MLS) $72,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-02-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-02-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-02-22 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-02-22 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-08-08 Sold (MLS) $123,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-06-26 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-06-05 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-05-01 Listed $131,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-04-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-03-28 Listed $139,000 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…